Rumors of Gravitational Wave Inspiral at Advanced LIGO | Sept 2015 Launch

In summary: If the rumors are true, this would be a huge discovery. It would also be a big setback for the many competing theories of gravity. There has been speculation for many years that there could be a stronger signal out there, but no one has been able to confirm it.In summary, there are rumors that LIGO has seen evidence of a gravitational wave inspiral. It is still uncertain if this is true, but there is a press conference scheduled for February 11th to discuss the matter.
  • #106
mfb said:
Too many. ~500 million light years uncertainty for the distance, and the distance of ~1.3 billion light years gives ~400 million light years for 14 degrees. So roughly a volume of (400Mly)^3. Tens of millions of galaxies I guess.
But how could they know then the masses of the merging BH and that it was a merger?
 
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  • #107
fresh_42 said:
But how could they know then the masses of the merging BH and that it was a merger?
From analyzing the waveform of the signal.
 
  • #108
I have a question about how they were able to detect the gravitational wave. They say they have two different sites approx. 4000 km away from one another. If the size of the wave is one tenth of a electron-mass how did both sites detect the wave came through?
 
  • #109
Tphysics said:
If the size of the wave is one tenth of a electron-mass

I don't know what that means, but the wavelength varies from 10,000 miles to about 1000 miles.
 
  • #110
Vanadium 50 said:
I don't know what that means, but the wavelength varies from 10,000 miles to about 1000 miles.

So the wavelength is so large that the wave might encompass half of earth? So there was a chance per say that only one site could detect the wave because the two sites were thousands of miles apart?
 
  • #111
Tphysics said:
So the wavelength is so large that the wave might encompass half of earth? So there was a chance per say that only one site could detect the wave because the two sites were thousands of miles apart?
No. Think of ripples on a pond. The black holes are the stone dropped into the water; the LIGO detectors are two rocks sticking out of the water some distance away. The wavelength is the spacing between one ripple and the one following it and the strength of the signal is the height of the wave. Whatever the wavelength is, and however tiny the height of the wave is, the wave washes over both rocks.

Gravitational waves are different from water waves in a number of ways, but they will always pass through both detectors.
 
  • #112
Ibix said:
No. Think of ripples on a pond. The black holes are the stone dropped into the water; the LIGO detectors are two rocks sticking out of the water some distance away. The wavelength is the spacing between one ripple and the one following it and the strength of the signal is the height of the wave. Whatever the wavelength is, and however tiny the height of the wave is, the wave washes over both rocks.

Gravitational waves are different from water waves in a number of ways, but they will always pass through both detectors.

I guess I was sort of thinking about them as a particle instead of a wave. But duh this makes total sense. Shows how sensitive these machines were.
 
  • #113
Tphysics said:
So there was a chance per say that only one site could detect the wave because the two sites were thousands of miles apart?

Why would you think that? The wavelength for FM radio is about 10 feet, yet people can tune it in all around the city.
 
  • #114
Once again, I'd like to ask about Gravitational Waves and Dark Matter - would Dark Matter potentially be detectable/identifiable through Gravitational Waves? What sort of criteria would the signal have to meet in order to indicate Dark Matter?
 
  • #115
Gravitational lensing is already a major piece of evidence for dark matter. I don't really see any way GW would help unless there were a model of a large mass of dark matter with changing acceleration - totally unlikely. Matter (dark or not) between us and a GW source is invisible to the GW. Short answer: GW will not help with dark matter, but GR has helped a lot via lensing.
 
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  • #116
PAllen said:
Gravitational lensing is already a major piece of evidence for dark matter. I don't really see any way GW would help unless there were a model of a large mass of dark matter with changing acceleration - totally unlikely. Matter (dark or not) between us and a GW source is invisible to the GW. Short answer: GW will not help with dark matter, but GR has helped a lot via lensing.

Hmm, so Gravitational Wave observation can only be useful for observing violent cataclysmic phenomena in space? What about for example the rotation of galaxies, for which Dark Matter has been hypothesized as an explanation on why such galaxies don't fly apart? If we could observe some waves from rotating galaxies, this might tell us how much mass/matter is in those galaxies, which we could then cross-reference against visible light observations. Gravitational Waves should at least afford us proper mass measurements of galaxies and other large entities.

