Probability distribution of girls

In summary, there are 16 possible equally likely outcomes for a family with four children, with each child having an equal chance of being a boy or a girl. However, the probability of having 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 girls is not equal. The formula for probability of 'k over n' events, where n is the number of children and p is the probability of a girl, is P_{k,n} = \binom {n}{k} p^{k}\ (1-p)^{n - k}.
  • #1
annie122
51
0
A certain couple is equally likely to
have either a boy or a girl. If the family has four children, let X
denote the number of girls.

Determine the probability distribution of X. (Hint: There are
16 possible equally likely outcomes. One is GBBB, meaning
the first born is a girl and the next three born are boys.)

=============

i don't understand why there are 16 outcomes not 5.
there can be 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 girls..
 
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  • #2
Yuuki said:
A certain couple is equally likely to
have either a boy or a girl. If the family has four children, let X
denote the number of girls.

Determine the probability distribution of X. (Hint: There are
16 possible equally likely outcomes. One is GBBB, meaning
the first born is a girl and the next three born are boys.)

=============

i don't understand why there are 16 outcomes not 5.
there can be 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 girls..

The formula for probability of 'k over n' events is...

$\displaystyle P_{k,n} = \binom {n}{k} p^{k}\ (1-p)^{n - k}\ (1)$

... where $\displaystyle \binom {n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!\ (n-k)!}$. In your case is $n=4$ and $p= \frac{1}{2}$ so that...

Kind regards

$\chi$ $\sigma$
 
  • #3
Yuuki said:
i don't understand why there are 16 outcomes not 5.
there can be 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 girls..

The problem is that those outcomes are not equally likely.

Each child can either be a boy or a girl.
Those 2 outcomes are equally likely.

If we look at only 2 children, the outcomes that are equally likely are BB, BG, GB, GG.
As you can see the outcome of 1 girl is twice as likely as 0 girls.

In the case of 4 children, what would be the probability of 0 girls?
 

1. What is the probability distribution of girls?

The probability distribution of girls refers to the likelihood of a certain number of girls being born in a given population. It is a statistical concept used to describe the pattern of how many girls are expected to be born in a population over a period of time.

2. How is the probability distribution of girls calculated?

The probability distribution of girls is calculated using a mathematical formula that takes into account the total number of births and the probability of a girl being born. This formula is based on the binomial distribution and can be calculated using statistical software or by hand.

3. What factors can affect the probability distribution of girls?

There are several factors that can affect the probability distribution of girls, including genetics, environmental factors, and chance. For example, certain genetic conditions may increase the likelihood of having a girl, while environmental factors such as pollution may have a negative impact on the probability of girls being born.

4. Can the probability distribution of girls change over time?

Yes, the probability distribution of girls can change over time. This can be due to various factors such as changes in societal norms and advancements in medical technology. For example, in some countries, there has been a shift towards gender equality and a decrease in the preference for male children, resulting in a more equal probability distribution of girls being born.

5. How is the probability distribution of girls used in research?

The probability distribution of girls is used in research to analyze and understand trends in gender ratios, to study the impact of genetic and environmental factors on the probability of girls being born, and to make predictions about future gender ratios in a population. It is also used in fields such as economics and sociology to study the effects of gender imbalances on society.

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