Should we invest in Mars Exploration

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The discussion centers on the merits of investing in Mars exploration amidst pressing Earthly issues. Proponents argue that funding Mars missions could yield significant returns on investment, with NASA historically providing a 10:1 ROI, and that such exploration could lead to technological advancements beneficial to life on Earth. Critics express skepticism about the financial viability of space missions, questioning the validity of ROI claims and suggesting that funds might be better allocated to solve existing terrestrial problems. There is also a sentiment that while exploration is essential, the focus should not solely be on establishing a permanent human presence on Mars. Ultimately, the debate highlights the tension between immediate Earthly concerns and the long-term vision of human expansion into space.
  • #61
mfb said:
Just two examples from this month:
Water from sunlight and air - using metal-organic frameworks not developed for this purpose
A new water filter - using graphene, not developed for this purpose
Were these two examples only due to Mars Project funding? Is the graphene work all aimed at Mars? I think not.
The stone tool analogy has nothing to do with politics.
 
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  • #62
sophiecentaur said:
...Perhaps $30B is 'good value' if it yields results but is there really a hurry for it? Is it better value than unmanned missions? (Apart from the PR)
In the totality of planetary exploration, unmanned is a better value imo for *most*, but not *all*, of the missions. At some point there's no substitute for the eyes and feel of the expert on the scene, maybe long term eyes.

Again, a Mars Direct mission could be funded for close to the money NASA spends now on other, relatively unproductive programs. I don't know that MD is viable, but if so the funding is there. NASA is adverse to the one big mission path because of the pain it suffered after Apollo was cancelled. Now, it funds researchers in dozens of different fields that would scream the end of science to their congressman if threatened.
 
  • #63
You use the word "invest." If we are speaking of taxpayer money, we should consider the Return on Investment to the taxpayers from the exploration of Mars.

If very wealthy investors want to voluntarily gamble their money in a private venture, that is another matter. But I'm sure we don't want to funnel tax money extracted from the ordinary taxpayers into the bank accounts of the billionaires.

I suppose I am thinking this way because taxes are due on April 18. That really makes one think about where the money is going, does it not?
 
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  • #64
A privately invested project tends to be aimed at a short term financial profit. It will use as much readily available tech as possible, to get the result and not have time for interesting side alleys of research. Funding is not available to produce the spin offs that more generously funded government type establishments often yield. So I don't find the spin off argument so convincing. Blue skies thinking tends to come from the ivory tower institutions ( universities etc.) where the man days are not so tightly controlled. Tax payer's money gets "funnelled" into the spin offs more.
 
  • #65
mfb said:
"put on hold" is not proportionate. Put on hold implies zero funding - at least that's how I interpret "put on hold".
You talk as if Mars research would be the only source of these spin offs. I am not suggesting we freeze all research - just the (imo) less important stuff, like non fundamental and non-Earth Sciences. It would be a good idea - but totally impractical- to suggest that ways of launching space vehicles (and jet flight, too) without significantly harming the atmosphere, would be worth while researching before we increase that traffic load.
 
  • #66
sophiecentaur said:
Were these two examples only due to Mars Project funding?
No, they were example of government-funded research producing "unexpected" spin-offs later.
We don't have a manned mission to Mars yet, so I cannot show spin-offs produced by that mission for obvious reasons.

I put unexpected in quotation marks because the specific application is unexpected, but the fact that applications are found is not unexpected.
sophiecentaur said:
The stone tool analogy has nothing to do with politics.
It is all about politics. Political decisions how to spend money.
sophiecentaur said:
You talk as if Mars research would be the only source of these spin offs.
It is the only source for some spin-offs. If you freeze research in many areas, you miss many spin-offs, and you stall development for a long time. Highly variable funding is the worst case - you lose the experts, and once they are gone it is hard to get them back.
sophiecentaur said:
It would be a good idea - but totally impractical- to suggest that ways of launching space vehicles (and jet flight, too) without significantly harming the atmosphere, would be worth while researching before we increase that traffic load.
The impact of space launches on the atmosphere is completely negligible.
 
