What is Hypothesis testing: Definition and 86 Discussions

A statistical hypothesis is a hypothesis that is testable on the basis of observed data modelled as the realised values taken by a collection of random variables. A set of data is modelled as being realised values of a collection of random variables having a joint probability distribution in some set of possible joint distributions. The hypothesis being tested is exactly that set of possible probability distributions. A statistical hypothesis test is a method of statistical inference. An alternative hypothesis is proposed for the probability distribution of the data, either explicitly or only informally. The comparison of the two models is deemed statistically significant if, according to a threshold probability—the significance level—the data would be unlikely to occur if the null hypothesis were true. A hypothesis test specifies which outcomes of a study may lead to a rejection of the null hypothesis at a pre-specified level of significance, while using a pre-chosen measure of deviation from that hypothesis (the test statistic, or goodness-of-fit measure). The pre-chosen level of significance is the maximal allowed "false positive rate". One wants to control the risk of incorrectly rejecting a true null hypothesis.
The process of distinguishing between the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis is aided by considering two conceptual types of errors. The first type of error occurs when the null hypothesis is wrongly rejected. The second type of error occurs when the null hypothesis is wrongly not rejected. (The two types are known as type 1 and type 2 errors.)
Hypothesis tests based on statistical significance are another way of expressing confidence intervals (more precisely, confidence sets). In other words, every hypothesis test based on significance can be obtained via a confidence interval, and every confidence interval can be obtained via a hypothesis test based on significance.Significance-based hypothesis testing is the most common framework for statistical hypothesis testing. An alternative framework for statistical hypothesis testing is to specify a set of statistical models, one for each candidate hypothesis, and then use model selection techniques to choose the most appropriate model. The most common selection techniques are based on either Akaike information criterion (=AIC) or Bayesian information criterion (=BIC).

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  1. Ahmed1029

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  3. chwala

    Solve the problem that involves Hypothesis testing and Bin (n,p)

    ##p(x≤11)=1-[p(x=12)+p(x=13)+p(x=14)+p(x=15)]## ##p(x≤11)=1-[0.128505+0.266895+0.3431518+0.205891]=1-0.9444428=0.0556## ##⇒p(x>11)=0.9444## ##p(x≤10)=1-[0.042835+0.128505+0.266895+0.3431518+0.205891]=1-0.9872778=0.0127222## Since, ##p(x≤11)=0.0556> 0.05## then it falls on the Accepted region...
  4. ohwilleke

    I Rovelli on Quantum Gravity

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  5. S

    B Rejection region of hypothesis testing

    From z-table, I get the critical value of z is -1.282 Will the rejection region be z < -1.282 or z ≤ -1.282? If I calculate the test statistics and it has value of -1.282, would I reject or accept null hypothesis? Thanks
  6. P

    How to Determine Whether to Accept or Reject a Hypothesis?

    Summary:: Confused on correction for contunuity I'm confused about one step for questions like this where you have to determine to accept or reject the null hypothesis. Sample size: 50 Number of successes: 23 Significance level: 10% Null hypothesis: p = 0.4 Accepted hypothesis: p > 0.4...
  7. P

    B Stats: Determining significance level in problem

    Question: In finance, the strong form of the efficient market hypothesis states that studying financial information about stocks is a waste of time since all public and private information that might affect the stock price is already reflected in the price of the stock. However, a study of 450...
  8. G

    B Statistics Help : Hypothesis Testing

    Answer : I understnad why x(< or = ) 2 but I do not understand why we use 16 instead of 17 for the second range? When P(X>=16) > 0.005(which is the level of significance). Thank you for all the help given :)
  9. G

    I Hypothesis Testing: Comparing Gaussian Distributions

    Hi, I have some set of data and I want to use Hypothesis Testing to discriminate between two hypotheses: H0: My data follows a Gaussian distribution with a given mean and a given std (the actual values are ugly, so let's say mean = 0 and std = 1). H1: My data follows a Gaussian distribution with...
  10. T

    Showing Rejection Region Equality with Fisher Distribution

    Homework Statement [/B] For reference: Book: Mathematical Statistics with Applications, 7th Ed., by Wackerly, Mendenhall, and Scheaffer. Problem: 10.81 From two normal populations with respective variances ##\sigma_1^2## and ##\sigma_2^2##, we observe independent sample variances ##S_1^2## and...
  11. R

    I Multiple hypothesis testing for radar tracking in clutter

    Hello All, The goal is to formulate a multiple hypothesis test for a radar tracking problem when false alarms are occurring and to apply a particle filter on this update step, however I first need to come to/understand the multiple hypothesis formulation in this problem. Say we are interested...
  12. F

    I Hypothesis Testing with Bayes

    My example question is as below. The question is wordy and hard to wrap your head around but I completely understand what it is asking, I just have no idea how to go about it, or where to start. I have spent hours scratching my head on this one! We have been taught two methods of Bayesian...
  13. H

    I Why does normal distribution turn into t distribution when variance is unknown?