I'm even wondering if SETI could use Gravitational Wave observation to look for signs of intelligent life. Perhaps some advanced civilizations use Gravitational Waves for communication, since they pass through everything instead of being absorbed. Perhaps any exotic "FTL" propulsion would likewise generate some telltale Gravitational Wave signature. Perhaps large artificial constructs like Dyson Spheres could also exhibit peculiar characteristics.

What I really see an opportunity for is the further development of Atom Interferometry (and even molecular interferometry) for better detection of Gravitational Waves. They might be able to afford a sensitivity that goes far beyond LIGO. Combine that with "Big Data" analytics and you might be able to parse out very detailed signals on much smaller astrophysical phenomena. Maybe this too could lead to Dark Matter detection.
 
  • #117
sanman said:
If we could observe some waves from rotating galaxies, this might tell us how much mass/matter is in those galaxies, which we could then cross-reference against visible light observations.
This isn't going to work. The rate of radiation of gravitational waves is proportional to the frequency raised to the 6th power. The period of rotation of a galaxy is on the order of 10^8 years, so the frequency is extremely small.
 
  • #118
Would it at least be possible to artificially generate Gravitational Waves - very tiny ones, obviously - and detect them using a detector like LIGO or like an Atom Interferometer? Even though Man-made Gravitational Waves would be far, far smaller than those from astrophysical phenomena like Black Holes, at least any attempts to measure them would be done at distances far, far smaller than the distant Black Holes that LIGO has been getting signals from. Wouldn't the far lower distance offset the fact of the smaller amplitudes, to make detection feasible? I was just imagining that if Gravitational Waves could be harnessed for communication purposes, then there'd be no need for satellite relays and such. We could have direct communication between Earth and Mars even when both are on opposite sides of the Sun.
 
  • #119
sanman said:
Would it at least be possible to artificially generate Gravitational Waves - very tiny ones, obviously - and detect them using a detector like LIGO or like an Atom Interferometer? Even though Man-made Gravitational Waves would be far, far smaller than those from astrophysical phenomena like Black Holes, at least any attempts to measure them would be done at distances far, far smaller than the distant Black Holes that LIGO has been getting signals from. Wouldn't the far lower distance offset the fact of the smaller amplitudes, to make detection feasible? I was just imagining that if Gravitational Waves could be harnessed for communication purposes, then there'd be no need for satellite relays and such. We could have direct communication between Earth and Mars even when both are on opposite sides of the Sun.
I have never heard of a small detector (e.g. atom interferometer) being able to detect GW. Do you have any source for this? So far as I know, the bigger the detector, the better for GW.

There is no currently conceivable method to detect gravitational waves that can be produced locally. Note that the total power output of GW from all sources in the solar system is estimated to be enough to power a few light bulbs - distributed over the volume of the solar system.

You seem to have the syndrome "if you have a hammer everything looks like a nail". This detection is fantastic, and more will come, but GW are not some magic tool that solves a broad range of problems.
 
  • #120
PAllen said:
I have never heard of a small detector (e.g. atom interferometer) being able to detect GW. Do you have any source for this? So far as I know, the bigger the detector, the better for GW.

There is no currently conceivable method to detect gravitational waves that can be produced locally. Note that the total power output of GW from all sources in the solar system is estimated to be enough to power a few light bulbs - distributed over the volume of the solar system.

You seem to have the syndrome "if you have a hammer everything looks like a nail". This detection is fantastic, and more will come, but GW are not some magic tool that solves a broad range of problems.
Since the atom is more massive than the photon, it has a much lower DeBroglie wavelength, thus allowing much greater precision in interferometry. Photons were turned into coherent light long ago with the invention of the laser. The more recent invention of the BEC has led to the "atom laser" and atom interferometry.





The atom interferometer can be a much more compact device than the huge LIGO, and could be launched into space (perhaps to a LaGrange Point). It can have far greater precision/sensitivity, and would also be much less expensive to build.
 
  • #121
More:



It seems like atom interferometers are the best possible tool to perform Gravitational Wave observations.
(Researchers are working on applying the same idea to molecules, which are even heavier than atoms, and thus have an even shorter DeBroglie wavelength which could be used for even more precise interferometry)
 
  • #122
The true sensation of the discovery is the engineering masterpiece!
 
