Probability of a point in a square being 0.5 from perimeter

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around a probability problem involving a square of side length 1, where one point is randomly chosen on the perimeter and another point is randomly selected inside the square. The objective is to determine the probability that the straight-line distance between these two points is at most 0.5.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants explore the implications of treating the perimeter point as if it were chosen along a specific segment of the square's perimeter. There is a discussion about the validity of reorienting the square and its effect on randomness. Some participants question the assumptions made regarding the distance calculations and the setup of the problem.

Discussion Status

Several participants have shared their calculations and reasoning, with some expressing uncertainty about their results. There is acknowledgment of a potential misunderstanding of the problem's requirements, particularly regarding the distance threshold. A numerical simulation has been mentioned as a means of corroborating findings, and there is an ongoing exploration of different interpretations of the problem.

Contextual Notes

One participant notes a realization that the problem may have been misinterpreted, specifically regarding the probability of the distance being at least 0.5. This has led to further clarification and reflection on the calculations presented.

Nathanael
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Homework Statement


Consider a square of side length 1. Two points are chosen independently at random such that one is on the perimeter while the other is inside the square. Find the probability that the straight-line distance between the two points is at most 0.5.

2. The attempt at a solution
I assumed that I can just treat the point on the perimeter as if it's chosen at random along half of 1 side (from a corner to a midpoint) because no matter where the random point on the perimeter is chosen, the square can be reoriented (in our imagination) so that it lies on the same line segment (from a corner to the midpoint of a side). I feel I am justified in doing this because reorienting the square should not change the randomness of the point inside the square (because the point in the square is independently random, and also because all possible ways to reorient the square should be equally likely). Is this where I went wrong?

Let me proceed with this assumption.
Call the distance from the corner y. From the above assumption, y ranges from [0, 0.5]
Take a look at my drawing of the situation:

probability.png


I think dy/0.5 = 2dy would be the chance of the random point "being" y (or being within dy of y, or however you should think of it)

So I think the solution to the problem should be \int\limits_0^{0.5} 2A(y)dy

And finally, A(y)=\int\limits_0^{y+0.5} \sqrt{0.25-(y-x)^2}dxThis gives me an answer of π/8-1/12 ≈ 0.31 which seems reasonable, but is apparently incorrect.

(It seems reasonable because at most A(y)=A(1/2)=pi/8≈0.4 and at least A(y)=A(0)=pi/16≈0.2 so the answer should be somewhere between 0.2 and 0.4)

I'm not sure what I did wrong.
 
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Nathanael said:
at most 0.5.
Your sketch shows point "y" at one extreme, however, it can be anywhere from the corner to halfway "up." My take, I guarantee nothing.
 
What is the probability that a point would fall into the quarter circle if the point on the perimeter were at the corner?
You seem to have worked out the half-circle problem for when the point falls in the middle.
The relative probability will be ##\int \int d(x,y) p(x) dx dy ##
 
Nathanael said:

Homework Statement


Consider a square of side length 1. Two points are chosen independently at random such that one is on the perimeter while the other is inside the square. Find the probability that the straight-line distance between the two points is at most 0.5.

2. The attempt at a solution
I assumed that I can just treat the point on the perimeter as if it's chosen at random along half of 1 side (from a corner to a midpoint) because no matter where the random point on the perimeter is chosen, the square can be reoriented (in our imagination) so that it lies on the same line segment (from a corner to the midpoint of a side). I feel I am justified in doing this because reorienting the square should not change the randomness of the point inside the square (because the point in the square is independently random, and also because all possible ways to reorient the square should be equally likely). Is this where I went wrong?

Let me proceed with this assumption.
Call the distance from the corner y. From the above assumption, y ranges from [0, 0.5]
Take a look at my drawing of the situation:

View attachment 78854

I think dy/0.5 = 2dy would be the chance of the random point "being" y (or being within dy of y, or however you should think of it)

So I think the solution to the problem should be \int\limits_0^{0.5} 2A(y)dy

And finally, A(y)=\int\limits_0^{y+0.5} \sqrt{0.25-(y-x)^2}dxThis gives me an answer of π/8-1/12 ≈ 0.31 which seems reasonable, but is apparently incorrect.

(It seems reasonable because at most A(y)=A(1/2)=pi/8≈0.4 and at least A(y)=A(0)=pi/16≈0.2 so the answer should be somewhere between 0.2 and 0.4)

I'm not sure what I did wrong.

I get your answer as well; why do you think it is wrong?
 
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Hello Nate/Richard :)

Did what you did, found what you found ##{\pi\over 8} - {1\over 12}##.

Corroborated with a rude numerical simulation (16000 x 3 excel numbers :) , 12 times; found 0.30905 +/- 0.00071)

So here's a second one who agrees with you.
What tells you it's wrong ?
 
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Oh, wow... The problem asked, what is the probability that the distance will be at least 0.5... o:) arghuhghgrumbles... 13/12 - pi/8

I am very sorry for wasting all your time!
 
Nathanael said:
Oh, wow... The problem asked, what is the probability that the distance will be at least 0.5... o:) arghuhghgrumbles... 13/12 - pi/8

I am very sorry for wasting all your time!

No time wasted at all. Computing 1 - P(d < .05) is by far the easiest way to compute P(d >= 0.5). This is clear at once if you refer back to your diagram.
 
Second Ray. And it was an interesting exercise ! So thumbs up ! :)
 

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