Probability of three events occurring

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on the probability of three events occurring, specifically the usage of social networking services (SNS) among students at A University. Key findings include that 55% use Twitter, 53% use Facebook, and 20% use both Twitter and Facebook. The conversation also addresses the calculation of probabilities for various combinations of SNS usage, highlighting the importance of correctly interpreting intersections and unions in probability theory. A critical error identified is the calculation of negative probabilities, which is not permissible in probability theory.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of basic probability concepts, including intersections and unions.
  • Familiarity with Venn diagrams for visualizing set relationships.
  • Knowledge of conditional probabilities and their calculations.
  • Experience with statistical analysis tools, such as R or Python for probability computations.
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the principles of Venn diagrams in probability theory.
  • Learn about conditional probability and its applications in real-world scenarios.
  • Explore the concept of negative probabilities and why they are invalid.
  • Research advanced probability topics, such as Bayesian statistics and their relevance to SNS data analysis.
USEFUL FOR

Students, statisticians, and data analysts interested in understanding probability theory and its application to social media usage data.

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Homework Statement
probability three event
Relevant Equations
i could find ##P(T \cup F) = P(T)+P(F)-P(T \cap F)=55\% +53\%-20\%=88% ## is this right?

##P(T) =35## but i dont know ##P(T \cap I)##
A questionnaire survey on the use of SNS was conducted for students at A University. As a result,
we got the following:

##55\%## using Twitter ,

##53\%## using Facebook ,

##20\%## using Twitter and facebook both,

##19\%## use both Facebook and
Instagram.

##76\%## use at least Twitter
and / or Instagram

##72\%## use at least one of Facebook
and Instagram

##49\%## use only one of twitter ,facebook, or instagram
At this time, find the next
ratio respectively.

##1##. Percentage of using both
Twitter and Instagram

##2##. Percentage of using all
of Twitter, Facebook and Instagram

##3##. Percentage of not using
either Twitter, Facebook or Instagram
I was confused, for ##P(T\cap F)=20\%## does this also include ##P(T\cap F \cap I )## ?
for ##P(F) ## pnly ##P(F\cap T)##, is it correct only facebook is ##14\%##?
##P(F)=53\% - P(F\cap T) - P(F\cap I)=53\%-19\%-20\% =14\%##?i could find ##P(T \cup F) = P(T)+P(F)-P(T \cap F)=55\% +53\%-20\%=88% ##
is this right?
##P(T) =35##
but i don't know
##P(T \cap I)##

P(F)=14

i manage to find :
##P(T \cap I) = 17## and ##P(I)=38##
but when i count
##P(T \cup F \cup I) = P(T)+P(F)+P(I)-P(T \cap F) - P(T \cap I) - P(I \cap F) + P(T \cap F \cap I) = ##
##49=55+53+38-20-19-17 +P(T \cap F \cap I) ##
##P(T \cap F \cap I)=-41##
 
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Several important remarks to be made here:

(1) A probability is a number in ##[0,1]##. E.g., either write ##P(A) = 0.1## or ##P(A) = 10 \%##, but not ##P(A) = 10##. The latter is just plain wrong.

(2) Because of ##(1)##, negative probabilities aren't allowed. Your answer ##P(T \cap F \cap I) = -41## doesn't make sense because of two reasons!

The trick to solve this exercise is to write what you are looking for in terms of what you have. For example, you have to write the set ##T \cap I## in terms of what has been given. Drawing Venn diagrams might definitely help.
 

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