Predicted distribution in x generations?

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The discussion centers on predicting the distribution of college-educated and non-college-educated households in DFW over 10 generations using the stochastic matrix P = \begin{pmatrix} .9 & .25\\ .1 & .75 \\ \end{pmatrix}. The initial population vector is \begin{pmatrix} 300\\ 750\\ \end{pmatrix}. Participants confirm that the correct calculation for the predicted distribution after 10 generations is achieved by multiplying the initial population vector by P raised to the 9th power (P9 * x0), not P10 * x0. This clarification is essential for accurately modeling the generational changes.

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Homework Statement


Consider the stochastic matrix P giving the probabilities of non-college educated households having at least one college educated child.
[itex] \begin{pmatrix}<br /> .9 & .25\\<br /> .1 & .75 \\<br /> \end{pmatrix}[/itex]

If there are currently 300,000 college educated households, and 750000 noncollege educated households, in DFW, what is the predicted distribution in 10 generations?

Homework Equations

The Attempt at a Solution


so I have
P =
[itex] \begin{pmatrix}<br /> .9 & .25\\<br /> .1 & .75 \\<br /> \end{pmatrix}[/itex]

and
x_0
[itex] \begin{pmatrix}<br /> 300\\<br /> 750\\<br /> \end{pmatrix}[/itex]

So the predicted distribution in 10 generations will be P^9 * x_0, right? Not P^10 * x_0

Sorry I know its probably a simple question but I'm just trying to make sense of this.
 
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Rijad Hadzic said:

Homework Statement


Consider the stochastic matrix P giving the probabilities of non-college educated households having at least one college educated child.
[itex] \begin{pmatrix}<br /> .9 & .25\\<br /> .1 & .75 \\<br /> \end{pmatrix}[/itex]

If there are currently 300,000 college educated households, and 750000 noncollege educated households, in DFW, what is the predicted distribution in 10 generations?

Homework Equations

The Attempt at a Solution


so I have
P =
[itex] \begin{pmatrix}<br /> .9 & .25\\<br /> .1 & .75 \\<br /> \end{pmatrix}[/itex]

and
x_0
[itex] \begin{pmatrix}<br /> 300\\<br /> 750\\<br /> \end{pmatrix}[/itex]

So the predicted distribution in 10 generations will be P^9 * x_0, right? Not P^10 * x_0

Sorry I know its probably a simple question but I'm just trying to make sense of this.

As I interpret it, the distribution In one generation is ##x_1 = P x_0##, etc. However, you should use whatever convention your instructor/textbook uses.

Perhaps this is a bit like the difference between building descriptions in North America and Britain: in North America the first floor is on the ground level, but in Britain it is one floor above the ground.
 
Ray Vickson said:
As I interpret it, the distribution In one generation is ##x_1 = P x_0##, etc. However, you should use whatever convention your instructor/textbook uses.

Perhaps this is a bit like the difference between building descriptions in North America and Britain: in North America the first floor is on the ground level, but in Britain it is one floor above the ground.

Alright. I think your interpretation is correct. I remember my instructor mentioning something about this but my memory is not perfect so I wasnt sure, but that makes sense to me, Since you start with an inital population, and that times P^1 = your first generation...
 

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