Sam Lee said:
This can be proven theoretically, at least for a start.
We know the sun is about 6000 deg C (about 6300K).
We also know that the sun radiation is about 1kW/m2.
We also know that we can focus the sun's rays using fresnel lens to about 1 cm2 diameter.
Now, using a thermal storage cylinder with a small opening at the top, we can focus the sun's ray into the thermal storage cylinder through its opening.
The thermal storage cylinder receives about 90% of the radiation that hits the fresnel lens.
From here, we know the energy input into the thermal storage cylinder.
We can design the thermal storage such that the heat loss is less than the energy input for temperatures less than 6300K. (Example, the emissitivity of aluminium foil is 0.03).
So the internal temperature of the thermal storage will keep rising as energy input is greater than energy loss.
Ok Sam, let's do some rough calculations based on these figures.
When we use a lens to focus light from an object then the best focus we can obtain gives an image of the object with a size ratio of
Image Size / Object Size = Image Distance / Object Distance, with distances measured from the lens. This is becasue an object at any finite distance has rays that are not parallel but diverging (I'm pretty sure you were already taking this into account).
So if we want for example a one cm diameter image of the Sun then the required focal length can be calculated from the thin lens formula, 1/I + 1/O = 1/F, where I and O are the image and object distances and F the focal length. This formula can be re-arranged to give the image linear scale factor of I/O = F/(O-F), which for the case of the Sun we may assume O>>F and hence,
\frac{Image Linear Size}{Oject Linear Size} \simeq \frac{F}{O}
So returning to the desired one cm diameter image we see that the required focal length (maximum) is F = Sun Distance * 1cm / Sun Diameter, which using numerical values gives F is about 1.07 meters. This is the maximum focal length to achieve a 1 cm image, with a shorter focal length we can certainly focus an even smaller image of the Sun.
Heres the problem though. If we stick with a one meter focal length then we can make the lens a fairly large diameter without requiring the light to be bent more than physically possible by the lens (there is a limit because as we go for higher refractive index in order to bend the light more we also run up against the problem of total internal reflection in the lens). If however we go for a short focal length then we can make the image smaller but the diameter of the lens will also have to be smaller to avoid needing to bend the light more than physically possible. In other words we can't really gain anything by going for a smaller image and a shorter focal length.
Ok so let's stick with a 1cm image and a 1m focal length for now. Let's assume we can achieve a focal length about the same as the lens diameter. This will give the lens an area of Pi/4 or about 0.8 m^2. By your figures we can collect about 800 Watts of power over this area. Let's assume 100% of that 800 Watts makes it to our 1cm^2 cavity and is 100% absorbed and the cavity has no thermal conduction losses and the "shiny" part has zero emissivity, that's about as favourable assumptions as we can make ok.
If the cavity did reach a temperature of 6300k then the radiation loss from the cavity would be sigma * T^4 * A = 5.67E-8 * 6300^4 * 1E-4 which is about
9000 Watts leaving our cavity. But by our most optimistic calculations the inflowing energy is only
800 Watts, it doesn't take much effort to workout which way the energy is flowing!
Now you could argue that we could overcome this problem by having a lens with a diameter very much bigger than it's focal length (diameter about 11 times the focal length) but I'm almost certain an optics guru (not my area) could prove that impossible. It certainly seems unlikely to me, I'm pretty sure that total internal reflection in the lens would ruin it even if a material with refractive index high enough to bend the light that much were available. (You'd be looking at bending the light through about 85 degrees!)