Economic analysis: replace machine now or later

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the economic analysis of whether to replace an old machine with a new one now or later, utilizing present value (PV) calculations. The present values calculated were $516.9 for the old machine and $614.4 for the new machine, indicating the new machine is worth more. Participants emphasized the importance of incorporating operating expenses and tax implications into net present value (NPV) calculations, with a suggested discount rate of 10%. The consensus is that immediate purchase of the new machine is more economical when considering cash flows and salvage values.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of present value (PV) calculations
  • Knowledge of net present value (NPV) analysis
  • Familiarity with straight-line depreciation methods
  • Basic principles of tax implications on operating costs and depreciation
NEXT STEPS
  • Research how to calculate net present value (NPV) using cash flows
  • Learn about the impact of tax deductions on operating expenses and depreciation
  • Study straight-line depreciation and its application in financial analysis
  • Explore financial modeling techniques for equipment replacement decisions
USEFUL FOR

Financial analysts, engineering economists, and decision-makers involved in capital budgeting and equipment management will benefit from this discussion.

  • #31
For scenario 2, then the sum would be

$$ \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \frac {350}{1.1^{n}} + \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \frac {-22,000}{1.1^{10n-1}} + \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \frac {7500}{1.1^{10n-1}} $$
 
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  • #32
Maylis said:
For scenario 2, then the sum would be

$$ \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \frac {350}{1.1^{n}} + \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \frac {-22,000}{1.1^{10n-1}} + \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \frac {7500}{1.1^{10n-1}} $$
Maylis said:
For scenario 2, then the sum would be

$$ \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \frac {350}{1.1^{n}} + \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \frac {-22,000}{1.1^{10n-1}} + \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \frac {7500}{1.1^{10n-1}} $$
My understanding is:
$$ \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \frac {350}{1.1^{n}} + \sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac {-22,000}{1.1^{10n}} +7500 $$
 
  • #33
I don't understand how you are picking your exponents for the interest rates in the sums. Why 10n, 10n-5??
 
  • #34
Maylis said:
What does that last term mean?
It means that you replace the old machine after 5 years, and then replace each new machine every subsequent 10 years.
 
  • #35
Maylis said:
I don't understand how you are picking your exponents for the interest rates in the sums. Why 10n, 10n-5??
In scenario 2, the 10n (starting with n = 0), means that you replace the machine immediately, and then every subsequent 10 years.

In scenarion 1, the 10n-5 (starting with n = 1) means that you replace the machine after 5 years, and then every subsequent 10 years.
 
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  • #36
Thanks, that is much more clearer now. Now I need to figure out how to actually calculate an infinite series :nb)
 
  • #37
Maylis said:
Thanks, that is much more clearer now. Now I need to figure out how to actually calculate an infinite series :nb)
a/(1-r)
 
  • #38
I found scenario 1 NPV to be -$21,953.7, and for scenario 2 it is -$24,804, so it is better to keep using the machine until it has finished its operating life.
 
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