Simple probability proof about limits

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on solving a probability problem from Allan Gut's graduate course, specifically focusing on the existence of a sequence of sets {En} and its complements {Cn}. The user proposes that the probabilities of the complements follow a pattern where P(Cn) = a/2^(n-1). The conversation emphasizes the relationship between the probabilities of the unions and intersections of these sets, particularly leveraging the properties of geometric series to derive conclusions about P(∪Cn) and P(∩En).

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of basic probability theory, including set theory and complements.
  • Familiarity with geometric series and their convergence properties.
  • Knowledge of limits and their application in probability.
  • Experience with graduate-level probability texts, specifically Allan Gut's work.
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the properties of geometric series and their applications in probability.
  • Explore the concepts of limits in the context of probability measures.
  • Review the proofs of the existence of sequences in probability theory.
  • Investigate advanced topics in set theory related to unions and intersections of sets.
USEFUL FOR

Graduate students in mathematics or statistics, educators teaching probability theory, and researchers interested in advanced probability concepts and proofs.

hermanni
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Hi all,
I'm trying to solve the 5th question , it's from Allan Gut's probability : a gradute course .I attached the relevant pages.
For the part (a) I think we don't need to construct the sequence itself, but prove it exists somehow.
For the part (b) we need to find an example.For the parts (b) and (c) , I really don't have an idea. Can anyone help please? Thanx.
 

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I'll give you a hint for part (a):

Let {En} be a sequence of sets. For each n, let Cn be the compliment of En.

Suppose that P(C1) = a, P(C2) = a/2, P(C3) = a/4, etc. In other words, P(Cn) = a/2(n-1).

What can we say then about P([tex]\bigcup[/tex] Cn)?

Remember that 1/2n is a geometric series. Tell me, what the sum from 0 to infinity of 1/2n? What about a/2n?Also, if we know P([tex]\bigcup[/tex] Cn), then don't we know P([tex]\bigcap[/tex] En)?

Now, try to assemble these facts together!
 
Last edited:
Thank you very much for this construction :)) What about part c? How can we show such a thing?

Regards, h.
 

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