Recent content by svm

  1. S

    Predicting Rainfall in a Village: Understanding the Necessary Information

    Hm... That's interesting. My answer was only about 0.19 bit: 1 - (- 0.75 * lg 0.75 - 0.25 * lg 0.25) bit Am I wrong?
  2. S

    Predicting Rainfall in a Village: Understanding the Necessary Information

    In some village rain falls with probability of 0.5 (statistically), e.g. tomorrow it may or may not fall, the chances are equal. A local meteorologist gathers information, allowing him only to predict rain falling in the village with average success rate of 75% (about 3 of 4 predictions are...
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