I agree that the following physical situations are different:
1) Nature cannot select an exact result from a continuous probability distribution.
2) Nature can select an exact result from a continuous probability distribution, but we cannot measure what nature has done exactly.
So the fact we cannot measure an exact result from an experiment doesn't tell us whether 1) or 2) is the case.
My point about the mathematical theory of probability is that it does not assert we can do such an experiment with a dart. - i.e. it does not assert that 2) is the case.