greswd said:
So far what has been the strongest evidence for this prediction?
There is none, as it is far from clear that that “prediction” is correct; if you were to say “flash of light” instead of “photon” you would be on much more solid ground. General relativity is a classical theory that works just fine with classical electromagnetic waves, but photons are a quantum mechanical phenomenon.
So let’s assume that you meant to say “flash of light” instead of “photon”, so that we have an interesting question. In that case the answer is still “none” because we have no direct observations of the behavior of light at an event horizon. However, we do have an enormous amount of observational evidence telling us that general relativity does work everywhere that we can see.
Thus, there are two possibilities:
1) General relativity works everywhere that we can see, and also works at event horizons even though we can’t observe what happens there.
2) General relativity is wrong. The correct theory is something else, something that agrees with general relativity everywhere that we can see, but that because of some as yet unknown physics operating through some as yet unknown mechanism, makes different predictions about what happens at the event horizon.
There’s no way of proving that #1 is right and #2 is wrong... but I know which way I’m betting.
Your question (“What is the strongest evidence for this prediction?”) is somewhat like asking Isaac Newton what evidence there is for his prediction that if tomorrow I drop an object it will fall to the ground. Either Newtonian gravity is correct and the object will fall when dropped, or some other theory that says dropped objects fall today but something else will happen tomorrow is correct. We can’t do the experiment today because it’s not tomorrow... but I know which way I’m betting, and you aren’t seriously going to take the other side of that bet.