How to find this particular probability?

  • Thread starter Thread starter dexterdev
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Probability
Click For Summary
SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on calculating the probability P(X1 + X2 < X3) for three independent and identically distributed continuous random variables X1, X2, and X3, uniformly distributed in the range [0,1]. The solution involves evaluating a triple integral with specific limits derived from the conditions of the problem. The final result of the integral is confirmed to be 1/6, approximately 0.1667. Additionally, a MATLAB simulation using 1000 samples yielded a probability estimate of around 0.169, demonstrating a practical approach to verifying the theoretical result.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of continuous random variables and uniform distribution
  • Knowledge of triple integrals and their limits in probability theory
  • Familiarity with MATLAB for statistical simulations
  • Basic concepts of cumulative distribution functions (CDF)
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the derivation of limits in multiple integrals in probability theory
  • Learn about the properties of uniform distributions and their applications
  • Explore MATLAB functions for statistical analysis and simulations
  • Investigate the use of cumulative distribution functions (CDF) in probability calculations
USEFUL FOR

Students and professionals in statistics, mathematicians focusing on probability theory, and anyone interested in understanding the behavior of random variables in statistical modeling.

dexterdev
Messages
194
Reaction score
1

Homework Statement



Suppose there are three statistically i.i.d continuous random variables X1, X2, X3 each are uniformly distributed in the range [0,1]. How to find the probability P(X1+X2<X3)?

Homework Equations


The below given equations are the steps to the solution. But I can't figure out how the limits of integral comes this way.

\int_0^1 \int_0^{x_3}\int_0^{x_3-x_2} \,dx_1\,dx_2\,dx_3 =\int_0^1 \int_0^{x_3} (x_3-x_2) dx_2\,dx_3 = \int_0^1 x_3^2 - \frac{x_3^2}{2}\,dx_3 = \frac16 = 0.1\overline 6


The Attempt at a Solution



I tried this using a software called MATLAB by generating three pseudo random variables (1000 samples) and finding X1+X2−X3 and plotting its CDF through a MATLAB tool called dfittool. I got the answer around 0.169. But how do I do this theoretically? Especially how to figure out the limits in those integrals?
 
Physics news on Phys.org
Your questions make no sense: you have already obtained the answer theoretically, and you have already written the limits of integration.
 
@Ray Vickson : Yes I have got those limits from someone else, but never told how they come?
 
They come from two different concerns, that x1+x2<x3 and that each xi must be between 0 and 1. Those integration limits represent the intersection of those concerns.
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: 1 person
You are told that the three variables all lie in [0, 1]. The limits on the outer integral, with respect to x_3 must be constants so must be 0 and 1. The next inner integral can have limits depending on x_3. Since we have x_1+ x_2&lt; x_3 and x_1 can be 0, x_2 can go from 0 to x_3. Finally, x_1+ x_2&lt; x_3 means that x_1&lt; x_3- x_2 so the inmost integral has limits of 0 to x_3- x_2.
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: 1 person

Similar threads

  • · Replies 9 ·
Replies
9
Views
1K
  • · Replies 14 ·
Replies
14
Views
3K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
1K
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
2K
  • · Replies 12 ·
Replies
12
Views
4K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
3K
  • · Replies 8 ·
Replies
8
Views
2K
  • · Replies 11 ·
Replies
11
Views
2K
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
1K
Replies
3
Views
2K