  • #123
bcrowell said:
This isn't going to work. The rate of radiation of gravitational waves is proportional to the frequency raised to the 6th power. The period of rotation of a galaxy is on the order of 10^8 years, so the frequency is extremely small.

Additionally, because the frequency is so small, one needs to listen for hundreds of millions of years to see a wave. So this is impossible on two grounds: there's not enough energy to see it. and there's not enough time to see it.

And (to sanman):
PAllen said:
You seem to have the syndrome "if you have a hammer everything looks like a nail".

+1

It's interesting how, right after a discovery, there are a bunch of messages of the form, "I know how to do this better!"
 
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  • #124
Tphysics said:
I have a question about how they were able to detect the gravitational wave. They say they have two different sites approx. 4000 km away from one another. If the size of the wave is one tenth of a electron-mass how did both sites detect the wave came through?
The wave hit the whole galaxy (and much larger structures) in a uniform way. The amplitude (the relative change in distance) is tiny, but it is the same amplitude everywhere.
Comparing the amplitude of gravitational waves to masses does not make sense.
sanman said:
Would it at least be possible to artificially generate Gravitational Waves - very tiny ones, obviously - and detect them using a detector like LIGO or like an Atom Interferometer? Even though Man-made Gravitational Waves would be far, far smaller than those from astrophysical phenomena like Black Holes, at least any attempts to measure them would be done at distances far, far smaller than the distant Black Holes that LIGO has been getting signals from. Wouldn't the far lower distance offset the fact of the smaller amplitudes, to make detection feasible? I was just imagining that if Gravitational Waves could be harnessed for communication purposes, then there'd be no need for satellite relays and such. We could have direct communication between Earth and Mars even when both are on opposite sides of the Sun.
The strain from artificial gravitational waves at the boundary of what can possibly be produced on Earth is something like 15 orders of magnitude smaller than what LIGO can measure. I don't say it is impossibe, but it is way beyond the capabilities of even the keenest proposals today.
 
  • #125
sanman said:
Since the atom is more massive than the photon, it has a much lower DeBroglie wavelength, thus allowing much greater precision in interferometry. Photons were turned into coherent light long ago with the invention of the laser. The more recent invention of the BEC has led to the "atom laser" and atom interferometry.





The atom interferometer can be a much more compact device than the huge LIGO, and could be launched into space (perhaps to a LaGrange Point). It can have far greater precision/sensitivity, and would also be much less expensive to build.

sanman said:
Since the atom is more massive than the photon, it has a much lower DeBroglie wavelength, thus allowing much greater precision in interferometry. Photons were turned into coherent light long ago with the invention of the laser. The more recent invention of the BEC has led to the "atom laser" and atom interferometry.





The atom interferometer can be a much more compact device than the huge LIGO, and could be launched into space (perhaps to a LaGrange Point). It can have far greater precision/sensitivity, and would also be much less expensive to build.

Thanks, very interesting. However, it changes nothing else I said.
 
  • #126
sanman said:
Since the atom is more massive than the photon, it has a much lower DeBroglie wavelength, thus allowing much greater precision in interferometry.

That's what I thought, too. Hence the comment in my post #21:

DiracPool said:
My guess is that they measure these tolerances so closely because they are using an interferometer running an extremely high frequency/small wavelength and that they have a technique to measure extremely small phase discrepancies.

But then after reading the article it looks as though they optimize the readings at extremely low frequencies/long wavelengths, as in roughly 100 Hz.

https://dcc.ligo.org/public/0122/P150914/014/LIGO-P150914_Detection_of_GW150914.pdf

"In their most sensitive band, 100–300 Hz, the current LIGO detectors are 3 to 5 times more sensitive to strain than initial LIGO [67]; at lower frequencies, the improvement is even greater, with more than ten times better sensitivity below 60 Hz."

Maybe I'm reading this wrong, but I'm guessing the frequency doesn't matter so much as it is their ability to detect minute differences in the phase. If you took at the timeplot of the inspiral event, it too looks to be on the order of 100 Hz or less.
 
