Applying the annuity method - how?

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    Annuity Method
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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around the application of the annuity method in evaluating a food processing company's decision to expand its production facilities. Participants explore how to incorporate cash flows, initial costs, and desired rates of return into their analysis over a 10-year period.

Discussion Character

  • Technical explanation
  • Mathematical reasoning
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant expresses uncertainty about using the annuity method versus the present value method for the given task and seeks clarification on the appropriate formula.
  • Another participant suggests a formula involving the present value factor and cash flows, questioning whether the annuity method is simply a consideration of the time value of money.
  • A participant proposes a breakdown of the outlay and revenue portions using specific formulas for cash flows, indicating a structured approach to the problem.
  • Further, a participant emphasizes the importance of consistency in approach, stating that whether cash flows are treated as positive or negative does not affect the final conclusion, as long as the method remains consistent throughout the analysis.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the application and interpretation of the annuity method, with no consensus reached on its use or the correct approach to the problem.

Contextual Notes

Participants highlight the need for clarity regarding the treatment of cash flows and the implications of using different methods, but do not resolve the underlying assumptions or mathematical steps involved.

indigo2
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Hello,

I was given following task:

A food processing company has to make a decision whether or not to expand its production facilities. A feasibility study showed the following estimates:

Initial cost outlay €800,000
Further outlay in 4 years €600,000
Residual value after 10 years €200,000
Net returns at the end of each year for 10 years €220,000

Indicate whether the expansion should be undertaken if the desired rate of return on investment is 13%. Apply the annuity method!

I do not know how to use the annuity method to this task, I thought this would be solved with present value method, or can both be done? What is the right formula to use the annuity method here?

I am happy about any hint how to solve it! :)
 
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indigo said:
Hello,

I was given following task:

A food processing company has to make a decision whether or not to expand its production facilities. A feasibility study showed the following estimates:

Initial cost outlay €800,000
Further outlay in 4 years €600,000
Residual value after 10 years €200,000
Net returns at the end of each year for 10 years €220,000

Indicate whether the expansion should be undertaken if the desired rate of return on investment is 13%. Apply the annuity method!

I do not know how to use the annuity method to this task, I thought this would be solved with present value method, or can both be done? What is the right formula to use the annuity method here?

I am happy about any hint how to solve it! :)
Annuity Method? Does that mean something other than the consideration of the time value of money?

If v = 1 / 1.13, we have, simply:

Cost = 800000 + 600000v^4 - 200000v^10 - 220000(v + v^2 + v^3 + ... + v^10)

If you like, you can add up the last part, $220000\cdot\dfrac{v - v^{11}}{1-v}$

Seriously, just draw a time diagramme and put your cash flows on it. Is that the "Annuity Method"?

The "Annuity Method" may be a way to depreciate your initial asset, but since we are not valuing anything at any intermediate date, I'm not real clear on why we care how it depreciates. We just need to know where it ends up - which is given.
 
Outlay portion:
-800000(1.13)^10 - 600000(1.13)^6 + 200000

Revenue portion:
annual annuity of 220000: n=10, i=.13

Agree TK?
 
Wilmer said:
Outlay portion:
-800000(1.13)^10 - 600000(1.13)^6 + 200000

Revenue portion:
annual annuity of 220000: n=10, i=.13

Agree TK?

Whether you accumulate or discount, it is of no consequence. The conclusion is the same.

Whether payouts are positive or negative, and income is negative or positive, it is of no consequence. The conclusion is the same.

Just be consistent. Make up your mind what you are doing before you start writing and don't change the rules mid problem.
 

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