How to calculate actuarial present value

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In summary, the conversation discusses the calculation of the purchase price of a new brand of car battery with a 4-year warranty. The battery has a refund policy if it fails within 4 years and the purchase price is determined by the manufacturing cost, loading for profit, and the actuarial present value of the warranty. The force of failure and delta value are also given. The speaker is unsure how to calculate the actuarial present value and asks for help. They mention needing a few things and asks for clarification on what the limits are. They also mention that the problem sounds similar to FM/2.
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kingtaf
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I am not sure if this was the right forum. if not let me know.

An auto repair shop plans to sell a new brand of car battery with a 4-year warranty. Given:

(i) If the battery fails within 4 years, the shop will refund a pro-rata share of the purchase price at the moment of failure.
(ii) The purchase price of the battery is equal to the sum of the manufacturing cost, loading for profit, and the actuarial present value of the warranty.
(iii) The manufacturing cost of the battery is 50, and profit is equal to 10% of the manufacturing cost.
(iv) The force of failure of the battery is mu(t) = 1/(10-t), 0 <= t < 10.
(v) delta (d) = 0.05

Calculate the purchase price of the battery.

I can't figure out how to calculate the actuarial present value in this case. Help please
 
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  • #2
You need a few things for this:

1) The loss to the seller of a failure at some time t
2) A function that gives the present value of that loss (what does delta tell you about whether it is continuous or discrete?)
3) The probability of failure at any time t

Once you have all three, you'll need to integrate. What are your limits?

Which, if any, of those have you figured out?

Out of curiosity, where is this problem coming from? Sounds a bit like FM/2.
 

1. What is actuarial present value?

Actuarial present value is a financial term used to describe the value of a future stream of income or payments in today's dollars. It takes into account factors such as interest rates, inflation, and mortality rates to determine the present value of a future cash flow.

2. How is actuarial present value calculated?

The formula for actuarial present value involves using a discount rate, which is typically the assumed interest rate, and a time value of money calculation. It also takes into account factors such as the length of time the payments will be received and the risk associated with receiving those payments.

3. What factors influence actuarial present value?

As mentioned before, factors such as interest rates, inflation, and mortality rates can influence actuarial present value. In addition, economic conditions, market trends, and the risk associated with the payments can also impact the present value calculation.

4. Why is actuarial present value important?

Actuarial present value is important because it allows individuals and organizations to accurately assess the value of future cash flows. It is commonly used in insurance, pension plans, and other financial planning scenarios to determine the expected value of future payments.

5. How is actuarial present value different from regular present value?

The main difference between actuarial present value and regular present value is that actuarial present value takes into account additional factors such as mortality rates and economic conditions. Regular present value calculations typically only use the discount rate and time value of money formula.

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