COVID COVID-19 Coronavirus Containment Efforts

AI Thread Summary
Containment efforts for the COVID-19 Coronavirus are facing significant challenges, with experts suggesting that it may no longer be feasible to prevent its global spread. The virus has a mortality rate of approximately 2-3%, which could lead to a substantial increase in deaths if it becomes as widespread as the flu. Current data indicates around 6,000 cases, with low mortality rates in areas with good healthcare. Vaccine development is underway, but it is unlikely to be ready in time for the current outbreak, highlighting the urgency of the situation. As the outbreak evolves, the healthcare system may face considerable strain, underscoring the need for continued monitoring and response efforts.
  • #701
PeterDonis said:
But that change could be individual people taking common sense precautions because they know about something they didn't before.
People in Wuhan were well aware of the situation by Jan 23. People in Italy knew about their outbreaks as soon as they were detected, but it still spread more (and is still spreading). A lack of awareness of the situation isn't the problem. Sure, there are still some people who claim all this isn't a concern, but they will do that no matter what happens.
PeterDonis said:
14 days seems like the high end of a pretty wide range of 2 - 14 days (although some outliers with longer incubation periods have been reported); the mean appears to be somewhere between 3 and 6 days.
Wuhan kept adding restrictions as far as I know. They made it look like a ghost town. I don't have a detailed timeline, however.
 
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  • #702
PeterDonis said:
It does not happen without some kind of change in the circumstances. But that change could be individual people taking common sense precautions because they know about something they didn't before. I don't think we know how much of the change was due to that vs. the top-down government interventions.

To be clear, I'm not saying the government should do nothing. Since we the people have given the government a number of jobs, including disseminating accurate information, coordinating testing and procuring test kits, analyzing samples, giving good advice to people on what precautions they should take, analyzing all of the available data and trying to make predictions, giving good advice to localities on what actions they should take, etc., obviously the government needs to do those jobs, and we should hold the government accountable for how well it does them.

Well, there were 23 passengers that were let off the Diamond Princess without testing. Why didn't those passengers apply common sense and refuse to leave until they had been tested?
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/02/22/national/coronavirus-chiba-kumamoto/#.XmXNkkpS-Uk
 
  • #703
Risk Assessment of Novel Coronavirus COVID-19 Outbreaks Outside China
Published paper: https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/9/2/571/pdf

[abstract]
Abstract: We developed a computational tool to assess the risks of novel Coronavirus outbreaks
outside of China. We estimate the dependence of the risk of a major outbreak in a country from
imported cases on key parameters such as: (i) the evolution of the cumulative number of cases
in mainland China outside the closed areas; (ii) the connectivity of the destination country with
China, including baseline travel frequencies, the effect of travel restrictions, and the efficacy of
entry screening at destination; and (iii) the efficacy of control measures in the destination country
(expressed by the local reproduction number ##R_loc##). We found that in countries with low connectivity
to China but with relatively high ##R_loc##, the most beneficial control measure to reduce the risk of
outbreaks is a further reduction in their importation number either by entry screening or travel
restrictions. Countries with high connectivity but low ##R_loc## benefit the most from policies that further
reduce ##R_loc##. Countries in the middle should consider a combination of such policies. Risk assessments
were illustrated for selected groups of countries from America, Asia, and Europe. We investigated
how their risks depend on those parameters, and how the risk is increasing in time as the number of
cases in China is growing.
 
  • #704
Jarvis323 said:
when the scientific research suggests 40 to 70% of the population is likely to get the virus
What I have heard is that there is a potential that 40 to 70% of the population could get infected by the virus. And that controlling the spread is up to us and our societies.

Here's what I am going to do after reading the WHO advice and some suggestions in this thread:

* Wash hands more often and thoroughly. I'm also going to buy some alcoholbased washing solution.
* Avoid touching face with hands and practice respiratory hygiene
* Maintain social distancing and avoid large crowds.
* Buy some more (a little stock) of the things I personally need (food, medications etc) so I don't have to go to stores as many times as usual
* Keep being informed and updated on the development of the virus and containment efforts.

Here in Sweden we have about 200 verified infections, and some schools where there have been infected cases are now temporarily closed.

I'm also thinking of getting a flu shot when I can, because I quite easily get colds and flulike symptoms during the winters.

Edit: Also, I'd like to add that the main symptoms to look out for according to WHO are fever, cough and difficulty breathing.
 