  • #67
mfb said:
It is the only source for some spin-offs.
Which ones did you have in mind? It's all a bit tenuous, I think; things could spin off but why would they be coming for Mars alone? You can't really suggest that Mars would be a peculiarly fruitful source of these spin offs. The private projects are deliberately limited in scope - just enough to get a result, I think. Also, it's not No. 1 on everyone's list of worthwhile research projects because not everyone finds it so interesting.
We have to admit that space travel is a risky business. I can't see investors being keen to keep investing after the first disaster, despite the glamour of space projects. I can understand that you find it an attractive and exciting business but justifying expensive projects requires more than that and from a lot of people.
 
  • #68
sophiecentaur said:
Which ones did you have in mind?
You keep asking me to predict yet unknown events in the future. I cannot!
I can only show that the past had an extremely persistent pattern of spin-offs from every major project, often in unexpected ways, and usually things we would have missed without research in this particular direction.
 
  • #69
mfb said:
You keep asking me to predict yet unknown events in the future. I cannot!
I realize that but you keep justifying the project on the grounds that it will yield useful spin offs. If it does, then it does and that would be great. However, implying that there will be useful spin offs is just a sales pitch and I happen to be a very tightwad investor. My point is that there are far more spin offs from generously (government) funded projects than near the bone commercial ones. It's in no one's interest to keep working an a gizmo, once it (just) does that specific job. Can you be sure that such a project would not be based on as much stuff as possible that's already available. Would it involve the dozens of separately contributing teams that are involved with unmanned missions, which carry dozens of different experiments, many of them highly sophisticated and well thought out? Just keeping one crew member alive involves more expense that a whole space lab full of autonomous experiments.
 
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  • #70
sophiecentaur said:
I realize that but you keep justifying the project on the grounds that it will yield useful spin offs.
Every similar project in the past did. There is no reason why this should be the first exception ever.

Yet another example useful for commercial satellites, found just minutes after writing this post. The examples are everywhere.
sophiecentaur said:
However, implying that there will be useful spin offs is just a sales pitch and I happen to be a very tightwad investor.
There will also be a giant amount of science done, but if you ask "how many people will that feed", then spin-offs are the only thing you seem to accept as benefit.
sophiecentaur said:
My point is that there are far more spin offs from generously (government) funded projects than near the bone commercial ones.
And where is the point? The first manned mission to Mars will likely be a government project.
In the unlikely case of a private company paying for it, there is absolutely no need to "justify" this in humanitarian terms: the company can spend their money on whatever they want. It is their business.
sophiecentaur said:
Can you be sure that such a project would not be based on as much stuff as possible that's already available.
We don't have the infrastructure to send humans to Mars. Yes, it would certainly involve billions of dollars in R&D.
 
  • #71
I hate to bring this up but the USA is massively in debt.

I don't know how much funding is being asked for by various space enterprises, but it will take about 60 million dollars just to replace the 59 Tomahawk missiles fired against the Syrian airbase.

Several cliches come to mind. These include "money does not grow on trees."
 
  • #72
mfb said:
The first manned mission to Mars will likely be a government project.
I am totally confused now. Musk has been mentioned, SpaceX and $30B - all to support the fact that it won't cost 'us' much. Now you tell me it will have to be government funded. The ground is shifting too much for us to get a sensible conclusion to this one. Which are we arguing about and which are the 'pro' comments aimed at?
Aufbauwerk 2045 said:
but it will take about 60 million dollars just to replace the 59 Tomahawk missiles fired against the Syrian airbase.
Governments only need to print a bit more money or take out more loans from China, to deal with a simple problem like that. This is a world of smoke and mirrors, remember.
 
