Tropical Cyclone Alfred

[bhobba]

Hi All

Tropical cyclone Alfred is predicted to cross land right over where I live on Wednesday or Thursday.

A bit unusual this far south but far from unheard of.

Currently, it is category one but is predicted to increase to category 2.

Fingers crossed,

Of course these things are notoriously hard to get right.

Thanks
Bill

 

[Greg Bernhardt]

Stay safe!

More info:
https://www.news.com.au/technology/...k/news-story/20867f59be12243e78c534626236f4d9

 

[bhobba]

It is predicted to hit Friday right on top of Redland City where I live (outer Brisbane).

It has slowed a little as it nears landfall.

Live broadcast on YouTube as of this posting, if people are interested.



Good insight into these events

Thanks
Bill

 

[DaveE]

Sorry, I just can't resist sharing...



Stay safe. Then tell us stories about it.

 

[bhobba]

Talk about unpredictability, it is now expected to cross not at Redland Bay but north of Brisbane. Before landfall, it will be reduced to category 1. The prediction is that it will be just as dangerous—nearly 130k winds and trees are already uprooted. Funny, it's relatively calm outside where I live.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03...en-it-will-hit-south-east-queenslan/105015834.

It is caused by slightly warmer water temperatures. We see fewer cyclones due to climate change (strange - hey), but the ones occurring are more powerful (direct from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology - the hate being called BOM).

Thanks
Bill

 

[bhobba]

Hi All

Well, well. It has slowed to a crawl.

It is weakening - unsure if it will cross as category 1 or 2.

Some say we may be over the worst - in which case it was a 'fizzer' - a very wet fizzer - the heavy rain is yet to come. We will see.

 

[bhobba]

Hi All

Just letting people know, as of 10.00 pm Brisbane time, power out for me plus 60,000 others (doing this via mobile hot spot) will hit Morton Island as Category 2 at 6.00 am Saturday as a category two then reduce to category 1 and hit Redcliff at 8 am. Ordered to remain indoors for the next 24 hours. Power may be off for a week.

Turning phone off to conserve power.

Thanks
Bill

 

[Astronuc]

The cyclone, the first to hit the area in 50 years, is now expected to land as a category one system with wind speeds of up to 120km/h.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cg5d0z8v0z0o

Some US weather broadcaster mentioned the first cyclone to his Australia in 50 years. They left out the part that it is the specific area, near Brisbane, the is in the path.

I found a list of 26 cyclones that have hit Australia in the last 50 years, of which 24 were since 2000. There are probably more.

One of my cousins lives up in Brisbane.

https://www.9news.com.au/national/t...ts-coast/4431733a-a973-47ba-85bc-c6104b8fa008

 

[Baluncore]

I found a list of 26 cyclones that have hit Australia in the last 50 years, of which 24 were since 2000. There are probably more.

On average, Australia experiences 11 cyclones per year, but only about four to five of them reach land.
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/tropical-cyclone-knowledge-centre/history/past-tropical-cyclones/

 

[Baluncore]

Ex-TC Alfred has now decayed into a tropical low over the Brisbane coast.
Following the winds of TC Alfred, 250,000 homes are without power.
It is now a rain and flood event, with 300 mm of rain expected over the next 24 hours.

 

[bhobba]

Hi All

I am OK.

No power, internet very slow. Lost phone - internet and phone just returned.

Will give more detail when situation better.

Thanks
Bill

 

[bhobba]

Hi All

Actually 450k without power. Down now to 175K and falling.

Thanks
Bill

 

[bhobba]

On average, Australia experiences 11 cyclones per year, but only about four to five of them reach land.
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/tropical-cyclone-knowledge-centre/history/past-tropical-cyclones/

Indeed.

But the tropical lows it creates can cause havoc.

Thanks
Bill

 

[bhobba]

Hi All

Power back.

The tropical low is now far enough west not to be an issue where I live.

Now the cleaning up.

I do not want to go through that again.

We do not have crossing this far south often. But when it crosses further north, the tropical low can be murder.

From experience, while it was crossing, it was a bit of a joke, which was predicted. When it hit Morton Island, you went - was that it? It then formed into a tropical low over Bribie Island (which is connected by bridge to mainland Australia) and that was when the trouble really started.

Thanks
Bill