News What are the Key Factors for Victory in the 2008 Presidential Election?

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The discussion centers on the electoral significance of Hispanic and Black voters in the upcoming Obama-McCain election, highlighting that New Mexico's 5 electoral votes may not be pivotal despite its Hispanic population. Eligible Hispanic voters total approximately 17 million, while Black voters are around 24 million, compared to 151 million White voters, indicating a demographic imbalance. Concerns are raised about the potential impact of a Hispanic vice-presidential candidate for Obama, with opinions divided on whether it would significantly sway Hispanic votes. The conversation also touches on the importance of the vice-presidential picks for both candidates, especially considering McCain's age and the historical context of racial tensions surrounding Obama. Overall, the thread emphasizes the need for informed discussions about voter demographics and electoral strategies as the election approaches.

Who will win the General Election?

  • Obama by over 15 Electoral Votes

    Votes: 16 50.0%
  • Obama by under 15 Electoral Votes

    Votes: 6 18.8%
  • McCain by over 15 Electoral Votes

    Votes: 4 12.5%
  • McCain by under 15 Electoral Votes

    Votes: 6 18.8%

  • Total voters
    32
  • #781
Politico reports that there is intense infighting and finger-pointing, and resumes are already flying - rats jumping off the sinking ship.
That is why McCain could not not attack Bush and had to call himself a maverick.

It does not matter what it cost to Cuba ... they need to oil. They will develop it.
The problem arizes if USA wants to siphon the oil field from their side before Cuba can get their drilling done.
And all the time you got diverted to thinking that DRILL BABY DRILL was aimed somewhere else and that there would not be any personnal gains or ulterior motives by the (R)
 
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  • #782
LowlyPion said:
With early voting in Florida now open, MSNBC is reporting over 750,000 have already voted there. This is roughly 4% of their eligible voters already.

Big turn out => Not good for McCain.
You think that's a big deal? Try this...

2004, GA - 3.2 million votes cast (Bush won by 17%)

Today, GA - 1.0 million early votes cast

And from the latest GA poll (I don't put a lot of weight on a single poll):
(10/24/08) A new InsiderAdvantage / Poll Position survey shows Georgia is a toss-up state in both the U.S. Senate and presidential campaigns.

In the presidential race, Barack Obama has a slight edge over John McCain, although it is within the margin of error. In the U.S. Senate race, Saxby Chambliss has a 2-point edge over Jim Martin, although it, too, is within the margin of error.

Sources:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/elections/2004/ga/
http://sos.georgia.gov/elections/earlyvotingstats08.htm
http://www.insideradvantagegeorgia....er 2008/10-24-08/Insider_Ga_Poll102419643.php
http://www.pollster.com/polls/ga/08-ga-pres-ge-mvo.php
 

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  • #783
A lot of these early voters (at least that I know of in the South) are Christian groups that have been going to great lengths to gather voters. So, it might not be a good thing for Obama.
 
  • #784
Evo said:
A lot of these early voters (at least that I know of in the South) are Christian groups that have been going to great lengths to gather voters. So, it might not be a good thing for Obama.

Than Obama ... the Community Organizer? It may be different this time.
 
  • #785
I just don't want to count my horses before the ship comes in with the eggs, as the old saying goes.
 
  • #786
Evo said:
I just don't want to count my horses before the ship comes in with the eggs, as the old saying goes.

The only thing I can do about it for sure is be sure and vote myself.
 
  • #787
Recall that Michelle Bachmann that was calling for the media to investigate whether members of congress were anti-American last week?

Here is a little blurb I ran across with some of her other statements.

TalkingPoints said:
GOP Rep. To Environmentalists: Jesus Already Saved The Planet
By Eric Kleefeld - August 12, 2008, 2:00PM

We like to keep track of the, er, intriguing sayings of Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, the Christian Right champion from Minnesota. But this latest is really out there -- Bachmann says we don't need pesky environmentalists like Nancy Pelosi around, because Jesus already saved the planet!

"[Pelosi] is committed to her global warming fanaticism to the point where she has said that she's just trying to save the planet," Bachmann told the right-wing news site OneNewsNow. "We all know that someone did that over 2,000 years ago, they saved the planet -- we didn't need Nancy Pelosi to do that."

Wow.

