Recent content by Wagmc

At the current AF, it is not possible to support IPCC estimates of CO2 residence times on the order of ~100 years. It would be closer to 10-15 years, as other studies have found. Thus, IPCC is overestimating how fast CO2 will accumulate and their warming scenarios are overstated.

in the words of Knorr: I think that's pretty clear, as is my understanding.

Conclusion from the paper: I read this as: if the models haven't gotten the past right, they can't be relied upon to accurately project the future.

contrary to AGW theory. I have not yet read the actual study. http://bristol.ac.uk/news/2009/6649.html"

Uhm...no. I see a plateau since 2000, and the most recent temps are NOT record highs. Just because you read it in the news does not make it a fact. This was in response to the statement: your lovely chart makes my point nicely, although the clever use of scaling makes temps looks...

I'll post you some references. There are several. Only if you look at the contaminated surface record. Satellites don't show that "all time" high. As for "where's the cooling?" Ha. Where's the warming? If CO2 is such a significant driver of temps, they why no warming since 2000...

TSI is not the only component of solar forcing. You continue to ignore indirect (magnetic) effects as well as the recent discovery that UV modulates ozone production over the poles, which is an exothermic reaction. http://www.iop.org/EJ/abstract/0004-637X/705/1/926/" New study confirms...

Well, then, let's put it back in. Loehle, Craig. 2009. Trend analysis of RSS and UAH MSU global temperature data. Energy & Environment 20(7): 1087-1098. CONCLUSIONS Analysis of the satellite data shows a statistically significant cooling trend for the past 12 to 13 years, with it not...

funny how it only shows up on ground-based measures. UHI anyone? https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=347415

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and your simple model does not alter the fact that as air warms, it rises, where condensation releases heat at altitude where it radiates away, forms clouds that increase albedo, and rain that cools the ground. Hurricanes are a good example of this convective heat transport. clouds are...

I disagree. Follow me here. It is well established that CO2 alone cannot account for all observed warming. IPCC discounts indirect (magnetic) effects, even though there is significant observational evidence that something is modulating cloud cover over long time scales. This cannot...

If you put forth the claim that a recent PDO cool shift and recent decline in solar activity are "masking" the warming from CO2, you imply acceptance that the PDO warm shift (1977) and modern grand (1,000 year) solar maximum are responsible for at least part of observed warming. And the more...

"weakest values for solar insolation" is not consistent with grand maximum of solar activity. If you are referring to orbital influences, it could be that increased solar activity is more than sufficient to offset the minor insolation change. And that when (not if) solar activity declines, we...

another new paper in GJR today directly addresses UHI contamination of surface measures. http://www.agu.org/journals/pip/jd/2009JD011841-pip.pdf concludes: We find that there have, in general, been larger linear trends in surface temperature datasets such as the NCDC and HadCRUTv3...