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  • #73
sophiecentaur said:
I am totally confused now. Musk has been mentioned, SpaceX and $30B - all to support the fact that it won't cost 'us' much. Now you tell me it will have to be government funded. The ground is shifting too much for us to get a sensible conclusion to this one. Which are we arguing about and which are the 'pro' comments aimed at?
I cannot see into the future, but I think we have five somewhat realistic scenarios leading to initial Mars missions:

  • SpaceX's ITS (or a similar system later) works and will not cost significantly more than planned. SpaceX pays most of the development.
    NASA, with ESA and maybe JAXA contribution, buys a few flights to Mars and back - enough to have something like 2-3 crews of 10 astronauts on the surface for 2 years each. NASA cost: Maybe 2-4 billions for the flights, a few billions for developing and building the station on Mars (Mars Direct estimated 3 billions for ground infrastructure of a first flight in 2002, half a billion for subsequent missions).
    China might buy a few flights as well, although I'm not sure how that would work in terms of ITAR requirements.
    -> We get extremely cheap and large-scale access to space, SpaceX takes over the launch market and makes billions with its developments, we get many new things developed for the Mars station, and we learn a lot about Mars.
  • SpaceX's ITS (or a similar system later) works and will not cost significantly more than planned, but they don't find a government interested in Mars missions. SpaceX might do a Mars mission on their own to demonstrate the feasibility - similar to Red Dragon.
    -> We get extremely cheap and large-scale access to space, many of the things developed for ITS and the Mars station are now sold by SpaceX, and we learn a lot about Mars.
  • SpaceX's ITS does not work or costs too much to be interesting, and nothing else like it gets developed. Falcon 9, New Glenn or other reusable rockets work and reduce launch costs. NASA (probably with ESA+JAXA, maybe even with Russia) develops modules that can fly to Mars, land there, launch from there again, fly back, and all the other stuff, and launches them with the reusable rockets. ~20 billions in 2002 dollars if we go by the Mars Direct estimates, 4-5 for a subsequent mission
    -> We get cheaper but still expensive rockets, tons of spin-offs from all the infrastructure development, and we learn a lot about Mars.
  • NASA goes to Mars with SLS. That will cost a lot, mainly due to the ridiculous price of SLS/Orion. Apart from that, it is similar to the previous scenario. We still get the cheaper rockets, even though the Mars mission doesn't use it.
  • NASA doesn't go to Mars, but China does. China now leads worldwide research in various fields.
 
  • #74
sophiecentaur said:
That's a very romantic argument. People who sit around and contemplate the w of w are the ones who provide the intellectual ammunition for the technologists who provide the systems for the action men to play on. It's all funded by people who reckon they will make a profit out of a venture - one way or another. The investors never need to cross any mountains.

It may be romantic, but then many people are like that. You can also be a romantic technologist.
 
  • #75
AgentCachat said:
It may be romantic, but then many people are like that. You can also be a romantic technologist.
I guess I was over-categorising but there are very few people who are brilliant at theory and also gifted at applied technology. And even fewer who are those two and also successful investors.
 
  • #76
sophiecentaur said:
I guess I was over-categorising but there are very few people who are brilliant at theory and also gifted at applied technology. And even fewer who are those two and also successful investors.

That is correct, very few. They are responsible for so much.
 
  • #77
FritoTaco said:
I want to ask for your thoughts about Mars exploration in the current time we live in. Why do you personally think we should or should not strive to put money, time, and effort to send an astronaut to mars?

