M 7.9 - off the coast, 280km SE of Kodiak, Alaska

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around a magnitude 7.9 earthquake that occurred off the coast of Kodiak, Alaska, on January 23, 2018. Participants explore the implications of the quake, including potential tsunami activity, geological features related to the earthquake, and aftershock patterns. The conversation includes technical analysis of seismic data and fault mapping.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants note the significant distance from which seismic measurements were made, highlighting the quake's intensity.
  • There are tsunami warnings issued, with reports of water receding from shorelines, but some participants mention that the observed tsunami heights are relatively small.
  • One participant suggests that the earthquake's location, being south of the plate boundary, may explain the lack of a significant tsunami.
  • Discussion includes the possibility of the earthquake being related to the Aleutian Thrust fault, although some participants express skepticism about this connection.
  • Participants analyze aftershock patterns and propose that they may indicate the dip angle of the fault that ruptured.
  • Technical details regarding the seismic moment and data processing methods are shared, with one participant questioning the units used for seismic moment.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express multiple competing views regarding the geological implications of the earthquake and the relationship to tsunami activity. There is no consensus on the specific fault responsible for the quake or its connection to other geological events.

Contextual Notes

Some discussions reference limitations in the resolution of fault maps and the need for higher-quality data to better understand the seismic events. There are also unresolved questions regarding the interpretation of seismic moment units.

davenn
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M 7.9 - 280km SE of Kodiak, Alaska

Time: 2018-01-23 09:31:42 (UTC)
Location: 56.046°N 149.073°W
Depth: 25.0 km

from my seismo in Sydney Australia ... the opposite end of the Pacific Ocean

180123  UT M7.9 S of Alaska zhi.gif


Location Map

upload_2018-1-24_1-4-53.png


cheers
Dave
 

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Wow! Wow 7.9 and wow what a long distance to make such a measurement down under. This sounds heavy even for fire ring events. Do we expect a tsunami at the coast lines?
 
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There are tsunami warnings out and water has been seen receeding from some shorelines. I haven't heard of anything beyond a 3 foot surge though. Hawaii initially had a warning but, it was cancelled.
 
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Borg said:
There are tsunami warnings out and water has been seen receeding from some shorelines. I haven't heard of anything beyond a 3 foot surge though. Hawaii initially had a warning but, it was cancelled.

I haven't checked for tsunami warnings

ahhh here we go ...

WEAK51 PAAQ 231313
TSUAK1

BULLETIN
Public Tsunami Message Number 7
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
413 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...THE TSUNAMI ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* The Tsunami Advisory is canceled for the coastal areas of
South Alaska and the Alaska PeninsulaOBSERVATIONS OF TSUNAMI ACTIVITY - UPDATED
------------------------------------------
* Observed max tsunami height is the highest recorded water level
above the tide level up to the time of this message.

TIME OBSERVED MAX
SITE OF MEASUREMENT TSUNAMI HEIGHT
---------------------------- ---------------- --------------
Kodiak Alaska 0329 PST Jan 23 0.6ft
Seward Alaska 0331 PST Jan 23 0.4ft
Old Harbor Alaska 0338 PST Jan 23 0.7ft
Sitka Alaska 0318 PST Jan 23 0.4ft
Yakutat Alaska 0335 PST Jan 23 0.5ft
Langara BC 0330 PST Jan 23 0.4ftRECOMMENDED ACTIONS - UPDATED
-----------------------------
* Do not re-occupy hazard zones until local emergency officials
indicate it is safe to do so.IMPACTS - UPDATED
-----------------
* A tsunami was generated by this event, but no longer
poses a threat.

* Some areas may continue to see small sea level changes.

* The determination to re-occupy hazard zones must be made
by local officials.
 
interestingly, this quake was located a decent way south of the plate boundary rather than on the interface between the overlying and subducting slab
This will be the main reason for the lack of a significant tsunami ... fortunately!

Interestingly it appears to be on a long linear feature ... possibly a fault, as indicated by the yellow arrows

upload_2018-1-24_1-33-33.png


Dave
 

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Fault map of the area:

Npacificdaults.gif


@davenn
So how does your proposed thrust fault show on this map? Fracture zone?
 

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Could have been the Aleutian Thrust.

I wonder whether the Japanese volcanic eruption could have anything to do with it. I don't think so, but the simultaneity is weird.
 
jim mcnamara said:
Fault map of the area:

....So how does your proposed thrust fault show on this map? Fracture zone?

No it doesn't , but that isn't surprising, it's a relatively low resolution map ... just showing major features

so far I haven't been able to find anything with higher resolution than the Google Earth image I posted above

maybe it hasn't had a mapping program done in that region ?
fresh_42 said:
Could have been the Aleutian Thrust.

not this time, as indicated by the location maps and comments above, it was somewhat south of the plate boundaryDave
 
Update after 4 days of aftershocks
and that linear feature is reasonably well defined by the events. The main shock is practically right on top of the feature.

upload_2018-1-27_20-15-23.png


There are a number of aftershocks located to the NW of the linear feature and they could indicate the dip angle of the fault that ruptured.

It has to be noted that the USGS have places a different strike angle for the ruptured fault...

2000cmy3_basemap.png


DATA Process and Inversion
We used GSN broadband waveforms downloaded from the NEIC waveform server. We analyzed 50 teleseismic broadband P waveforms, 14 broadband SH waveforms, and 69 long period surface waves selected based on data quality and azimuthal distribution. Waveforms are first converted to displacement by removing the instrument response and are then used to constrain the slip history using a finite fault inverse algorithm (Ji et al., 2002). We begin modeling using a hypocenter matching or adjusted slightly from the initial NEIC solution (Lon. = -149.1 deg.; Lat. = 56.0 deg., Dep. = 25.0 km), and a fault plane defined using either the rapid W-Phase moment tensor (for near-real time solutions), or the gCMT moment tensor (for historic solutions).

Result
After comparing waveform fits based on the two planes of the input moment tensor, we find that the nodal plane (strike= 258.0 deg., dip= 69.0 deg.) fits the data better. The seismic moment release based upon this plane is 8.8e+27 dyne.cm (Mw = 7.9) using a 1D crustal model interpolated from CRUST2.0 (Bassin et al., 2000).

interesting results

Dave
 

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  • #11
jim mcnamara said:
I am clearly not getting something important here.
Force x displacement = energy.
 

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