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  • #705
PeterDonis said:
It does not happen without some kind of change in the circumstances. But that change could be individual people taking common sense precautions because they know about something they didn't before. I don't think we know how much of the change was due to that vs. the top-down government interventions.

To be clear, I'm not saying the government should do nothing. Since we the people have given the government a number of jobs, including disseminating accurate information, coordinating testing and procuring test kits, analyzing samples, giving good advice to people on what precautions they should take, analyzing all of the available data and trying to make predictions, giving good advice to localities on what actions they should take, etc., obviously the government needs to do those jobs, and we should hold the government accountable for how well it does them.

Or to give another example: Why did this Chinese couple give false information about their whereabouts, hindering tracing of close contacts for monitoring and quarantining if necessary?
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/new...uple-charged-infectious-diseases-act-12480170
 
  • #706
Is it safe to use the pool in condominium, hotels, resorts? Since it can be transmitted thru respiratory droplets?
 
  • #707
PeterDonis said:
14 days seems like the high end of a pretty wide range of 2 - 14 days (although some outliers with longer incubation periods have been reported); the mean appears to be somewhere between 3 and 6 days.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-incubation-period/

I am sorry I made a mistake. In China, people usually say the incubation period is 14 days, which is not precise.

The paper is here: http://jtd.amegroups.com/article/view/36385

I did not read it. I only read a report introducing it in Chinese.
 
  • #708
DennisN said:
I'm also thinking of getting a flu shot when I can, because I quite easily get colds and flulike symtoms during the winters.
That’s a good idea. If you do catch this thing it will help your doctor rule out seasonal flu and may help you get COVID-19 test earlier. Might help your close contacts not catch it from you.
 
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  • #709
jedishrfu said:
Another recent article from propublica on the virus from a reporter who lived through SARS and reported on Ebola

Very nice.

Thanks
Bill
 
  • #710
PeterDonis said:
It does not happen without some kind of change in the circumstances. But that change could be individual people taking common sense precautions because they know about something they didn't before. I don't think we know how much of the change was due to that vs. the top-down government interventions.

To be clear, I'm not saying the government should do nothing. Since we the people have given the government a number of jobs, including disseminating accurate information, coordinating testing and procuring test kits, analyzing samples, giving good advice to people on what precautions they should take, analyzing all of the available data and trying to make predictions, giving good advice to localities on what actions they should take, etc., obviously the government needs to do those jobs, and we should hold the government accountable for how well it does them.

Here's another story for you:
https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/e...secretive-church-at-heart-of-spike-in-s-korea
"Angry netizens, however, are calling her "crazy ajumma" (auntie in Korean) for the way she refused twice to test for the Coronavirus despite developing symptoms such as a sore throat and fever, then attending church twice despite her condition worsening, and how she roamed freely even though she was warded for 10 days in a hospital after a car accident.
The woman also left the hospital to have lunch with friends at a buffet restaurant and spent time at a jimjilbang (Korea spa with large resting areas) in the neighbouring city of Cheongdo, where infections linked to a hospital are multiplying.
She even argued with a health official for an hour before finally agreeing to take the Coronavirus test, according to local reports."

So you the people, need to give the government more jobs, including quarantining the sick and close contacts who have a high chance of developing the disease. This includes cancelling events such as SXSW that may lead to quick spread of the disease. As @Haorong Wu said above, it is a good idea if there are enough facilities to quarantine people away from their families, so that their families don't get the disease. Even if people want to do this, they won't have the facilities. And also, it would be good if the government provided care for COVID-1`9 patients free of charge.
 
  • #711
Deeply concerned with the 1,100 crew of the cruise ship which has now been allowed to dock in a port at Oakland...

Only the Americans will be allowed to leave the cruise ship... quarantined in several military bases and those who tested positive to be confined in hospitals...

Foreigners will also be allowed to leave but will ostensibly be flown out in charter flights to their home countries...

And what about the 1,100 crew of the ship?

They are instructed to STAY ON BOARD the ship!

Deeply concerning that the crew will suffer the same consequences of increased contamination when another cruise ship in Japan was kept ashore for 28 days...
 
  • #712
kadiot said:
And what about the 1,100 crew of the ship?
Well, that's a real concern, especially since the crew quarters are anything but OK for a quarantine...
 
  • #713
Rive said:
Well, that's a real concern, especially since the crew quarters are anything but OK for a quarantine...
Will the US Immigration’s fears of JUMPING SHIP by the crew trump health concerns?
 
  • #714
Overnight. Our cases in the Philippines jump from 5 to 20.

