Temperature change and Milankovitch cycles

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SUMMARY

The Earth is currently in a cooling period according to the Milankovitch cycles, specifically the theory refined by Imbrie, which indicates a long-term cooling trend that began approximately 6,000 years ago and is expected to continue for another 23,000 years. NASA supports the Milankovitch Hypothesis, suggesting that we are 20,000 years into a 50,000-year warming cycle, which will be succeeded by a 50,000-year cooling cycle leading to another Ice Age, unless anthropogenic effects dominate. The consensus among scholars aligns with NASA's position regarding these cycles.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Milankovitch cycles
  • Familiarity with the Pleistocene glacial epochs
  • Knowledge of anthropogenic climate change
  • Basic comprehension of orbital forcing effects
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the implications of Milankovitch cycles on future climate patterns
  • Explore the Pleistocene glacial epochs in detail
  • Investigate the impact of anthropogenic effects on climate change
  • Study NASA's climate models and predictions related to orbital forcing
USEFUL FOR

Climate scientists, environmental researchers, and anyone interested in understanding the long-term climate patterns influenced by Milankovitch cycles and their implications for future climate scenarios.

neginf
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According to Milankovitch cycles, is the Earth in a warming, stable, or cooling period ?
 
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Cooling; the Milankovitch theory as tuned by Imbrie predicts that the long-term cooling
trend which began some 6000 years ago would otherwise continue for 23,000 years.

http://math.virginia.edu/~ji2k/Home/Papers/Imbrie-Imbrie.pdf
 
Last edited by a moderator:
neginf said:
According to Milankovitch cycles, is the Earth in a warming, stable, or cooling period ?

If you accept the Milankovitch Hypothesis as explaining the periodicity of the Pleistocene glacial epochs (as NASA does), then we are 20,000 years into a 50,000 warming cycle. This will be followed by a 50,000 cooling cycle and another Ice Age--assuming anthropogenic effects do not overpower the effects of orbital forcing.

Imbrie disagrees, but my own readings suggest the most scholars agree with NASA. Follow some of the Google references and come to your own conclusions.
 
Any links supporting NASA's alleged position?
 

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