Genetics: Calculating probability

In summary, the probability of a child being affected by an autosomal recessive trait is 1/4 if both parents carry the affected allele. The probability of both parents being heterozygotes is 4/9, but the answer for each parent is 2/3. This can be calculated by taking into account the genotypes of the 1st generation parents and the probability of passing down the mutant allele from each parent.
  • #1
TytoAlba95
132
19
Homework Statement
What is the probability that the child will be affected and the parents will be carrier?
Relevant Equations
N.A.
IMG_20190816_123013095.jpg


My Attempt: For the child to be affected, both the parents must be carriers.
Hence P(child)= Probability of the father of passing down an affected allele x Probability of the mother of passing down an affected allele
= 1/2 x 1/2
=1/4
The answer is (a).
I'm completely lost. Please help.
 
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  • #2
The probability is 1/4 if both parents carry the affected allele. But what is the probability of that? You know they don't have the disorder, but each has a sibling who does. What does that tell you about the probability of their being carriers?
 
  • #3
IMG_20190816_123013095.jpg


Since the pedigree shows an autosomal recessive trait, the genotypes of the 1st generation parents are:

Untitled.png


Thus, P(child being affected) = Probability of father being heterozygote x Probability of the father passing down the mutant allele x Probability of mother being heterozygote x Probability of the mother passing down the mutant allele
= 2/3 x 1/2 x 2/3 x 1/2

Reasons (chronologically):
a) 2/3 - From a cross between I-1 and I-2 heterozygote parents, there are only three possibilities of getting a phenotypically normal individual out of which 2 can be heterozygote.
b) 1/2 - The II-2 must be a heterozygote for III-1 to be affected, and out of his two allele, only one can be mutant, that can be passed on.
c) same as a
d) same as b

Now coming to the second question, here I have a problem accepting the key.
P(both the parents being heterozygotes)= 2/3 x 2/3 =4/9.

But the answer is 2/3 only?!
 
  • #4
It must mean the probability for each parent is 2/3. It is not very clearly expressed.
 
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What is genetics?

Genetics is the study of heredity and how traits are passed down from one generation to the next. It involves understanding the structure and function of DNA, the molecules that carry genetic information, and how this information is expressed in living organisms.

How do we calculate probability in genetics?

In genetics, probability is used to determine the likelihood of a particular trait or characteristic being passed down from a parent to their offspring. This is done through Punnett squares, which are diagrams used to predict the possible combinations of genetic traits in offspring based on the genetic makeup of the parents.

What is a genotype?

A genotype is the genetic makeup of an individual, made up of the specific alleles (or versions) of genes that they possess. It determines the traits that an organism will have and can be represented by a combination of letters or symbols.

What is a phenotype?

A phenotype is the physical expression of an organism's genotype. It includes all of an organism's observable characteristics, such as physical appearance, behavior, and even some aspects of its metabolism.

Why is calculating probability in genetics important?

Calculating probability in genetics is important because it allows us to make predictions about the likelihood of certain traits or diseases being passed down from one generation to the next. This information can be used in a variety of fields, such as medicine, agriculture, and conservation, to make informed decisions and improve our understanding of how genetics influence our lives.

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