Community transmission is not far behind because many can't be traced to one another. One doesn't even have a passport

I have 3 questions that I'd like to have clear answers now.

1. During a lockdown. Two or three city blocks are quarantined with police checkpoints? What is your experience? How do the people there go to market or grocery if they ran out of stock in that area?

2. It started in a market in Wuhan, and there are now over 100,000 victims from that initial sprout. How does it differ if it started in a market in India, or London, or Seoul? Would it also sprout into 100,000 or more (or even 10,000)?

3. Is Wuhan near the most advanced biotech laboratory in China? It makes me wonder. If you have a computer virus that develops near Silicon Valley that affects worldwide. You won't think it just started in a computer of someone but from expert sources.

Wuhan is near the most advanced laboratory. In fact, it was even mentioned in a Novel. This shows Wuhan has some significance. The following excerpt is just to show there is something to Wuhan, and its not just a normal city but something with biotechnology high techness to it:

Written by Dean Koontz, “The Eyes of Darkness” is a story about a mother who discovers her son Danny is being kept in a military facility after being infected with a man-made microorganism called “Wuhan-400”.

Chapter 39 reads: “To understand it, you have to go back 20 months.

“It was around then that a Chinese scientist named Li Chen defected to the US, carrying a diskette record of China’s most important and dangerous new biological weapon in a decade.

“They call the stuff ‘Wuhan-400’ because it was developed at their RDNA labs outside the city of Wuhan and it was the 400th viable strain of man-made microorganisms created at that research centre."
"
 
  • #715
DennisN said:
Here's what I am going to do after reading the WHO advice and some suggestions in this thread
I'm just back from the pharmacy where I got different medication I need and also a disinfectant (hand sanitizer). The public awareness in my neighborhood is clearly visible here: generally less people are outside and less people are visiting stores, and people seem to be more generally aware and careful. The cashier at the hardware store (which usually has many visitors) was wearing gloves, and there was a bottle with disinfectant available for free for pharmacy customers who wanted to clean their hands. Now I'm off to buy some food for me and my cat.
 
  • #716
chirhone said:
1. During a lockdown. Two or three city blocks are quarantined with police checkpoints? What is your experience? How do the people there go to market or grocery if they ran out of stock in that area?

There is no need for police to guard those blocks. Almost everyone is aware the situation. There are only several volunteers guarding at gates. In Wuhan, people are not allowed to go out. Instead, volunteers deliver food and daily supplies to every family. People just have to submit their needs on mobilephones.

chirhone said:
2. It started in a market in Wuhan, and there are now over 100,000 victims from that initial sprout. How does it differ if it started in a market in India, or London, or Seoul? Would it also sprout into 100,000 or more (or even 10,000)?

It seems there is evidence that the virus is brought to the market from other places. The origin may not be trackable. However, the market, with high population density, bad ventilation and high moisture, did provide a perfect environment for the virus to spread.

chirhone said:
3. Is Wuhan near the most advanced biotech laboratory in China? It makes me wonder. If you have a computer virus that develops near Silicon Valley that affects worldwide. You won't think it just started in a computer of someone but from expert sources.

I am not sure what you are referring here. If you mean that the virus may be designed by someone, it would seems impossible. I remember there are some paper saying the virus are naturally produced.
 
  • #717
chirhone said:
Overnight. Our cases in the Philippines jump from 5 to 20.
The spread is being detected now, that means it began, unseen, weeks ago.
 
  • #718
chirhone said:
2. It started in a market in Wuhan, and there are now over 100,000 victims from that initial sprout. How does it differ if it started in a market in India, or London, or Seoul? Would it also sprout into 100,000 or more (or even 10,000)?
Wouldn't make a difference if it can't be contained quickly. Every city that is well-connected has the risk of a fast spread. A disease in some remote place in western China might have been easier to contain.
chirhone said:
3. Is Wuhan near the most advanced biotech laboratory in China? It makes me wonder. If you have a computer virus that develops near Silicon Valley that affects worldwide. You won't think it just started in a computer of someone but from expert sources.
It's a biological virus, it's a completely different situation to a computer virus (which is always written by a human).
Oh, and don't start with conspiracy theories please, especially not if they are based on misinformation. Here is Reuters actually looking at the book. It has a virus called Wuhan-400 (in the most recent version, earlier it was a Russian virus), but the city is all it has in common with this new virus.
 
