Moonbear and russ,
I really hate proving people wrong because it's really no fun but I have to say your insistence on the streaking plane is not very well founded. To start, as russ stated the exposure time of the webcam could be any where from 1/4 to 1/2 of a second, which seems reasonable. But this is inconsistent with the shot of the object because there are 3 distinct lights on top of the object. Now chroot chimed in with the fact that the flash period of commercial airliners is about one second. I concur with this only because I took a ground school course in hopes of getting my private license. To get the details nailed down for either commercial or military aircraft the FAR/AIM book should be consulted. Just in case, this data is necessary in order for pilots to identify each other regardless of wether they are military or civilian, so the data is available. Given this, the time exposure of the cam would have to be at least 3 seconds, if not more. This seems to be a discrepancy even if I am wrong.
Next I have to point out that the angle at which the object is oriented indicates that it is not an airline in an approach landing maneuver. If it were on approach to Reagan National the plane would be at least horizontal or with an upward tilt and descending. I'm sure you have seen enough planes land to know this, if not run to your local airport and watch. The daytime photo is also a guide if you think I am in error. The angle for this to be a plane is to steep in the downward direction for it to be on approach, IMHO. This brings up another point, the light streak should seem to be different than what we see. It seems to me that instead of an almost straight line like in the photo there would be a little bit of downward type streaking. One more point on this part, it would seem that we would also see a little bit of 'jiggling' in the blur if this were a plane. That can easily be accounted for due to the fact that planes are constantly perturbed by air density differences that makes the plane 'jiggle' a little, of course this is a speculation on my part. Of course maybe it is taking off, but I would think that it would be at a higher altitude by time it reached the area which the camera is viewing. So that kind of eliminates that one in my mind.
Now if you can get a hold of the flight departures and arrivals from Reagan National for February 10th at around 3 AM and can find corollary to this object then you may watch as I put both of my feet in my mouth and shut up. After reading your posts and going back to see the picture, I kept finding that the picture did not have the characteristics of a plane given some of the info from this discussion and my own amatuerish speculations.
Finally, I still think that it's a hoax based on some simple criteria. One, the Alexa data for the traffic ranking of the site. When this went on the net the site jumped from being buried somewhere near 3.5 millionth to 3.5 hundred thousandth. Not bad! BTW, if you read their little analysis it addresses the airline conjecture without refutation, then it goes on about how it was mentioned on Coast to Coast, and then it tells you about the site and how great it is. It's like a cheap brochure with a snazzy UFO intro!
Oh yeah, I have been trying to pull up the site but I have been having problems and today's Alexa traffic rank is nill. This suggest to me that the site traffic has reached it's limit and they are probably working on a higher bandwidth connection. So whatchya think?