My thoughts about this topic are how we should put forth our current developments and push to go to mars.That might mean an addition to taxes, which those people who aren't in favor of it, will spend more money towards funding space organizations like Mars One, SpaceX, and NASA (if you're living in U.S. territory). The fact of the matter is, some people don't believe in "climate change" and whether you're one of them or not, there's been ideas about how Mars can help us predict what can happen to Earth in the long distance future. If you look at mars, there are polar ice caps on the north and south region, with many scientists predicting the extinction of the ocean on mars. So to reiterate my question, do you think Mars is a good idea in our day in age? Or are there enough problems here on earth?
There are two fundamental notions to be pursued here: first, we will look at the problem from a political standpoint, and second, from the epistemological standpoint. Since you have brought the US to the forefront of human space exploration, I shall focus on it. The US is not a true democracy, as were the city-states of ancient Greece. It is a republic which exhibits some of the characteristics of a democracy. NASA is a government agency, not run by the US population, but ultimately by the CEO of the US, who needs to be educated and persuaded to direct his or her agencies in one way or the other.
The second notion has to do with the nature of knowledge. Human beings are innately curious, and with evolutions in technology, the arm of humanity becomes more dexterous and increases in length. An infant lays in his or her crib and reaches for the mobile, but is unable to touch it until the child is able to stand. In the same way, the need-to-know is self-justified. As the story of Babel teaches, people have learned a collective arm is in all ways more effectual than a singular one; therefore, we -- not only as Americans, but as a world community, use NASA as a prosthesis to reach farther and learn more tomorrow than we could yesterday. Financial concern, practical as it may be, becomes inconsequential from the explorer's standpoint. The possibility of falling is overshadowed by the desire to touch the mobile.
 
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  • #78
David Pass said:
As the story of Babel teaches, people have learned a collective arm is in all ways more effectual than a singular one; therefore, we -- not only as Americans, but as a world community, use NASA as a prosthesis to reach farther and learn more tomorrow than we could yesterday.
And we, as Canadians, understand more than anyone else the need for an arm to reach farther! :-p:smile::biggrin:

canadarm2_expedition11.jpg
 
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  • #79
David Pass said:
There are two fundamental notions to be pursued here: first, we will look at the problem from a political standpoint, and second, from the epistemological standpoint. Since you have brought the US to the forefront of human space exploration, I shall focus on it. The US is not a true democracy, as were the city-states of ancient Greece. It is a republic which exhibits some of the characteristics of a democracy. NASA is a government agency, not run by the US population, but ultimately by the CEO of the US, who needs to be educated and persuaded to direct his or her agencies in one way or the other.
The second notion has to do with the nature of knowledge. Human beings are innately curious, and with evolutions in technology, the arm of humanity becomes more dexterous and increases in length. An infant lays in his or her crib and reaches for the mobile, but is unable to touch it until the child is able to stand. In the same way, the need-to-know is self-justified. As the story of Babel teaches, people have learned a collective arm is in all ways more effectual than a singular one; therefore, we -- not only as Americans, but as a world community, use NASA as a prosthesis to reach farther and learn more tomorrow than we could yesterday. Financial concern, practical as it may be, becomes inconsequential from the explorer's standpoint. The possibility of falling is overshadowed by the desire to touch the mobile.

"people have learned a collective arm is in all ways more effectual than a singular one"

Untrue, as any plumber, automotive mechanic, or HVAC technician could tell you.
 
  • #80
I don't see a real purpose. Mars is pretty much a dead planet. True, there may be water beneath the surface, but nothing grows. I think most of us believe that Mars may have thrive at one time. millions or even billions of years ago, but it's pretty useless now. I don't see a real reason to explore an expedentially dead planet.
 
  • #81
If we slack off with investing in space we will be overtaken by countries such as China
 
  • #82
Yep...your final question in your post voiced my thoughts exactly: we have enough problems here on Earth to take care of. Problems that require money. Tax payer funding. So let's do that first.

I used to be a huge proponent of space exploration. Well, I still am up to a point. Of course we had to go to the moon to fulfill JFK's promise and to beat the Russians while were in a the midst of a Space Race and the Cold War. And you know that the public's interest in NASA and the Space Program really took a dive after we attained the Moon.

Mars? Meh. Sure, there is almost certainly microbial life out there, in the ice or maybe in liquid water beneath those ice caps. But so what? What is it really going to teach us? We know that microbes can flourish in adverse adverse, even anaerobic conditions. We know--well, anybody with extensive knowledge of the Universe--that the chances are very great that we here on Earth are not alone. There is certainly no intelligent life on Mars. Basically the only thing we get from going there--other than a multi-billion dollar pricetag, is the bragging rights to say we did it.