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  • #719
mfb said:
...but the city is all it has in common with this new virus.
Yes, we can contain the spread of the virus of misinformation and fear (a.k.a. news virus) by holding that smartphone and forwarding a part of us that we really should just keep to ourselves!
 
  • #720
kadiot said:
Yes, we can contain the spread of the virus of misinformation and fear (a.k.a. news virus) by holding that smartphone and forwarding a part of us that we really should just keep to ourselves!

An even better way is for you to stop spreading nutty conspiracy theories.
 
  • #721
Vanadium 50 said:
An even better way is for you to stop spreading nutty conspiracy theories.
Did i?
 
  • #722
kadiot said:
And what about the 1,100 crew of the ship?

They are instructed to STAY ON BOARD the ship!

And what would you have them do instead? Imprison them in the US?
 
  • #723
Vanadium 50 said:
And what would you have them do instead? Imprison them in the US?
Have they not heard of the spread of Covid 19 in that cruise ship in Yokohama which was not allowed to dock for 28 days?
Are immigration fears going to trump health concerns of the crew, many of whom are Filipinos?
Is the health concern of crew members of this cruise ship of lower premium than those of the Americans?
 
  • #724
I notice that you did not answer my question. Telling.
 
  • #725
Vanadium 50 said:
And what would you have them do instead? Imprison them in the US?
Give them the option to live in whatever place the US can arrange, even if they cannot leave that place? Better than staying on the ship for sure.
 
  • #726
That's at least an answer. What happens if they change their minds?
 
  • #727
Vanadium 50 said:
I notice that you did not answer my question. Telling.
No need. Our Department of Foreign Affairs already know the number of Filipino crews and are preparing their repatriation. Thank you.
 
  • #728
chemisttree said:
When I see medical experts saying things like we have a strategic reserve of masks and other PPE for use by healthcare providers in one breath and then say those same masks are useless for the general public, I can spot the lie easily.

All I can do is again reefer to Professor Nigel McMillan who also teachers this stuff - see from 8 minutes on:
https://www.2hd.com.au/2020/02/25/b...el-mcmillan-on-the-spread-of-the-coronavirus/

chemisttree said:
I am no layman.

Neither is he.

If you think this is some kind of 'con' then as one comment intimated - he was skeptical, as am I.

Thanks
Bill
 
  • #729
Haorong Wu said:
There is no need for police to guard those blocks. Almost everyone is aware the situation. There are only several volunteers guarding at gates. In Wuhan, people are not allowed to go out. Instead, volunteers deliver food and daily supplies to every family. People just have to submit their needs on mobilephones.

Good. I thought police would man some checkpoint. In our country. The police are most feared because many are masterminds of the criminal organizations (reference Nation Police Chief is Crime Head too https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/amp/world-asia-50120723 are you sure no police is involved in lockdown anywhere? )
It seems there is evidence that the virus is brought to the market from other places. The origin may not be trackable. However, the market, with high population density, bad ventilation and high moisture, did provide a perfect environment for the virus to spread.
I am not sure what you are referring here. If you mean that the virus may be designed by someone, it would seems impossible. I remember there are some paper saying the virus are naturally produced.

I thought there was a real high tech biolab near Wuhan. I read cnn the scientists swore they didnt create it. Can someone give the reference to clear this up (about china's most advanced lab near Wuhan)?

(Edit: Pls confirm or disconfirm this. One of china most advanced labs is near Wuhan right? https://www.thestar.com.my/news/reg...fringe-theory-linking-coronavirus-to-lab-leak
 
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  • #730
chirhone said:
Good. I thought police would man some checkpoint. In our country. The police are most feared because many are masterminds of the criminal organizations (reference Nation Police Chief is Crime Head too https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/amp/world-asia-50120723 are you sure no police is involved in lockdown anywhere? )

I am not in Wuhan, but my friend there told me there is no need for police at the gates unless necessary.

Police play in another role. There are district police who are responsible to checking everyone in his or her area is healthy. Also police are drivers, nurses or repairers. I mean, if you are tripped, you can ask police to help you get home; if you feel not well, you can not go to hopital by yourself under lockdown, but you can ask police to drive you there.

Besides, police are highly respected in China. If we run into troubles, we would seek help from police at the first time. I am sorry I could not imagine police are feard by their own people.

There is a P4 lab in Wuhan. This is the reason why we are optimistic at the early period because we believed that with such a high level lab, the virus can be under control. But it turned out to be wrong.
 