    Suppose ##X## ~ N(##\mu##,##\sigma^2##). Then ##\bar{X}## ~ N(##\mu##,##\frac{\sigma^2}{n}##), where ##\bar{X}## is the random variable for sample mean for samples of size ##n##. But when the population variance ##\sigma^2## is unknown and the sample size ##n## is small, ##\bar{X}## no longer...
  14. M

    MHB Hypothesis testing - Winning a game

    Hey! :o A and B play 100 games of squash; A wins E times. B claims that both of them have the same probability of winning a game. We consider that the games are independent. (a) Formulate the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis. (b) For which values of $E$ will the null...
  15. M

    MHB Performance of students - Hypothesis testing

    Hey! :o A teacher wants to find out if the order of the exam tasks has an impact on the performance of the students. Therefore, he creates two versions ($ X $ and $ Y $) of an exam in which the exam tasks are arranged differently. The versions are randomly distributed so that $ n $ students...
  16. H

    Sampling Distribution Question

    I've added a screenshot (https://imgur.com/a/isQXZ) and the text below for your convenience. Please show steps if possible to help my understanding. Thank you. Consider a random variable that is Normally distributed, with population mean mu = E [X] and population variance sigma^2 = var [X]...
  17. K

    B Postulates and pseudoscientific hypothesis difference?

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  18. T

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    Homework Statement An advertisement for a certain brand of cigarettes claimed that on average there's no more than 18mg of nicotine per cigarettes . A test of 12 cigarettes gave a sample mean of 19.1 . Assuming varience is 4 , test the claim with a significance level of α = 0.05 Homework...
  19. M

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  20. R

    Conceptual Question regarding hypothesis testing regression

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  21. G

    Hypothesis testing case

    Homework Statement Given ##X_1,\dots,X_{100}##, test ##H_0: \lambda=1## against ##H_a: \lambda=4##. The mean ##\bar{X_{100}}=1.5## (1) Take the decision on 3% level. (2) Find the p-value Homework Equations ##t=\frac{\bar{x}-\mu}{s/\sqrt{n}}## The Attempt at a Solution The level of...
  22. G

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  23. P

    I Algorithm to create a composite score

    Hi everyone! This is an application question. I would like to get some advice about how to calculate a score based on a set of individual scores in a way that makes most sense. CONTEXT: I am going over some criteria for judging usability of hypotheses. I came up with a whole bunch about a...
  24. R

    Confusion between z and t values

    Homework Statement Hi, Alright so I have some confusion on when to use specific tests and the z vs t test. Given this example (not my homework) could someone please clarify. Alright say you have a random sample of size 200. You find the sample mean to be 10 and the sample standard deviation...
  25. N

    MHB P-value: 0.0098Area of the critical region: 0.01Critical value(s): ±2.326

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  26. T

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  28. T

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  29. R

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  30. S

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  31. H

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  32. A

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  33. Kerrie

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  34. X

    Hypothesis Testing: Comparing Birth Weights of Chinese and Caucasian Babies

    The problem: A simple random sample of 1862 births of Chinese babies resulted in a mean birth weight of 3171 g and a standard deviation of 428 g (based on “Comparison of Birth Weight Distributions between Chinese and Caucasian Infants,” by Wen et al., American Journal of Epidemiology, Vol.172...
  35. D

    Hypothesis testing technique

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  36. P

    MHB Hypothesis Testing question

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  37. T

    How Do You Determine Direction in Hypothesis Testing?

    Homework Statement For example in my notes in class the prof went over an example with the following null and alternative hypothesis: I feel like you can switch them around but I am not too sure. I have been trying to figure out when to use greater than or less than for the null...
  38. M

    Hypothesis testing for std. deviation (SD)

    Hi, What I know: In a hypothesis test for the mean, we compare a sample mean with a hypothetical sampling distribution of means. And depending on how far it is away from the mean of the sampling distribution, we attribute it the probability of getting that value purely by chance. What I...
  39. B

    Hypothesis Testing: 95% Confidence of Over 60% Liking Chocolate Ice Cream

    In a sample of 100 people. 50 people like ice cream, of those 50 people, 25 like chocolate. Calculate with 95% confidence, that over 60% of people like his chocolate ice cream. H_0= mu > 0.60 H_1=mu < 0.60 25/50=0.50% of people like chocolate ice cream (0.50-0.60)/...
  40. P

    Multiple Linear Regression - Hypothesis Testing

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  41. Pythagorean

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  42. P

    Hypothesis Testing: Factorial ANOVA

    Hello! So I had to propose a research design as an assignment and I chose to look at cognitive function in an exercise group vs. a control group over the period of 10 years. -subjects are tested at the beginning and end of each year The groups were not randomized on perfectly (I used two...
  43. B

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  44. twoski

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  45. icystrike

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  46. K

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  47. A

    A question about hypothesis testing

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  48. A

    A Question about Hypothesis Testing

    In this link: http://www.math.harvard.edu/~phorn/362/362assn3-solns.pdf Why isn't the significane level for number 5 just 0.01? Because we know that if the mean is 30,000 (the same as the mean for the null hypothesis), the value of the power function is 0.01... Thanks in advance
  49. A

    Some questions about hypothesis testing

    I think I’m a bit confused about what \alpha is. For the definition that is given, what theta really means when they say [tex]\alpha = max_{\theta \in w_0} P_{\theta} [(X_1, … , X_n) \in C]. I just think that it’s not really clear in my head, so is it ok if anybody explains/gives and example...
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