Too, we can find out all we need to know from robotics. As that particular technology has come a very long way. I challenge somebody to tell me what a human can do on Mars insofar as obtaining useful information for us that a robot cannot. And, please, can we end this absurd talk about ever terra-forming Mars? Why would we? We have plenty of room here on Earth. Room has never been the issue. The time and cost of terra-forming are mind-boggling. Guess what? Mars doesn't want us! LOL. It is as inhospitable of an environment as you can find. There. is. no. air. to breathe. Watch the movie "The Martian" for a glimpse of how terrible it is there. And then try to imagine not just one highly-skilled professional astronaut surviving, but masses of regular laymen people. It' never going to happen. So let us spend the money on fixing the problems that those Mars advocates think are going to force us to one day have to live there! LOL

Hope this helps. Thanks.
 
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  • #83
Skeptic Tom said:
If we slack off with investing in space we will be overtaken by countries such as China
It depends on who "we" are. We are all humans and this is a Physics discussion. Some of 'us' on PF could be Chinese.
 
  • #84
velocity_boy said:
Yep...your final question in your post voiced my thoughts exactly: we have enough problems here on Earth to take care of. Problems that require money. Tax payer funding. So let's do that first.
When do you expect this to be done? When will we reach a point where no one can see any problem left or find new problems?
velocity_boy said:
Of course we had to go to the moon to fulfill JFK's promise and to beat the Russians while were in a the midst of a Space Race and the Cold War.
Why? And why is this "of course"? If "the US president said so" and "someone else tries to be first" are sufficient as reason, then the US should go there because both Obama and Trump wanted/want it and the Chinese might be first otherwise.
velocity_boy said:
Sure, there is almost certainly microbial life out there
Most experts disagree.
velocity_boy said:
What is it really going to teach us?
How life develops or if it can spread between planets, how the history of Mars looked like, a lot about Mars today, and a huge jump in knowledge about how common and how flexible life is in general.
velocity_boy said:
I challenge somebody to tell me what a human can do on Mars insofar as obtaining useful information for us that a robot cannot.
A human can do in a day what our current rovers do in months. Light-speed delay makes every action painfully slow and sometimes hands are just the best tools we have. In addition, we can do much more with the better equipment we could deliver with a manned mission. Samples brought back to Earth can be studied in even more detail here.
velocity_boy said:
The time and cost of terra-forming are mind-boggling.
Humans spent a significant fraction of the GDP (or equivalent before GDP was a thing) over hundreds of years to "terraform" parts of Earth to make more farmland.
velocity_boy said:
It is as inhospitable of an environment as you can find.
Not as inhospitable as Mercury, Venus, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus or Neptune, our Moon, or any other object in the solar system apart from Earth. Not as inhospitable as space, where the ISS has been manned continuously since 2000.
velocity_boy said:
It' never going to happen.
Humans will never cross an ocean. Or invent machines more powerful than themselves. Humans will never fly. Or go to space.
For some reason, I don't trust "humans will never do X" predictions.
 
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  • #85
You're wrong about human being thirty times more productive than robotics.

And you're wrong that most experts don't think we will find microbes on Mars.

Terraforming Earth was a necessity. Doing the same to Mars is not. It's also vastly more difficult and expensive. To even compare the two is absurd.

Finding microbes on Mars won't show us how transpermia works.

And I expect...hope?...to attend to problems here right now. And in the future. Actually we've been doing this and many folks don't realize that the world is a far better and more peaceful place now than ever. That's right, more peaceful. As in less war. Look it up. Thus, there is nothing we cannot fix here, or improve. Why?

Gee, dunno. Maybe because it's our home? LOL

Mars is a distant wasteland, and offers very little in compared with the costs of going there.

While crossing the oceans and this other things offered much. Plus, again...sigh...they were right here.

