Can Dating Methods Disprove Macroevolution and Speciation?

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SUMMARY

This discussion centers on the skepticism surrounding macroevolution and speciation, particularly regarding the validity of dating methods used in archaeology. Participants argue that while some may doubt carbon-14 and argon-argon dating techniques, these methods are scientifically sound and supported by multiple independent lines of evidence. The conversation highlights the challenge of addressing confirmation bias in discussions about evolution, especially when individuals cling to beliefs that contradict established scientific findings. Key resources mentioned include the American Scientific Affiliation's website and the IntCal04 calibration dataset.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of carbon-14 dating and its applications in archaeology.
  • Familiarity with argon-argon dating and its methodology.
  • Knowledge of confirmation bias and its impact on scientific discourse.
  • Awareness of the IntCal04 dataset for radiocarbon calibration.
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the principles of carbon-14 dating and its limitations.
  • Explore the argon-argon dating method and its applications in geology.
  • Study the concept of confirmation bias and its implications in scientific debates.
  • Examine the IntCal04 dataset and its significance in radiocarbon dating accuracy.
USEFUL FOR

This discussion is beneficial for evolutionary biologists, archaeologists, educators, and anyone interested in understanding the scientific basis of dating methods and the challenges posed by confirmation bias in discussions about evolution.

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so I've been talking to someone about evolution. they don't believe 'macroevolution' can occur ... like speciation.


and like if i say bring up saying to them about bone structures etc etc that were found he just brings up dating methods.

he says that everything came to be at the same time nd that the dating methods used by scientist to date archaelogical finds are wrong...

so any journal articles or anything on this that i can get him to read? I'm not so good at looking up journal articles lol

throw your thoughts here too if you'd like
 
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A person could reasonably doubt the elaborate C-14 dating mechanisms we use for recent dating (last 20,000 years or so). But the basic principle is simple enough that a high school student could easily use it. Likewise with Th-U dating for older samples. What would a person do, deny that thorium, uranium, and carbon-14 are radioactive?

Sure, without the nuances they might not agree to the precision modern science presents, but there should be plenty for ballparking.
 
ie they say dates that are seemingly impossible by modern science.

earth is only a couple thousand years old?
thats one HUGE ball park figure... 4.6 billion +/- 4.599 billion
 
The person should read this: http://www.asa3.org/ASA/RESOURCES/WIENS.html

It's impossible to refute any claims if all they give is "it's wrong"
 
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Sorry! said:
he says that everything came to be at the same time nd that the dating methods used by scientist to date archaelogical finds are wrong...
This is an indication that the person is taken over by belief and will simply choose not to believe anything you say that might challenge his/her belief. It is impossible to reason with such a person, so it is best to not even try.
 
i get what your saying but he is quite intelligent actually nd i don't see how logically someone can refute this...

thankks for the link i'll show him see what he thinks
 
Sorry! said:
i get what your saying but he is quite intelligent actually...
Really? You kinda just argued against that! An intelligent person is capable of providing intelligent arguments. Someone who doesn't - who just keeps repeating "it's wrong" - typically does that because they are not capable of providing an intelligent argument.
 
matthyaouw said:
The person should read this: http://www.asa3.org/ASA/RESOURCES/WIENS.html

It's impossible to refute any claims if all they give is "it's wrong"
That link was very informative. There was part of it that I didn't understand though:
In the argon-argon method the rock is placed near the center of a nuclear reactor for a period of hours. A nuclear reactor emits a very large number of neutrons, which are capable of changing a small amount of the potassium-39 into argon-39. Argon-39 is not found in nature because it has only a 269-year half-life. (This half-life doesn't affect the argon-argon dating method as long as the measurements are made within about five years of the neutron dose). The rock is then heated in a furnace to release both the argon-40 and the argon-39 (representing the potassium) for analysis. The heating is done at incrementally higher temperatures and at each step the ratio of argon-40 to argon-39 is measured. If the argon-40 is from decay of potassium within the rock, it will come out at the same temperatures as the potassium-derived argon-39 and in a constant proportion. On the other hand, if there is some excess argon-40 in the rock it will cause a different ratio of argon-40 to argon-39 for some or many of the heating steps, so the different heating steps will not agree with each other.
I don't understand the bold part - why does the origin of the argon determine the temperature at which it'll be released?
Thanks.
 
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Seems to me like that's because of the chemical environement. Argon that was produced from the potassum in the sample ocupies some places in the crystallic structure. It is a reasonable assumption that Ar atoms ocupying identical positions within the crystall will leave the solid at identical temperatures. On the other hand, Ar that came from other sources will be in different chemical environments (different positions within the structure) so it will leave the solid in different temperatures.

Probably not 100% bulletproof, but quite clever.
 
  • #10
For the OP, the strong point of dating is that several independent dating methods lead to the same result. The most compelling is counting annual growth or accumulation layers for instance in corals, tree rings, and lake sediment deposits. These layers can also be carbon dated and the different records can be compared. See for instance intcal04.

So when this 15 datasets give comparable results like this here, all being well within the error margin, some robustness can't be denied.

Despite that, if large and powerful groups can simply wipe this all away, then we are still on a very long struggle to reality.
 
  • #11
Sorry! said:
i get what your saying but he is quite intelligent actually nd i don't see how logically someone can refute this...

thankks for the link i'll show him see what he thinks

It is human nature to have a http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias" ie we want our beliefs to be true. I believe this derives from the way in which we construct our perception of reality in response to our environment. This is an important trait for socialization and sanity.

The scientific method is specifically designed to overcome confirmation bias because it requires that we eliminate assumptions and test our belief by devising experiments to disprove them.

Roy Spencer is a renowned climate scientist who believes that intelligent design is a valid theory. He deceives himself because evolution in his mind contradicts his Judeo-Christian belief. He is still however a very intelligent and competent scientist.

Confirmation bias is most strongly evident in politics and religion. People fight wars over ideology and religion which are both manifestation of confirmation bias.
Tolstoy syndrome

The behavior of confirmation bias has sometimes been called "Tolstoy syndrome", in reference to Russian writer Leo Tolstoy (1828-1910), who in 1897 wrote:[9]
“"I know that most men, including those at ease with problems of the greatest complexity, can seldom accept the simplest and most obvious truth if it be such as would oblige them to admit the falsity of conclusions which they have proudly taught to others, and which they have woven, thread by thread, into the fabrics of their life".

A related Tolstoy quote is:
"The most difficult subjects can be explained to the most slow-witted man if he has not formed any idea of them already; but the simplest thing cannot be made clear to the most intelligent man if he is firmly persuaded that he knows already, without a shadow of doubt, what is laid before him."
 
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