I looked up the fusion cross section for U238 here:
https://wwwndc.jaea.go.jp and I get 1.136 barn.
A square meter of a 1 cm layer of U238 would weigh, 191 Kg and contain 8.0* 10
2 moles, so would contain 4.8 * 10
26 atoms/m
2, the total cross section of those atoms is 0.054 m
2. This would mean there would be a 5.4% chance of a fusion for a 14Mev Neutron crossing a 1 cm layer. There will be more because of elastic collisions , and (n,2n) and other reactions.
The cross section for neutrons with a fission spectrum is 0.31 barn, so I don't think the neutrons produced by fissions will add much, but I think a 1 cm layer already does enough, considering that a fusion produces 18 MeV and a fission about 200MeV