You know...Home.
 
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  • #86
mfb said:
Humans spent a significant fraction of the GDP (or equivalent before GDP was a thing) over hundreds of years to "terraform" parts of Earth to make more farmland.
That is a total misuse of the term "terraform" - even with the added punctuation. There has been fringe farming, established on some very inhospitable parts of the world but that is in no way comparable with starting with what Mars has to offer. OK, you are very keen on the idea but there are other priorities.
Your argument that there will always something else that's (wrongly considered to be) more worth while is dead right (except that "wrong" is just a personal view). That could well be the case and you would just have to come to terms with it - same way as the millions of 'poor' have to come to terms with (other people's) priorities that are applied to their fortunes.
mfb said:
the Chinese might be first otherwise.
Would that be the end of the world? Think of the money that could save.
mfb said:
A human can do in a day what our current rovers do in months.
Possibly true (but with a smaller ratio involved and the cost ratio is way off in the other direction) and the fact is that many environmental studies take months / years, in any case; that's ideally suited to robotic experimentation. The delay in a control loop becomes less and less significant when robots can be increasingly autonomous. Having a human walk on the surface of Mars, just so they can plant a flag is not worth the risk of anyone's life. (A 'modest proposal': perhaps we could send volunteer residents of death row?)
 
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  • #87
mfb said:
I don't trust "humans will never do X" predictions.
Neither do I. But whether they should do it now or generations later is another matter.
 
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  • #88
velocity_boy said:
Yep...your final question in your post voiced my thoughts exactly: we have enough problems here on Earth to take care of. Problems that require money. Tax payer funding. So let's do that first.

I used to be a huge proponent of space exploration. Well, I still am up to a point. Of course we had to go to the moon to fulfill JFK's promise and to beat the Russians while were in a the midst of a Space Race and the Cold War. And you know that the public's interest in NASA and the Space Program really took a dive after we attained the Moon.

Mars? Meh. Sure, there is almost certainly microbial life out there, in the ice or maybe in liquid water beneath those ice caps. But so what? What is it really going to teach us? We know that microbes can flourish in adverse adverse, even anaerobic conditions. We know--well, anybody with extensive knowledge of the Universe--that the chances are very great that we here on Earth are not alone. There is certainly no intelligent life on Mars. Basically the only thing we get from going there--other than a multi-billion dollar pricetag, is the bragging rights to say we did it.

Too, we can find out all we need to know from robotics. As that particular technology has come a very long way. I challenge somebody to tell me what a human can do on Mars insofar as obtaining useful information for us that a robot cannot. And, please, can we end this absurd talk about ever terra-forming Mars? Why would we? We have plenty of room here on Earth. Room has never been the issue. The time and cost of terra-forming are mind-boggling. Guess what? Mars doesn't want us! LOL. It is as inhospitable of an environment as you can find. There. is. no. air. to breathe. Watch the movie "The Martian" for a glimpse of how terrible it is there. And then try to imagine not just one highly-skilled professional astronaut surviving, but masses of regular laymen people. It' never going to happen. So let us spend the money on fixing the problems that those Mars advocates think are going to force us to one day have to live there! LOL

Hope this helps. Thanks.

Throwing more money at problems doesn't necessarily make them any better. If we spent every dime we had on cancer research, there's still very little to no chance we'd find a cure. Now I don't think sending humans to Mars is necessary, there is very little we could do that our robots can't, but someday, the Earth will be uninhabitable. Assuming its possible to traverse space on long voyages, its a necessity we figure out how or we will become extinct for certain. There is also something to be said for overcoming a challenge for its sake alone, its in our nature to do things previously thought impossible for no other reason than to do them.
 
