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Zogby: Kerry ahead 273 to 222 in electoral votes
(Later polls from many indicate Kerry pulling further ahead)
Kerry is back in the race, says latest poll
(Zogby correctly predicted Gore's greater numbers in 2000, while
Gallup and other corporate media polls linked financially to the GOP
had B ahead by 11 points to 6 points.)
Analysis of swing states gives challenger small lead
Julian Borger in Washington
Wednesday September 8, 2004
The Guardian
The Zogby poll says the president has made up ground in many of the 20 battleground states, but Mr Kerry retains a slim lead in most of them - enough to give him a majority in the electoral college, if the vote was held now.
The college, which chooses the president, is made up of 538 delegates drawn from the 50 states and Washington DC, according to population. Assigning electors according to the way each state is leaning now, the Zogby poll gives Mr Kerry a lead of 273 to 222, down from the past two months, but a significant edge all the same.
(none of the polls, not even zogby or pew,
are doing enough young cellphone user polling)
(hold Gallup accountable for giving Bush a false 11 point
edge in late Oct 2000)
(Hold all corporate media PR accountable for
calling themselves pollsters)
http://forum.johnkerry.com
Last Race Gallup Got Right Was 1984
Why you should never trust Gallup. A Quiz:
1. When is the last time that Gallup accurately predicted the outcome of a presidential election?
2. How many elections have there been since then?
3. Of those elections that have been held since their last accurate poll, how often has Gallup been wrong by 3% or more?
4. Of those elections that have been held since their last accurate poll, what has been the average error between their final poll results and the actual outcome of the poll?
Answers:
1. 1984 was the last time Gallup got it right
2. 4 - 1988, 1992, 1996, 2000
3. 3 - They have been wrong outside the margin of error 3 out of 4 of those elections.
4. 4 - The average difference between their final poll and the actual outcome was greater than the margin of error.
This post has been edited by kerrywinsbig: Today, 08:02 PM
--------------------
This post is opinion of poster and
not necessarily of the majority of Kerry supporters,
campaign or President Kerry. Purple happens as tens of millions of blue voters win in formerly red states..
Thank You God and the people of the USA
for Kerry's 2005 Inauguration Day
(Later polls from many indicate Kerry pulling further ahead)
Kerry is back in the race, says latest poll
(Zogby correctly predicted Gore's greater numbers in 2000, while
Gallup and other corporate media polls linked financially to the GOP
had B ahead by 11 points to 6 points.)
Analysis of swing states gives challenger small lead
Julian Borger in Washington
Wednesday September 8, 2004
The Guardian
The Zogby poll says the president has made up ground in many of the 20 battleground states, but Mr Kerry retains a slim lead in most of them - enough to give him a majority in the electoral college, if the vote was held now.
The college, which chooses the president, is made up of 538 delegates drawn from the 50 states and Washington DC, according to population. Assigning electors according to the way each state is leaning now, the Zogby poll gives Mr Kerry a lead of 273 to 222, down from the past two months, but a significant edge all the same.
(none of the polls, not even zogby or pew,
are doing enough young cellphone user polling)
(hold Gallup accountable for giving Bush a false 11 point
edge in late Oct 2000)
(Hold all corporate media PR accountable for
calling themselves pollsters)
http://forum.johnkerry.com
Last Race Gallup Got Right Was 1984
Why you should never trust Gallup. A Quiz:
1. When is the last time that Gallup accurately predicted the outcome of a presidential election?
2. How many elections have there been since then?
3. Of those elections that have been held since their last accurate poll, how often has Gallup been wrong by 3% or more?
4. Of those elections that have been held since their last accurate poll, what has been the average error between their final poll results and the actual outcome of the poll?
Answers:
1. 1984 was the last time Gallup got it right
2. 4 - 1988, 1992, 1996, 2000
3. 3 - They have been wrong outside the margin of error 3 out of 4 of those elections.
4. 4 - The average difference between their final poll and the actual outcome was greater than the margin of error.
This post has been edited by kerrywinsbig: Today, 08:02 PM
--------------------
This post is opinion of poster and
not necessarily of the majority of Kerry supporters,
campaign or President Kerry. Purple happens as tens of millions of blue voters win in formerly red states..
Thank You God and the people of the USA
for Kerry's 2005 Inauguration Day