Other recent Bachmannisms include the claim that there isn't actually any wildlife in the areas of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge where she wants more drilling, and the allegation that Democrats want high gas prices so as to force people to move into "inner cities" and "the urban core."
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/08/gop_rep_to_environmentalists_j.php

There is also a video from Uptake.org of Bachmann.
I'm excerpting from the transcript where she says:
UpTake.Org said:
And that's what I had mentioned in my previous response is that America is a great nation, with great values. We are equal opportunity for all. And it's because we all came here and we came together as one. Out of many one. Multi-cultural diversity says out of one many. And if we go with tribalism we will not long be one nation united under God.
http://www.theuptake.org/
(Requires registration)
 
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  • #788
McCain gets newspaper endorsement.

McCook (Neb.) Daily Gazette endorsed McCain on Thursday:

"Obama is leading in the polls, and his personal confidence and charisma is appealing.

"But the majority of southwest Nebraskans and northwest Kansans don't want to see the country shift to the left, the direction Obama and his running mate, Joe Biden, would take it, especially as it relates to the Supreme Court.

"For that reason, the McCook Daily Gazette is endorsing Sen. John McCain and Gov. Sarah Palin for president and vice president."

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081024/ap_on_el_pr/presidential_endorsements_6;_ylt=AlwAzsjcaywD5v_19clEyvBh24cA

Where is McCook, Nebraska you ask?

McCook is located at 40°12′19″N, 100°37′34″W (40.205228, -100.626174).[4]

According to the United States Census Bureau, the city has a total area of 5.4 square miles (13.9 km²), all of it land.

The entire town has a single zip code
 
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  • #789
Michelle_Bachmann said:
Out of many one. Multi-cultural diversity says out of one many. And if we go with tribalism we will not long be one nation united under God.

Isn't the real issue that the United States is one nation under Law? One country of many people from many countries drawn together here over the proposition that all men are created equal and endowed with the inalienable rights to life liberty and the pursuit of happiness? Just where did these people ever learn their civics and history of the country they are a part of? Where is it said that the e pluribus unum refers to cultural and religious values as opposed to human rights?

This is apparently the same fundamental misconception and ignorance that I think Palin suffers from in her odd notions of redefining the role of Vice President to be Queen of the Senate with any power to make policy in any way unless there is some unlikely deadlock.
 
  • #790
Evo said:
McCain gets newspaper endorsement.

Where is McCook, Nebraska you ask?

I guess then that it will be these islands of "real America" that will have to stand against the onslaught of the un-American urban centers.
 
  • #791
mgb_phys said:
So the only way for McCain to win now is if Bush endorses Obama?

Whewwwwww, Bush voted for McCain today.
 
  • #792
race baiting alert

Ashley Todd, the McCain volunteer who said she was assaulted in Pittsburgh Wednesday by an attacker who scratched a "B" in her cheek after learning that she was for McCain,

made the story up, police say.

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/10/report_mccain_volunteer_who_cl.php

I don't watch TV so I don't know how the media handles the incident thus far, but here is what the Fox news VP said before the confession took place.

http://mediamatters.org/items/200810240007

If Ms. Todd's allegations are proven accurate, some voters may revisit their support for Senator [Barack] Obama, not because they are racists ... but because they suddenly feel they do not know enough about the Democratic nominee." That assertion was followed by another baseless claim: "If the incident turns out to be a hoax, Senator [John] McCain's quest for the presidency is over, forever linked to race-baiting
 
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  • #793
Moderate Republicans are fleeing the sinking ship.
Boston_Globe said:
Republican former Mass. governor endorses Obama
By Holly Ramer
Associated Press Writer / October 24, 2008

CONCORD, N.H.—Former Massachusetts Gov. William Weld, a Republican, endorsed Democrat Barack Obama for president on Friday, citing the senator's good judgment, "deep sense of calm" and "first-class political temperament."

Weld said he's never endorsed a Democrat for president before, but in the last six weeks or so, it became "close to a no-brainer." Obama has a history of bringing Democrats, Republicans and independents together and is the best choice at a time when America's standing in the world is at a low point, he said.
http://www.boston.com/news/local/new_hampshire/articles/2008/10/24/former_mass_gov_william_weld_to_endorse_obama/
 
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  • #794
phoenixy said:
I don't watch TV so I don't know how the media handles the incident thus far, but here is what the Fox news VP said before the confession took place.

It was prominent of Fox and Friends this morning before it was found to be a hoax.

Now MSNBC has been reporting that her lie detector and the ATM surveillance cameras didn't back up her story and she confessed.

Plus the B was written backwards on her face like in a mirror.
 
  • #795
Yes, she admitted that she lied. Police say she will face charges now.
 
  • #796
LowlyPion said:
It was prominent of Fox and Friends this morning before it was found to be a hoax.
:rolleyes: Why am I not surprised.