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  • #89
JLowe said:
but someday, the Earth will be uninhabitable.
To include this in your argument needs a bit more precision. The Sun will become a red giant and swallow us up but that is of no concern to humankind in any way whatsoever. What sort of event or 'developing situation' are you suggesting we could deal with by leaving the Earth? How many of us would get to leave? What would be done about the remainers? The suggested event always seems to be a rogue asteroid. That could be dealt with by using enough resources but the project receives much less fandom than a sexy trip to Mars. I wonder why, bearing in mind that every Earthling could benefit from such an insurance project.
JLowe said:
If we spent every dime we had on cancer research, there's still very little to no chance we'd find a cure.
That's a pretty nonsense statement, actually. The long term treatment of many (most) cancers is getting more and more successful and the prognosis is improving all the time. There is a visible gain from every million quid that's spent in that direction. Again, this is nothing like as sexy as a Mars shot.
JLowe said:
There is also something to be said for overcoming a challenge for its sake alone,
There is a pecking order of challenges. You are assuming your favourite should be everyone's favourite. 'Thrilling' doesn't equate to 'most worthwhile'.
JLowe said:
its in our nature to do things
...to do lots of things that we would not want to encourage. Again, this is not an argument - except to present to some tight fisted funding body. In that case, it could just tip the balance. :smile:
 
  • #90
velocity_boy said:
You're wrong about human being thirty times more productive than robotics.
Curiosity covered 15 km in nearly 4.5 years. The experiments take a couple of measurements per day (e. g. "a dozen per day" for ChemCam, one of the more flexible instruments, or one measurement per day for APXS). Humans could easily drive that distance in a single EVA, and they would be able to collect thousands of samples in a week, to be analyzed in the station and/or on Earth. Apollo 17 collected 741 samples in 3 days, with a crew of just 2 astronauts. You are right, they are not 30 times more productive. They are even more than that.
velocity_boy said:
And you're wrong that most experts don't think we will find microbes on Mars.
The rovers don't even have "search for present life" as science objective. Opportunity and Curiosity as example. If the experts would think present life was likely, they would search for it.
All the publications (these three are just examples) focus on life in the past, and mention life today only remotely as obscure option that cannot be fully ruled out today.
velocity_boy said:
Terraforming Earth was a necessity.
It was not, humans could have used the existing farmland. Or not starting farming at all.
It is more difficult, but we can use technology of the 21st and 22nd century for it.
velocity_boy said:
Finding microbes on Mars won't show us how transpermia works.
If they have their origin on Earth, we could figure out when the evolution separated. Even better if multiple microbes point to multiple transfer events.
velocity_boy said:
And I expect...hope?...to attend to problems here right now. And in the future. Actually we've been doing this and many folks don't realize that the world is a far better and more peaceful place now than ever. That's right, more peaceful. As in less war. Look it up. Thus, there is nothing we cannot fix here, or improve. Why?
That is my point. The world is getting more peaceful, people get less hungry, longer-living, richer and so on all the time. Yet people point to increasingly small problems or find new problems. No matter how much life on Earth improves, you can always say "we have to improve it more before we do new things". New things that ultimately improve the life on Earth as well.

sophiecentaur said:
mfb said:
the Chinese might be first otherwise.
Would that be the end of the world? Think of the money that could save.
It is not my argument, please do not quote it out of context:
mfb said:
Why? And why is this "of course"? If "the US president said so" and "someone else tries to be first" are sufficient as reason, then the US should go there because both Obama and Trump wanted/want it and the Chinese might be first otherwise.
It will save the US some money in the short run, but over time it will cost money as the Chinese will be even faster surpassing the US in technological advancements.
sophiecentaur said:
Having a human walk on the surface of Mars, just so they can plant a flag is not worth the risk of anyone's life.
I agree. And that is not the goal of any of the proposed missions to Mars.
sophiecentaur said:
That's a pretty nonsense statement, actually. The long term treatment of many (most) cancers is getting more and more successful and the prognosis is improving all the time. There is a visible gain from every million quid that's spent in that direction. Again, this is nothing like as sexy as a Mars shot.
Cancer research gets more money. Which is good. It is not either-or. It is both. The overall costs per person are tiny.
 

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