What is Conditional: Definition and 483 Discussions

In probability theory and statistics, given two jointly distributed random variables



X


{\displaystyle X}
and



Y


{\displaystyle Y}
, the conditional probability distribution of Y given X is the probability distribution of



Y


{\displaystyle Y}
when



X


{\displaystyle X}
is known to be a particular value; in some cases the conditional probabilities may be expressed as functions containing the unspecified value



x


{\displaystyle x}
of



X


{\displaystyle X}
as a parameter. When both



X


{\displaystyle X}
and



Y


{\displaystyle Y}
are categorical variables, a conditional probability table is typically used to represent the conditional probability. The conditional distribution contrasts with the marginal distribution of a random variable, which is its distribution without reference to the value of the other variable.
If the conditional distribution of



Y


{\displaystyle Y}
given



X


{\displaystyle X}
is a continuous distribution, then its probability density function is known as the conditional density function. The properties of a conditional distribution, such as the moments, are often referred to by corresponding names such as the conditional mean and conditional variance.
More generally, one can refer to the conditional distribution of a subset of a set of more than two variables; this conditional distribution is contingent on the values of all the remaining variables, and if more than one variable is included in the subset then this conditional distribution is the conditional joint distribution of the included variables.

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  1. B

    Conditional Distribution of Multinomial Random Variables

    I've been staring at this for hours. Any hints? Let the vector Y = (Y_1,Y_2,\dots,Y_k) have a multinomial distribution with parameters n and \pi = (\pi_1,\pi_2,\dots,\pi_k): \sum_{i=1}^{k}Y_i = n, \quad \sum_{i=1}^{k}\pi_i = 1 Show that the conditional distribution of Y_1 given...
  2. J

    Calculating Conditional Beta Distribution with Binomial Parameters

    I need to get the density function of a Beta distribution (call it B) with it's two parameters, X and Y, binomially distributed. 1) My first question is, would I be right in saying that the density function that I am looking for can be defined as a "conditional Beta distribution". ie...
  3. O

    Conditional probability problem - help need

    hi I got a stats problem infornt of me. I figured out that it is abaut conditional probability. But I am stuck :confused: . # hurricanes 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 probability .25 .33 .24 .11 .04 .02 .01 prob >6 is 0 questions are independent. a.)...
  4. E

    Conditional Probability formula

    At school we have begun conditional probability. Of course, using the conditional probability formula to answer questions is no problem; but i do not fully understand how the formula works. The formula is; Pr(A given or │ B)= Pr(A intersection B)/Pr(B) The the proof for it is self evident...
  5. M

    Conditional probabilities in QM

    Quantum Mechanics assigns a probability of measuring a final state given an initial state. This suggests a conditional probability of obtaining |final> on the condition that you first have |initial>. But since the probability of |s> obtained from the same initial state |s> is 1, in other words...
  6. C

    Conditional Probability - Teacher says I'm wrong

    Hi Everyone, Let's see if someone here can do a better job than my teacher! I have one of the least helpful stat teachers ever. She told me that I was wrong about the following problem. I am not saying that she is wrong or right, but when I asked her to explain why I was wrong, she told me...
  7. R

    Conditional Probability

    Given: P(A)= .4, P(B)=.3, P(A n B)=.11, P(C| not A)=.5 If P(C U A) = .66, then find P[(C U A) | (C n A)]. I have been trying to manipulate this thing for a while now with no luck. Could you try and show the work if not that's alright, I'll work it out. Thanks.
  8. F

    Probability Theory - conditional

    Question: Deer ticks can carry both Lyme disease and human granulocytic ehrilichiosis (HGE). IN a study of ticks in the Midwest, it was found that 16% carried Lyme disease, 10% had HGE, and that 10% of the ticks that had either Lyme disease or HGE carried both diseases. (a) What is the...
  9. W

    Conditional probability equation, how is it derived?

