Modeling survival with a differential equation

  • #1

Homework Statement


A health club is opened, the fraction of members still enrolled t months from their initial visit is given by the function f(t)= e-t/20. the club initially accepts 300 members and will accept new members at a rate of 10 per month. How many people will be enrolled 15 months from now.

Homework Equations


N/A

The Attempt at a Solution


I remember my professor referencing this problem could be done as a differential equation problem instead of a survival/renewal problem (which I can do).

Following the idea of inflow-outflow, I came up with

dP/dt= 10 (inflow) - ?

with P being members

I'm not sure how to take the fraction of people and make that into a rate.
Once I figure that out I could likely solve the differential normally for P.
 

Answers and Replies

  • #2
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Okay, here's a hint. If f(t) represents the fraction of people still enrolled after their initial visit, what does 1 - f(t) represent?
 
  • #3
Ray Vickson
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Homework Statement


A health club is opened, the fraction of members still enrolled t months from their initial visit is given by the function f(t)= e-t/20. the club initially accepts 300 members and will accept new members at a rate of 10 per month. How many people will be enrolled 15 months from now.

Homework Equations


N/A

The Attempt at a Solution


I remember my professor referencing this problem could be done as a differential equation problem instead of a survival/renewal problem (which I can do).

Following the idea of inflow-outflow, I came up with

dP/dt= 10 (inflow) - ?

with P being members

I'm not sure how to take the fraction of people and make that into a rate.
Once I figure that out I could likely solve the differential normally for P.


Are you saying you do not know what 50% of 300 works out to? That is what you would have if ##f(t) = 0.5## applied to the initial 300.
 
Last edited:

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