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- TL;DR Summary
- missed forecast?
What happened to the forecasting on this one?
Climate change, apparently. Not in the prediction database parameters...nsaspook said:TL;DR Summary: missed forecast?
What happened to the forecasting on this one?
The big picture: The storm "explosively intensified" on Tuesday into the evening, with its maximum sustained winds jumping by 110 mph in just 24 hours — a mark only exceeded in modern times by Hurricane Patricia in 2015, per NHC. It remained a powerful Category 5 hurricane through landfall early Wednesday.
- The storm's 12-hour intensification rate of 80 mph was the fastest in the eastern North Pacific during the satellite era, per meteorologist Philip Klotzbach of Colorado State University.
Hurricane Otis slammed into the city on October 25 at 12:25 A.M. local time with windspeeds of around 165 miles per hour, according to the NHC. It was the first known Category 5 storm to ever hit the region. “There are no hurricanes on record even close to this intensity for this part of Mexico,” the dire NHC forecast noted.
As of the latest update, Hurricane Otis has reached Category 5 status, indicating maximum sustained winds of over 157 miles per hour. It is currently approaching Acapulco, Mexico, with significant potential for catastrophic damage due to high winds, heavy rainfall, and storm surges.
Hurricane Otis is expected to impact Acapulco heavily, along with surrounding regions in the state of Guerrero. Coastal areas are particularly at risk for storm surges, while inland areas may experience severe flooding and wind damage.
Residents should follow local evacuation orders, secure property, and prepare emergency kits containing water, food, medications, and important documents. It is crucial to stay informed through official channels for any updates and emergency instructions.
The local government is initiating evacuations in vulnerable areas, setting up shelters for displaced residents, and coordinating with state and federal agencies for emergency response and relief efforts. They are also continuously updating the public through various communication channels.
Given its Category 5 status, Hurricane Otis could severely impact Acapulco's infrastructure, including damage to buildings, roads, and power lines, potentially leading to prolonged power outages and water supply disruptions. Economically, significant impacts are anticipated, especially in the tourism sector, which is a major component of the local economy.