Collecting opinions on Gianpaolo Giuliani's work

[Einj]

Hi everyone. A few days ago I listened something about Giampaolo Giuliani's theory about earthquakes prevision. I'm from Italy and in my country this is a quite sensitive topic. This person pretends to have discovered a method of prevision, based on the measurement of argon released right before an earthquake.
Here in Italy he is considered from most scientists as a "charlatan" and, although I don't have any knowledge on geophysics, I admit to be a little skeptical too.
Giuliani asserts to be well known in different countries and that many foreign scientists have considered his work. I would like to know if someone who belongs to a country different from Italy has ever heard about this guy and, if so, what is the common idea about his theories.

Thank you very much

 

[CWatters]

The idea has been around since at least the 1960's. Lots of papers on the subject. A quick google suggests it seems to "work" sometimes and not others. Sometimes you get radon spikes followed by a quake and sometimes you don't. The problem is you can't evacuate a town for a month every time there is a spike.

Several web article say that Giampaolo Giuliani's 2009 prediction was wrong anyway...

http://www.precaution.org/lib/ccs_causes_earthquakes.090414.htm

To complicate matters, Mr. Giuliani's prediction was off in time and place. He had predicted that the quake would hit a week earlier in a town 30 miles away. Had officials acted on his prediction, said Richard M. Allen, a professor of geophysics at the University of California, Berkeley, "you would have evacuated the wrong town and you would have evacuated the wrong town at the wrong time."

 

[Einj]

Thank you. I'll definitely have a look at it. My greatest concern, however, was on the credibility of Mr. Giuliani himself as a scientist, as he affirms to be well known and respected, while here in Italy nobody seems to have ever read any of his works on a real scientific journal.

 

[Studiot]

Well the area of the UK I live in is a 'radon area', which means that radon percolates up through foundations all the time in some localities.

Earth tremors on the other hand only happen here every couple of centurys or so. We don't have real quakes.

 

[LudusRex]

for your question. As a scientist, it is important to approach any new theory or discovery with a critical and open mind. In the case of Gianpaolo Giuliani's work, it is understandable that there may be skepticism surrounding his claims, especially in a country like Italy where the topic of earthquake prediction is sensitive and has a long history.

In my experience, I have not personally heard of Giuliani's theory being widely accepted or recognized by the scientific community outside of Italy. However, it is always possible that there may be some scientists or researchers who have taken an interest in his work and have evaluated it objectively.

As with any new theory or discovery, it is important for it to undergo rigorous testing and peer review in order to be considered valid. Without this process, it is difficult to determine the credibility and reliability of Giuliani's claims.

In the scientific community, it is crucial to have evidence-based research and data to support any theories or predictions. It would be beneficial for Giuliani to provide more information on his method and the results of his research in order to gain more credibility and potentially have his work recognized and accepted by the wider scientific community.

Overall, it is important to approach Giuliani's work with a critical and open mind, but also to consider the lack of widespread acceptance and scrutiny by the scientific community. It may be worth investigating further, but it is also important to be cautious and not jump to conclusions without sufficient evidence and support.