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  • #731
Haorong Wu said:
I am not in Wuhan, but my friend there told me there is no need for police at the gates unless necessary.

Police play in another role. There are district police who are responsible to checking everyone in his or her area is healthy. Also police are drivers, nurses or repairers. I mean, if you are tripped, you can ask police to help you get home; if you feel not well, you can not go to hopital by yourself under lockdown, but you can ask police to drive you there.

Besides, police are highly respected in China. If we run into troubles, we would seek help from police at the first time. I am sorry I could not imagine police are feard by their own people.

There is a P4 lab in Wuhan. This is the reason why we are optimistic at the early period because we believed that with such a high level lab, the virus can be under control. But it turned out to be wrong.

How many P4 labs in china? What areas have them? What is the most advanced one? P4 stands for level 4 (P?)
 
  • #732
chirhone said:
How many P4 labs in china? What areas have them? What is the most advanced one? P4 stands for level 4 (P?)
Google is your friend. Start by spending 15 seconds there. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biosafety_level
 
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  • #733
Haorong Wu said:
I am not sure what you are referring here. If you mean that the virus may be designed by someone, it would seems impossible. I remember there are some paper saying the virus are naturally produced.

It is not yet clear how this particular Coronavirus was produced, but it seems closely related to coronaviruses found in bats and pangolins.
https://nextstrain.org/groups/blab/sars-like-cov?c=host
 
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  • #734
Two recent articles from Reuters, one regarding measures in Europe and one regarding world markets:

(Italy currently has the second-highest death toll after China and are taking a number of various measures which are described in the article)
Article said:
Italy’s prime minister promised “massive shock therapy” to beat the Coronavirus on Monday and urged Europe to act decisively after markets plunged and his country sealed off much of its wealthy industrial north.
...
France echoed Giuseppe Conte’s call for action, saying Europe must come up with a “strong, massive and coordinated response” and euro zone finance ministers, meeting next week, must decide on a stimulus plan to avoid economic crisis.
...
“We will not stop here,” Conte told the daily La Repubblica. “We will use a massive shock therapy. To come out of this emergency we will use all human and economic resources.”

And markets are taking hits:
 
  • #735
chemisttree said:
That’s a good idea. If you do catch this thing it will help your doctor rule out seasonal flu and may help you get COVID-19 test earlier. Might help your close contacts not catch it from you.

Here is Aus the flu season is a couple of months away, but to help free resources to fight coronovirus CSR that manufactures the vaccine is strengthening it. I know I will get a call from my doctor to come in and get the shot as soon as its released - but likely I will ring up and make an appointment before.

Thanks
Bill
 
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  • #736
atyy said:
It is not yet clear how this particular Coronavirus was produced, but it seems closely related to coronaviruses found in bats and pangolins.
https://nextstrain.org/groups/blab/sars-like-cov?c=host
I don’t know how to interpret the phylogeny map perhaps but it seems to me that the virus is most closely related to bat and civet strains rather than the pangolin. The pangolin strain is off on its own branch?

How does a pangolin catch something from a bat?
 
  • #737
chemisttree said:
I don’t know how to interpret the phylogeny map perhaps but it seems to me that the virus is most closely related to bat and civet strains rather than the pangolin. The pangolin strain is off on its own branch?

How does a pangolin catch something from a bat?

From what I've read, the most likely scenario is that the Coronavirus strain jumped the species barrier from (possibly) bats or civets to a pangolin, and then to people through a common location where these animals and people congregate. Namely the outdoor markets in Wuhan, where live animals are bought and sold for food (as is common throughout China and many parts of South and Southeast Asia).

From what I understand, these live animal markets are also quite common in parts of Africa as well.
 
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  • #738
StatGuy2000 said:
From what I've read, the most likely scenario is that the Coronavirus strain jumped the species barrier from (possibly) bats or civets to a pangolin, and then to people through a common location where these animals and people congregate.
That's what I've read too.
 
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  • #739
chemisttree said:
I don’t know how to interpret the phylogeny map perhaps but it seems to me that the virus is most closely related to bat and civet strains rather than the pangolin. The pangolin strain is off on its own branch?
I think the branching you see is assumption on the choice of root, but these guys should know what they are doing so it should be good. Nonetheless, they have produced an unrooted diagram also.
https://nextstrain.org/groups/blab/sars-like-cov?c=host&l=unrooted
 
  • #740
StatGuy2000 said:
From what I've read, the most likely scenario is that the Coronavirus strain jumped the species barrier from (possibly) bats or civets to a pangolin, and then to people through a common location where these animals and people congregate.
Interesting if true. But it is now reported that the pangolin strain is at best only 92% similar to the virus found in humans. Only that portion of the genome responsible for coding the pangolin spike binding protein was reported as 99% similar. The bat strain was something like 96% similar.

