Simulation from a process given by "complicated" SDE

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around simulating a stochastic process defined by a specific stochastic differential equation (SDE). Participants explore methods for simulating paths of the process, its distribution, and the application of numerical schemes for simulation, particularly in the context of financial modeling.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Technical explanation, Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant seeks assistance in finding the distribution of the process defined by the SDE: $$ dX_t = -a(X_t-1)dt+b\sqrt{X_t}dB_t $$, indicating uncertainty about the complexity level of the problem.
  • Another participant identifies the SDE as that of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, suggesting that information about the distribution of future values can be found on its Wikipedia page.
  • A different participant inquires about the Log Euler scheme for the process, expressing a lack of clarity on how to construct a simulation.
  • One participant outlines a method for simulating a random sequence of projected values of ##X_t## over a specified time interval, detailing the steps involved in generating paths using independent standard normal pseudo-random numbers.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not appear to reach a consensus on the distribution of the process or the best simulation approach, indicating that multiple competing views and uncertainties remain in the discussion.

Contextual Notes

The discussion does not resolve the assumptions or limitations related to the simulation methods or the distribution of the process, leaving these aspects open for further exploration.

econmajor
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Actually this is more of a simulation question but since PF doesn't have Simulation category I ask here.
I need to simulate a path from a proces given by this Stochastic DE:
$$ dX_t = -a(X_t-1)dt+b\sqrt{X_t}dB_t $$ where ##B_t## is wiener process/brownian motion and a and b are just some constants. In order to design a simulation scheme to this process I need to find it's distribution. Please help me find the distribution. I don't know whether this is advanced or Intermediate?
 
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The SDE is that of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model that is used for processes like interest rates. If you look up the wiki page on that model you'll find information about the distribution of a future value ##X_t##.
 
How will a Log Euler scheme for this process look like? I still haven't a proper way to construct a simulation.
 
To simulate a random sequence of projected values of ##X_t## over a period ##[0,T]## with time steps of length ##dt\triangleq T/n##, you just start with the initial value ##X_0##, generate a set of ##n## independent standard normal pseudo-random numbers ##Z_1,...,Z_n## then apply the above equation ##n## times for ##j=1## to ##n##, with ##t=t_j## taking the value ##(j-1)dt## and ##dW_{t_j} = Z_j \sqrt{dt}##.

Repeat ##m## times, where ##m## is the number of simulated paths you want, using a different random sequence of ##Z_j## each time.
 
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