    I have to admit I'm struck odd by the this definition: P(A|B) = P(AnB)/P(B) I know conditional probability is the "chance of event a dependant even B happening, given A happens". But really, I don't quite get it... what is meant?
  10. O

    Joint and conditional distributions

    I'm having a problem evaluating a distribution- Suppose X and Y are Chi-square random variables, and a is some constant greater than 0. X and Y are independent, but not identically distributed (they have different DOFs). I want to find P(X>a,X-Y>0). So I use Bayes' theorem to write...
  11. I

    Conditional expectation (discrete + continuous)

    I need help in solving the following problem: Let X be uniformly distributed over [0,1]. And for some c in (0,1), define Y = 1 if X>= c and Y = 0 if X < c. Find E[X|Y]. My main problem is that I am having difficulty solving for f(X|Y) since X is continuous (uniform continuous over [0,1])...
  12. I

    Conditional expectation (w/ transformation)

    Any hints on how to solve for E(Y|X) given the ff: Suppose U and V are independent with exponential distributions f(t) = \lambda \exp^{-\lambda t}, \mbox{ for } t\geq 0 Where X = U + V and Y = UV. I am having difficulty finding f(Y|X)... Also, solving for f(X,Y), I am also having difficulty...
  13. I

    Finding E(Y) and Var(Y) with Conditional Expectation

    Is it possible to solve for E(Y) and var (Y) when I am only given the distribution f(Y|X)? I can solve for E(Y|X). But is it possible to find E(Y) and var(Y) given only this info?
  14. I

    Independence and conditional probability

    if X and Y are events which are independent of each other, but neither are independent with A, is this equality true for conditional probabilities: P( X, Y | A) = P(X|A) * P(Y|A) if not, how do you solve for P(A | X,Y) given that you only know P (A) and P(X|A) and P(Y|A)? The reason I came...
  15. T

    Conditional Probabilities relating quadratic forms of random variables

    Well I'm getting pretty frustrated by this problem which arose in my research, so I'm hoping someone here might set me on the right track. I start with n random variables x_i, i=1..n each independently normally distributed with mean of 0 and variance 1. I now have two different functions...
  16. N

    Conditional probability questions ?

    Please help me to solve the following questions : 1) There are three box : box X has 10 bulbs which 4 are defective Box Y has 6 bulbs which 1 are defective Box Z has 8 bulbs which 3 are defective a box is chosen at random...
  17. F

    Conditional probability question

    An insurance company runs three offices, A, B and C. The company's employess are distirbuted as follows; 30% work in office A, 20% in Off. B and 50% in Off. C. In office A 10% are managers, in office B 20% are managers and in office C 5% are managers a. What is the total proportion of...
  18. A

    What is the Conditional Probability of Finding a Book in a Specific Box?

    Somebody could help me to find out the answer of the interesting question about conditional probability ? "You are moving to other apartment and you need to find your probability book. It is inside of one box. There are n boxes to all. The probability of the book is inside of the box i is Pi...
  19. D

    Conditional probability marble question

    Q. A box contains three blue marbles, five red marbles, and four white marbles. If one marble is drawn at random, find: a) P(blue|not white) b) P(not red|not white) The answer for both a) and b) is 3/8. However right now I don't even understand the question. part a) wants possibility of...
  20. happyg1

    Can a series of nonnegative numbers converge conditionally?

    Hi, We're debating the question "Can a series of nonnegative numbers converge conditionally?" I say no becuase if all of the terms are nonnegative then they are the same as their absolute values. My classmate disagrees and says that there is a series that has nonegative terms whose absolute...
  21. P

    Conditional Probability Traffic light question

    Hey guys Me and my friend just got this question and it seems easy but i just want to make sure we are right anyway here it is: A road has two stoplights at consecutive intersections. The prob. of a red at the first is 0.55 and the probability of a green at the second, give a green at light...
  22. M

    Can we use conditional expectation?