  • #127
bcrowell said:
A maximum-entropy big bang, which is the most overwhelmingly likely possibility, would have had its gravitational degrees of freedom equilibrated with all the other degrees of freedom
I have been wondering: to what extent is this consensus science, and to what extent Roger Penrose's pet ideas?
 
  • #128
maline said:
I have been wondering: to what extent is this consensus science, and to what extent Roger Penrose's pet ideas?

You could compare, for example, with this article:

Callender, Craig, "Thermodynamic Asymmetry in Time", The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy (Fall 2011 Edition), Edward N. Zalta (ed.), http://plato.stanford.edu/archives/fall2011/entries/time-thermo

This is a topic on which many people on the internet spout a huge amount of nonsense, and that may have contributed to your doubts. Among people who actually understand the topic, AFAIK there is no controversy on the description I gave in #96. If you want to have a serious discussion on this, we should really start a separate thread.
 
  • #129
In the Arxiv's today.
arXiv:1602.03842
The Rate of Binary Black Hole Mergers Inferred from Advanced LIGO Observations Surrounding GW150914
B. P. Abbott, R. Abbott, T. D. Abbott, M. R. Abernathy, F. Acernese, K. Ackley, C. Adams, T. Adams, P. Addesso, R. X. Adhikari, V. B. Adya, C. Affeldt, M. Agathos, K. Agatsuma,N. Aggarwal, O. D. Aguiar, L. Aiello, A. Ain, P. Ajith, B. Allen, A. Allocca, P. A. Altin, S. B. Anderson, W. G. Anderson, K. Arai, M. C. Araya, C. C. Arceneaux, J. S. Areeda, N. Arnaud, K. G. Arun, S. Ascenzi, G. Ashton, M. Ast, S. M. Aston, P. Astone, P. Aufmuth, C. Aulbert, S. Babak, P. Bacon, M. K. M. Bader, P. T. Baker, F. Baldaccini, G. Ballardin,S. W. Ballmer, J. C. Barayoga, S. E. Barclay, B. C. Barish, D. Barker, F. Barone, B. Barr, L. Barsotti, M. Barsuglia, D. Barta, J. Bartlett, I. Bartos, R. Bassiri, A. Basti, J. C. Batch,C. Baune, V. Bavigadda, M. Bazzan, B. Behnke, M. Bejger, C. Belczynski, A. S. Bell, et al. (901 additional authors not shown)
Comments: 16 pages, 6 figures, submitted to ApJL
Subjects: High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena (astro-ph.HE); General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology (gr-qc)
A transient gravitational-wave signal was identified in the twin Advanced LIGO detectors on September 14, 2015 at 09:50:45 UTC (GW150914). To assess the implications of this discovery, the detectors remained in operation with unchanged configurations over a period of 39 d around the time of the signal. A search of 16 days of simultaneous two-detector observational data found GW150914 to have a false alarm probability (FAP) of $2 \times 10^{-7}$. Parameter estimation followup on this trigger identifies its source as a binary black hole (BBH) merger with component masses $(m_1, m_2) = 36^{+5}_{-4}, 29^{+4}_{-4} \, M_\odot$ at redshift $z = 0.09^{+0.03}_{-0.04}$. Here we report on the constraints these observations place on the rate of BBH coalescences. Considering only GW150914, assuming that all BBHs in the universe have the same masses and spins as this event, imposing a false alarm threshold of 1 per 100 years, and assuming that the BBH merger rate is constant in the comoving frame, we infer a 90% credible range of $2-53 \, \mathrm{Gpc}^{-3} \, \mathrm{yr}^{-1}$ (comoving frame). Incorporating all triggers that pass the search threshold while accounting for the uncertainty in the astrophysical origin of each trigger, we estimate a higher rate, ranging from $6-400 \, \mathrm{Gpc}^{-3} \, \mathrm{yr}^{-1}$ depending on assumptions about the BBH mass distribution. All together, our various rate estimates fall in the conservative range $2-400 \, \mathrm{Gpc}^{-3} \, \mathrm{yr}^{-1}$.
 
  • #130
If you replace the $ by ##, TeX gets rendered properly.
 
  • #131
One question looms in my mind, now that GR has gained this validation, what does that mean for other existing theoretical frame works? Will science focus more on expanding on GR or continue looking for other theories to complete the standard model?

