Probably easy expected value problem

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The discussion centers on calculating the expected number of correct labels when n throat cultures are randomly paired with n names. The user proposes using two random variables, X1 for names and X2 for cultures, and applies the expected value formula with a weight function of h(X1,X2) = 1 and a probability of prob(X1,X2) = (1/n^2). The conclusion drawn is that the expected number of correct labels is 1, based on the average chance of a label corresponding to its correct culture. Other participants agree with this reasoning, confirming the calculations are correct. The expected value for this problem is indeed 1.
mkkrnfoo85
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Hello, just a bit insecure about my answer.

Problem:-------
Suppose n people have throat cultures, and the cultures are then completely
mixed up. If we randomly pair off the n peoples’ names with the n cultures,
what is the expected number of correct labels?
---------------

So, here's my logic on the solution:

I think there are 2 random variables here, X1 for names, X2 for the cultures.
The formula for the expected value for 2 random variables is:

\sum_1^n \sum_1^n h(X1,X2)*prob(X1,X2) for some weight function h.

I chose h(X1,X2) = 1. Also, I said prob(X1,X2) = (1/n^2). I hope all that is right so far. So just using the expected value equation, I simply said the answer is 1.

\sum_1^n \sum_1^n (1)* \left \frac{1}{n^2} \right = 1

Correct thinking? If not, what am I doing wrong?

Thanks in advance,

Mark
 
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N labels on N bottles.

1/N chance for label i to correspond to bottle i.

Average number of correct labels= sum_i=1,N * chance for label i
=1

So I agree.
 
Question: A clock's minute hand has length 4 and its hour hand has length 3. What is the distance between the tips at the moment when it is increasing most rapidly?(Putnam Exam Question) Answer: Making assumption that both the hands moves at constant angular velocities, the answer is ## \sqrt{7} .## But don't you think this assumption is somewhat doubtful and wrong?

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