Are My Calculations for Accident Recovery Probabilities Accurate?

In summary, The probability that exactly 14 out of 20 people recover from an accident is 0.109. The probability that at least 10 people recover is 0.999. The probability that at least 14 but no more than 18 people recover is 0.849. The probability that at most 16 people recover is 0.589. The probability that all 5 techniques are successful with a probability of 0.8 is 0.32768. The probability that exactly four out of five techniques are successful with a probability of 0.6 is 0.2592. The probability that less than two techniques are successful with a probability of 0.3 is 0.528. The
  • #1
OptimusPrime
54
0
Please focus on my numerical answers and let me know if they are correct.

Thanks

1. The probability that someone recovers from an accident is .8. Suppose 20 people are known to have been in accidents.

a. What is the probability that exactly 14 recover?

20 choose 14 * .8^14 * .2^6 =.109
b. What is the probability that at least 10 recover?

20 choose x * .8^x * .2^20-x
=1- P(Y<=9)= 1-.001 = .999

c. What is the probability that at least 14 but no more than 18 recover

20 choose x * .8^x * .2^20-x

P(14<=x<=18)= p(14) +p(15) + p(16) + p(17) + p(18) =.849

d.What is that probability that at most 16 recover?
20 choose x * .8^x * .2^20-x

P(x<=16)= p(0)+p(1)+p(2)+...p(16) = .589



2. A new technique has a probability of p. Assume the technique is peformed 5 times and the results are independent.
a. What is the prob that all 5 techniques are successful if p=.8?

5 choose 5 * .8^5 * .2^0 =.32768

b. What is the prob that exactly four are successful if p = .6?
5 choose 4 * .6^4 * .4^1 =.2592

c. What is the prob that less than two are successful if p=.3?

5 choose x * .3^x * .7^5-x

P(x<2) = p(0) + p(1) =.528
 
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  • #2


d. What is the prob that at least three are successful if p=.9?

5 choose x * .9^x * .1^5-x

P(x>=3) = p(3) + p(4) + p(5) = .99701
 
  • #3


d. What is the prob that at least three are successful if p=.9?
5 choose x * .9^x * .1^5-x

P(x>=3) = 1- P(x<=2) = 1-.0729 = .9271
 

Related to Are My Calculations for Accident Recovery Probabilities Accurate?

1. What is accident probability homework?

Accident probability homework is a type of assignment given to students that involves calculating the likelihood of an accident occurring in a given situation or scenario.

2. Why is it important to study accident probability?

Studying accident probability allows us to better understand the risks associated with certain activities or environments, and can help us make informed decisions to prevent accidents from happening.

3. What factors are considered when calculating accident probability?

Factors such as the type of activity, environmental conditions, human behavior, and equipment or safety measures in place are typically considered when calculating accident probability.

4. How can accident probability be reduced?

Accident probability can be reduced by implementing safety protocols, using proper equipment, and educating individuals on potential risks and how to avoid them.

5. What are some real-life examples where accident probability is a concern?

Examples of real-life situations where accident probability is a concern include driving a car, participating in extreme sports, using heavy machinery, and working in hazardous environments.

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