Just curious about others opinions/ thoughts.
 
  • #132
PAllen said:
There is a class of quantum gravity approaches (based on a variant way of handling spin 2 quantization, put forward by a few Russian physicists), that had a specific prediction (yeah!) that collapse would stop signficantly before horizon formation (as I recall, close to the photon sphere of classical GR). Presumably this result (along with increasing reliability of horizon / mass observations) completely kills this approach (the downside of a specific prediction). It probably kills most any approache that suggests the QG effects diverge from classical GR outside the horizon.

Or the effects outside the non existent horizon may just be be small, eg. Mathur's fuzzball.

"7.8 Do fuzzballs look the same as the traditional black hole outside the horizon?
...
...
Thus outside the fuzzball the non-sphericality effects fall off very fast, and we see an effectively spherical geometry."

http://www.physics.ohio-state.edu/~mathur/faq2.pdf
 
  • #133
gjonesy said:
One question looms in my mind, now that GR has gained this validation, what does that mean for other existing theoretical frame works? Will science focus more on expanding on GR or continue looking for other theories to complete the standard model?

Just curious about others opinions/ thoughts.

GR has long been validated at low energies, but remains problematic at high energies. It is at high energies that theories are still needed to complete GR and the standard model.

The direct detection of gravitational waves is first of all a beautiful experiment, because the prediction is beautiful and the measurement at the limits of precision. Secondly, it will allow us to see many more low energy events that were previously hard to see, such as black hole mergers.
 
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  • #134
atyy said:
Or the effects outside the non existent horizon may just be be small, eg. Mathur's fuzzball.

"7.8 Do fuzzballs look the same as the traditional black hole outside the horizon?
...
...
Thus outside the fuzzball the non-sphericality effects fall off very fast, and we see an effectively spherical geometry."

http://www.physics.ohio-state.edu/~mathur/faq2.pdf
I agree. There is no impact on a theory like this, and I quite like the fuzzball idea.
 
  • #135
Does the data underlying LIGO's detection of gravitational waves allow us to say anything new about gravitons?

IH
 
  • #136
Islam Hassan said:
Does the data underlying LIGO's detection of gravitational waves allow us to say anything new about gravitons?

IH
It allows to set an upper limit on the mass, but indirect constraints from the effect of gravity on large scales are still better than those upper limits.
 
  • #137
mfb said:
It allows to set an upper limit on the mass, but indirect constraints from the effect of gravity on large scales are still better than those upper limits.
All under the assumption that gravitons exist ...
 
  • #138
Hi All,

Very excited with this result, but with some basic doubts.

1) do gravitational waves travel with the velocity of light?

2) was the velocity of the gravitational wave determined in this experiment?

3) was it that the staff at LIGO have brought the supposition of merging BH after analysing the oscillations observed in the interferometers? Was it then a plausible cause for the oscillations?

4) If one is stuck in the Newton's formula and accepts the relativity postulate of velocities no larger than c, this person would agree that fastly oscillating the position of a highly massive object would imply the propagation of a "gravitational" wave, measurable at great distances. Is this correct?

Best wishes,

DaTario
 
  • #139
Orodruin said:
All under the assumption that gravitons exist ...
Well, sure, but it seems likely.
DaTario said:
1) do gravitational waves travel with the velocity of light?
All measurements are pointing towards this, but there is no direct speed measurement yet.
DaTario said:
2) was the velocity of the gravitational wave determined in this experiment?
No.
DaTario said:
3) was it that the staff at LIGO have brought the supposition of merging BH after analysing the oscillations observed in the interferometers? Was it then a plausible cause for the oscillations?
They computed signals for hundreds of thousands of different scenarios in advance, and then compared the observed signal to those calculations. Two merging black holes fit, all other things do not fit. They also checked this based on the signal afterwards.
DaTario said:
4) If one is stuck in the Newton's formula and accepts the relativity postulate of velocities no larger than c
Newton's formula and a finite speed of light are incompatible. They just do not work together.
 
  • #140
I agree that Newton's formula doesn´t have included this principle. But is it plausible to speculate that our calculations with gravity must deal, from now on, with retarded potentials or similar resources ?
 

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