Recent content by themaestro

  1. T

    Sports question. Team Race to 6 points chances

    Just wondering if anyone has any ideas about where I have gone wrong? i reckon there must be some other relationship between P(Af) and P(Apo) that I have not taken account of.
  2. T

    Is Infinity Just a Mathematical Concept or Does It Exist in Reality?

    Dont think the equations are vaild as infinity is not a number so can not have e.g A=infinity. You can only say A tends to infinity. (and here A can not be a number because a number is fixed and can not tend. A must be an expression, e.g the sum of a infinite series, if for example y=1/x, the...
  3. T

    Sports question. Team Race to 6 points chances

    here is details of my attempt. P(Af)=P(Af| (A and B)) *P(A and B) + P(Af| not(A and B))*P(not(A and B)) (1) since P(Af| not(A and B)) can only occur if Team A reaches 6 points and B does not then this is equal to (P(A)- P(A and B)) / (P(not(A and B)) sub into (1) and...
  4. T

    Does this problem make sense? (Probability and Survey Sampling)

    If I understand problem correctly then P(S[2]=i)=P(S[2]=i|S[1]\neqi)*P(S[1]\neqi) so for i=1 then P(S[2]=1)=(1/8)*(4/5) will be the same method for other elements
  5. T

    Solving Tree Diagram Problem - Exam Missed

    I would have thought he would be after P(Bitten by own pet|Bitten) which would be 87/95
  6. T

    Sports question. Team Race to 6 points chances

    Was hoping someone might be able to assist in this problem Scenario is have a American football game with two team A and team B. Am trying to work out the probability of each team getting to 6 points first, from the following infomation: Let A be the event team A scores equal to or more...
  7. T

    Probability of 3 successive ball picks?

    thanks techmologist, will test this to see what results it gives. The logic looks to be sound as far as I can tell
  8. T

    Probability of 3 successive ball picks?

    this is what I do not think is right, I don't know what the answer should be in this example but looking at other examples. If X=2 and Y=3 then this equation gives (X/X+Y)^3=(2/5)^3=0.008. but infact the answer should be 0 as it is impossible for there to be 3 reds in a row if there are only...
  9. T

    Conundrum Regarding Evolution Probability

    I think these are the numbers your after 0.25^900= 1.4*10^(-542) and (0.25^(900))^23000= 1.5* 10^(-12462642) didnt need a cray computer; it is not actually a difficult calculation, your calculator probably can't deal with such small numbers! hope...
  10. T

    Probability of 3 successive ball picks?

    Hi Was hoping you could clear this thing up about the prior probability (X/X+Y)^3 and exactly what you mean by this. One thing I know its not is the initital probability of the first 3 balls being red as this is (X')(X'-1)(X'-2)/[(X'+Y')(X'+Y'-1)(X'+Y'-2)] also it can not be the initital...
  11. T

    Probability of 3 successive ball picks?

    would it not be (X')(X'-1)(X'-2)/[(X'+Y')(X'+Y'-1)(X'+Y'-2)] instead of (X/[X+Y])^3 as the number of remaining balls reduces by one after every pick? Regarding your main algorithm i think it looks fine, my only issues would be with actually using this as wouldn't there be a very large...
  12. T

    Probability of 3 successive ball picks?

    Thanks for taking the time to have a look at this. I hadnt considered looking at in this way before. One problem is that the 3 reds can occur anywhere in the sequence, so by your method would we need to sum for all combinations of n(x)n(y)? i.e would it be Double sum(...
  13. T

    Probability of 3 successive ball picks?

    Hi This question has been driving me mad, hoping someone will be able to help me The question is: A bag contains X Red balls and Y Blue Balls. A ball is picked from the bag (at random) one at a time until all the balls have been picked. What is the Probability that 3 successive red balls...
Back
Top