Now MSNBC has been reporting that her lie detector and the ATM surveillance cameras didn't back up her story and she confessed.

Plus the B was written backwards on her face like in a mirror.
I caught this news item this afternoon. It was the 'backward B' that prompted skepticism among police, and other inconsistencies.

Police: McCain volunteer made up robbery story
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081024/ap_on_re_us/attack_mccain_sticker
Police suspected all along that Todd might not be telling the truth, starting with the fact that the "B" was backward, Bryant said.

"We have robbers here in Pittsburgh, but they don't generally mutilate someone's face like that," Bryant said. "They just take the money and run."

I can't see how the race can be tight at this point.
 
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  • #797
Evo said:
I just don't want to count my horses before the ship comes in with the eggs, as the old saying goes.
In the middle of the stream?
 
  • #798
Ron Howard's call to action.
http://www.funnyordie.com/videos/cc65ed650d

Heh...
 
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  • #799
Evo said:
I just don't want to count my horses before the ship comes in with the eggs, as the old saying goes.
Seriously, you have a right to be concerned and cautious. The GOP has assembled caging lists and will challenge as many voter as possible in Democratic-leaning areas, slowing lines and thereby denying many the right to vote. Those who make their way through the slowed-down lines and are challenged will find themselves either unable to vote or able to cast only a provisional ballot that may or may not get counted. There are reports from Nevada that GOP-hired private get-out-the-vote campaigns are destroying Democratic registrations and/or are leading people to believe that by renewing their driver's license or some other public function, they just got registered to vote. Come election day... Surprise!

I know Obama's got a good ground-game, but he is going to need phalanxes of Democratic lawyers protecting the rights of voters on election day. When the polls are descended upon by GOP "observers" trained to disrupt the election, those nice silver-haired ladies manning the registrars' lists are going to need someone to back them up and to ensure that they are not bullied into disenfranchising eligible voters.
 
  • #800
Fried was an active member of John McCain's campaign as recently as last month, serving on a pair of campaign advisory committees.

Charles Fried supports Obama

It's the Weld endorsement that's making news, but there's been another notable defection by a Massachusetts conservative: Charles Fried, a former Solicitor General under Ronald Reagan and one of Harvard Law School's most respected conservatives, says he's already voted for Obama via absentee ballot.

Fried is a conservative of a rather libertarian bent, who, despite his work for Reagan in support of that administration's anti-abortion policies, now defends Roe v. Wade.

http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/ideas/brainiac/2008/10/charles_fried_s.html
 
  • #801
Astronuc said:
It was the 'backward B' that prompted skepticism among police, and other inconsistencies.

I was wondering if there was just no way the B didn't stand for something else?
 
  • #803
I wouldn't be surprised if there is a phalanx of Republican lawyers reading to defend voting rights. I think more than a few Republicans are now fed up with the far right and they want to take their party back.

I wonder if Christie Todd Whitman will endorse Obama?
 
  • #804
LowlyPion said:
Will there be enough room on the Ark?
:smile:

Will be there anyone of any merit left in the Republican party?
 
  • #805
LowlyPion said:
I was wondering if there was just no way the B didn't stand for something else?
Since all of Obama's campaign materials seem to feature his last name and/or just an "O" in many cases, she could have saved herself a lot of embarrassment by scratching an "O" in her face. Instead, that mirror-image "B" helped trip her up.

It was a big black man, I swear... Anybody watch "To Kill a Mockingbird" lately?
 
  • #806
Maybe the October surprise will be that half the GOP votes for Obama. :biggrin:
 
  • #807
Astronuc said:
Maybe the October surprise will be that half the GOP votes for Obama. :biggrin:

It sure looks like it's going that way.

How sweet if Kissinger would bite the hand that feeds him after all McCain has referenced him.
 
  • #808
LowlyPion said:
It sure looks like it's going that way.

How sweet if Kissinger would bite the hand that feeds him after all McCain has referenced him.
Kissinger is headed into his sunset. What better way to cement his legacy than to abandon the neocons, with their disdain for diplomacy, and embrace the Obama ticket. Kissinger wants to be remembered as a statesman and a diplomat. Bush-Rove-Cheney have spent the last 8 years marginalizing diplomats and intelligent foreign policy advisers, as if the US can simply make demands that MUST be complied with by other countries, lest they be branded "enemies".
 
  • #809
Republican Former Governor of Minnesota Arne Carlson was just on MSNBC endorsing Obama as well.

The rout is on.
 
  • #810
Former Mass governor William Weld (R) has jumped on board, too.
 

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