Find the probability that a muon is passing through your body this instant

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Homework Help Overview

The problem involves estimating the probability that a muon is passing through a person's body at a given instant, based on the flux of muons on the Earth's surface. The subject area relates to particle physics and probability estimation.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • The original poster attempts to calculate the number of muons penetrating a person by using the flux of muons and the area occupied by a person. They question how to relate the number of muons to an instantaneous probability. Other participants clarify the concept of "instant" and suggest considering the speed of muons in their calculations.

Discussion Status

Participants are actively engaging with the problem, with some providing clarifications and others building on the original poster's approach. There is a constructive exchange of ideas, and the discussion is exploring different aspects of the problem without reaching a consensus.

Contextual Notes

Participants are considering the assumptions related to the speed of muons and the definition of an "instant" in the context of the problem. The original poster's calculations involve estimates of area and velocity, which are subject to further discussion.

JFuld
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Homework Statement



the flux of muons on the Earth's surface is about 100 muons per square meter per second. Estimate the probability that a muon is passing
through your body this instant to within a factor of three

attempt:

let F = flux of muons on Earth's surface = 100/m^2/s

let the average person occupy an area A on the Earth's surface.

then F*A =# of muons penetrating person every second

I don't really know where to go from here. if there are N "instants" in a second then FA/N gives the average # of muons passing through you in an instant?

I feel i am going about this wrong, any help is appreciated.
 
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Hi JFuld! :smile:
JFuld said:
Estimate the probability that a muon is passing
through your body this instant to within a factor of three

… if there are N "instants" in a second

no, an instant is zero time,

it means how many are likely to be inside your body at any fixed time

(so you'll need an estimate of their speed :wink:)
 
ahh thank you, I knew I had no idea what I was doing haha. Well here is what I did in sight of your comment:

Im still using F*A =# of muons penetrating person every second, and I am letting v=vertical velocity of muons. Also, I am picturing the incident muons as a steady stream.

v*(1 second) = d, the distance traveled by muons in one second. So a vertical segment of length d contains 100 muons/m^2.

and A*d corresponds to the # of muons contained in segment d over an area A.

then taking A to equal .25m^2, the volume d*A contains 25 muons at an instant.

and 25/d =# muons per area A, then h*25/d = N = the # of muons occupying a person at an instant

also, my estimate for the muon velocity is: 1*10^8 m/s < v < c

then the range for d is: 1*10^8 m < d < 3*10^8 m

this give the range for N: 4.5*10^-7 < N < 1.5*10^-7 (i approximate h to be 1.8 m)
 
looks good! :smile:
 

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