DrChinese said:
2. A minor quibble

: observing 2 of 3 settings is not the "fair sampling" assumption.
Apparently the earlier post was unclear:
Let's assume (for the sake of discussion) that we have a local hidden variable theory - so at the point where our EPR particles split, they have hidden states [itex]\vec{h}[/itex] and [itex]-\vec{h}[/itex]. Where [itex]\vec{h} \in H[/itex] and
[tex]H=\{<-,-,->,<-,-,+>,<-,+,->,<-,+,+>,<+,-,->,<+,-,+>,<+,+,->, <+,+,+>\}[/tex]
Now, we know that [itex]h \in H[/itex] with probability [itex]1[/itex], and that [itex]h \in \null[/itex] with probability [itex]0[/itex]. Stipulating the fair sampling assumption, we can experimentally determine that the probability that [itex]h \in \{<+,-,->,<+,-,+>,<+,+,->,<+,++>\}[/itex] some real number [itex]p_{<+,*,*>} \in [0,1][/itex] by measuring particle [itex]\alpha[/itex] directly, and the probabilities for the other 5 symetric subsets can also be tested.
Similarly, it's possible, by measuring both particles to determine the probability [itex]p_{<+,+,*>}[/itex] that [itex]h \in \{<+,+,->,<+,+,+>\}[/itex] or any of the other 11 subsets symetric to this one.
However, it's impossible to measure [itex]p_{<+,+,+>}[/itex], that is, the probability that [itex]h \in \{<+,+,+>\}[/itex], experimentally, but Bell's theorem assumes that it is a well defined real value i.e. that [itex]p_{<+,+,+>} \in [0,1][/itex].
In a classical regime, where it's possible to make non-perturbing measurements, it's trivially possible to measure the concurrence of two things, so coincidence probabilities are well-defined, which validates the assignment of probabilities to these singletons. However, in a quantum setting, it's necessary to assume, without experimental justification, that these singleton probabilities exist and are well-defined for Bell's Theorem to be valid.