What's the expected value of this problem (random variable)?

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating the expected value of a random variable defined as the difference between the results of two dice rolls. The original poster presents an example to illustrate their question regarding the expected value of this random variable.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the concept of expected value and the relationship between the two dice rolls. Some suggest creating a probability table for the random variable, while others express uncertainty about the material covered in class. There are questions about the relationship between provided resources and the original problem.

Discussion Status

The discussion includes various attempts to clarify the expected value calculation, with some participants providing guidance on creating probability distributions. There is recognition of the symmetry in the problem, leading to a belief that the expected value may be zero, though this is not universally agreed upon.

Contextual Notes

Some participants mention gaps in their understanding due to missed instructional content, and there are references to external resources that may aid in grasping the concepts discussed.

EdmureTully
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Homework Statement



What's the expected value of this problem (random variable)?

X: represent the result of dice number 1 - result of dice number 2

example dice 1 first roll = 2; second roll = 3
dice 2 first roll = 1; second roll = 2

X = 2+3 -(1+2) = 2

what's the expected value of X

Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



I think it's 0, because the Expected value of dice 1 is the same as that of dice 2
 
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I assume you know how to create a table for discrete random variable, showing the outcome of ##X## and it's probability ##P(X)##. Do that first before you try to calculate the ##E(x)##
 
I don't even know that. Our teacher didn't show us any of that. He just skipped over a lot of material.

It's not a homework problem. I just tried to think of an example that may eventually help me in doing my assignment.

Also, if you happen to have a document with a lot of examples that shows you how to compute E(X) that is easy to understand, don't hesitate. Thank you.
 
EdmureTully said:
I don't even know that. Our teacher didn't show us any of that. He just skipped over a lot of material.

It's not a homework problem. I just tried to think of an example that may eventually help me in doing my assignment.

Also, if you happen to have a document with a lot of examples that shows you how to compute E(X) that is easy to understand, don't hesitate. Thank you.

I'm referring to this table:
Expectations06.gif


Ok why don't you look at this page here: (You can no doubt search more in google also)
http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/jo/probability/calcdice.htm

Or this video from Khan's Academy
https://www.khanacademy.org/math/probability/random-variables-topic/random_variables_prob_dist/v/expected-value--e-x
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Seydlitz said:
I'm referring to this table:
Expectations06.gif
I don't understand the relationship between that table and the OP. That table appears to be more to do with tossing a coin 5 times than with rolling a die twice.
More usefully, if you have two random variables, X and Y, then E(X+Y) = E(X)+E(Y). You can use this both to get the expected value of the sum of two rolls of a die, and to get the expected difference from the other sum.
 
haruspex said:
I don't understand the relationship between that table and the OP. That table appears to be more to do with tossing a coin 5 times than with rolling a die twice.
More usefully, if you have two random variables, X and Y, then E(X+Y) = E(X)+E(Y). You can use this both to get the expected value of the sum of two rolls of a die, and to get the expected difference from the other sum.

I'm just giving an example of discrete distribution table from the internet. Maybe he can recall if it was previously taught.
 
The smallest possible value of a single roll of a single die is 1. The largest possible value is 6. The smallest possible value of "the result of die #1- the result of die #2" is 1- 6= -5 and that is possible only with "1" and "5". What is the probability of that?

You can get -4 in two different ways: 1- 5 and 2- 6. What are the probabilities of "1 and 5" and "2 and 6"? So what is the probability of "1 and 5 or 2 and 6"?

Continue that until you get to +5, given by 6- 1. You should quickly see a pattern that will simplify the calculations.
 
Didn't see that. I don't even know what that means.
 
haruspex said:
I don't understand the relationship between that table and the OP. That table appears to be more to do with tossing a coin 5 times than with rolling a die twice.
More usefully, if you have two random variables, X and Y, then E(X+Y) = E(X)+E(Y). You can use this both to get the expected value of the sum of two rolls of a die, and to get the expected difference from the other sum.

What did you do? Did you use the Discrete Binomial Distribution and why do you have 10/32 in the middle?
 
  • #10
HallsofIvy said:
The smallest possible value of a single roll of a single die is 1. The largest possible value is 6. The smallest possible value of "the result of die #1- the result of die #2" is 1- 6= -5 and that is possible only with "1" and "5". What is the probability of that?

You can get -4 in two different ways: 1- 5 and 2- 6. What are the probabilities of "1 and 5" and "2 and 6"? So what is the probability of "1 and 5 or 2 and 6"?

Continue that until you get to +5, given by 6- 1. You should quickly see a pattern that will simplify the calculations.

The pattern I see leads me to believe it's 0.
 
  • #11
I was hoping for a pattern for the probabilities of "-5", "-4", ..., "4", "5": probability of -5 is 1/36, -4 is 2/36= 1/18, -3 is 3/36= 1/12, etc. But if you mean that the expected value is 0, yes, that is correct because of the symmetry: a- b and b- a are equally likely.
 

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