    I found this question in a book: Two palyers A and B alternatively roll a pair of unbiased die. A wins if on a throw he obtain exactly 6 points, before B gets 7 points, B wining in the opposing event. If A begins the game prove that the probability of A winning is 30/61 and that the expected...
  23. G

    Finding conditional variance?

    the discrete prob distribution X/Y - G - D 0 - 0,1 - 0,15 1 - 0,1 - 0,3 2 - 0,05 - 0,3 this is what i have so far: E[X|Y=D]=0,2 E[X|Y=g]=0,9 E[X]=0,725 E[X^2|Y=D]=0,3 E[X^2|Y=G]=1,5 Var(X|Y=G)=0,69 Var(X|Y=D)=0,26 i.e. [X]=0,2*0,25 + 0,9*0,75=0,725 is the previous...
  24. A

    Question abount independence events and conditional events

    Prove this questions using ration ideal in intuitive way. Prove this implications and explain the results: (a) A _|_ B => not A _|_ not B, onde _|_ means that events A and B are independent. (b)[ P(A|C) >= P(B|C) ] and [ P(A|not C) >= P(B|not C) ] ==> P(A) > P(B)
  25. A

    Question about conditional probability

    Question about conditional probability. Can someone help me ? Repulsion. The event A is said to be repelled by the event B is P(A|B) < P(A), and to be attracted by B P(A|B) > P(A). (a) Show that if B attracts A, then A attracts B, and ~B repels A. (b) If A attracts B, and B attarcts C...
  26. A

    Conditional probability - Random number of dice

    Can someone help me with this question ? A random number N of dice is thrown. Let Ai be the event that N = i, and assume that P(Ai) = 1/(2)^i, i >= 1. The sum of the scores is S. Find the probability that: (a) S = 4, given N is even; (b) the largest number shown by any die is r, where S...
  27. S

    Conditional Prob -cont random variable

    hello all I have been workin on some problems involving conditional probability and continuous random variables and the thing is i don't know if i get the limits correct, anyway here is the problem, check it out, any suggestions would be helpful f(y_1,y_2)...
  28. I

    Conditional density function - please

    conditional density function - need help please! given a signal x, is a random variable which is expontential with a mean of 3. it is transmitted through an additive gaussian noise channel, where the gaussian noise has a mean of -2 and a variance of 3. the signal and noise are...
  29. M

    What is the probability of a customer leaving a workshop happy?

    Ok guys, I don't really understand conditional probability, can you guys tell me how to go about solving this? To please customers, repairs need to be done satisfactorily and completed on time. For one mechanic, if the job is done on time, he has a 85% chance that it was also done...
  30. P

    Conditional probablility. HELP HURRY

    I missed my data management class on friday and now If find out I have a quiz tomorrow on the stuff I missed. I got fridays sheet but these questions seem really dumb and kind of confusing. Some of them seem so simple they are confusing. here are some of the ones that confused me that maybe you...
  31. S

    I dont understand how conditional probabilty works

    so P(A|B) = P(A intersect B)/ P(B). so, P(A intersect B) is the same as P(A) * P(B) right? so doesn't the P(B) always cancel out, and the answer will always be P(A)? That doesn't makes sense at all... :confused: for example: A family has 2 children, and all possibilites are equally...
  32. F

    How Do You Calculate Conditional Probabilities with Joint PDFs?

    I just need a guide to this problem... found in one of the books in the library... Given the joint pdf f(x,y) = 2e^[-(x+y)] where 0 < x < y, y > 0 find P(Y < 1 / x < 1). Note that "/" means given that. I got the formula when P(a < Y < b / X = x) is given, i.e., in terms of the integral...
  33. F

    A conditional probability question

    In a class of 15 students, 10 are expected to pass maths and 12 are expected to pass english. how many students are expected to pass maths and english? ----- the answer given in the book is 7. i don't understand how this answer was reached. could someone please show me how to calculate...
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