Perhaps someone will do a study to determine how easily a bat Coronavirus infects pangolins? The bat version is reported to not be easily transferred to humans.
 
  • #744
I wish I hadn’t read that...
 
  • #745
About the total lockdown in Italy. I read "Italy's 60-million people will only be able to travel for work, medical reasons or emergencies until April 3. All schools and universities, which were closed nationwide last week until March 15, will now not reopen before next month.".

What happens if you want to transfer from one house to another 10 blocks away? For example. You got separated from your loved ones before the lockdown. Would it be allowed or you would be jailed? Days ago I was imagining lockdown like martial law.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-cases-why-more-men-than-women-2020-2?amp

Here I read most affected are males. Is there any summary where it can be listed the exact number of male, female, adult and children victims? Is it possible women and children *mainly* are spared. Maybe COVID-19 has man hatter issue?

Is there a virus that can be made to home in on only high levels of testosterone? What other chemicals that only exist in men and not women and children? (for the women affected by COVID-19. Is there by chance they have higher level of testosterone?)
 
  • #746
Genetic analyses currently point to the virus perhaps being the result of recombination between bat and pangolin coronaviruses. However, these analyses are preliminary and have not yet been published in peer reviewed journals. More work will be needed in the future to determine the exact origins of the virus, but these studies make a good case that pangolins were involved as an intermediatry species:
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.07.939207v1
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.17.951335v1
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.13.945485v1
 
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  • #747
chirhone said:
Here I read most affected are males. Is there any summary where it can be listed the exact number of male, female, adult and children victims? Is it possible women and children *mainly* are spared. Maybe COVID-19 has man hatter issue?

Is there a virus that can be made to home in on only high levels of testosterone? What other chemicals that only exist in men and not women and children? (for the women affected by COVID-19. Is there by chance they have higher level of testosterone?)

Here is an article summarizing some of the characteristics of those infected in China: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130. While women have slightly lower mortality, they are by no means spared. Children however, do seem to exhibit very low mortality for unknown reasons (for a discussion of the issue in the popular press see )

Here's an article which discusses some of the potential reasons why the virus shows higher mortality in men, including a higher prevalence of smoking in men and differences in immune responses between the sexes: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/20/health/coronavirus-men-women.html
 
  • #748
Ygggdrasil said:
Here is an article summarizing some of the characteristics of those infected in China: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130. While women have slightly lower mortality, they are by no means spared. Children however, do seem to exhibit very low mortality for unknown reasons (for a discussion of the issue in the popular press see )

Here's an article which discusses some of the potential reasons why the virus shows higher mortality in men, including a higher prevalence of smoking in men and differences in immune responses between the sexes: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/20/health/coronavirus-men-women.html


The reason is that the whole country's medical resource, such as tens of thousands of doctors and nurses, are thrown into the black hole in Wuhan to supress the mortality.
 
  • #749
Here is a comparison between Italy and Germany. If Germany do follow Italy, things would get really bad.

-7Q5-o9uK2eT1kSba-8w.jpg


:(
 
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  • #750
Coronavirus-Stricken Grand Princess Arrives At Port Of Oakland; Passenger Says ‘It Looks Like A War Zone’

March 9, 2020 at 11:19 am

OAKLAND (CBS SF) — The coronavirus-stricken Grand Princess made its way under the famed Golden Gate Bridge Monday, heading toward the Port of Oakland where the more than 2,000 passengers will disembark under heavy military security, undergo medical examinations and then be transported to 14-day quarantine sites at four bases across the country.

passengers wearing masks waved from the ship’s pool area to the helicopters hovering overhead as the Grand Princess neared the bridge, relieved their ill-fated journey was about to come to an end.

WATCH LIVE CONTINUING COVERAGE ON CBSN BAY Area: Grand Princess Arrives In Oakland; Passengers talk about ordeal aboard boat

“It’s been a nightmare the last few days,” Eddie Castellano, a passenger onboard from Miami, told KPIX 5 in the telephone interview. “But today, I’m feeling great. I’m feeling hopeful that we finally after all these days I’m going to be able to get off this ship.”

Looking out his window, Castellano said the dockside was filled with military personnel and ambulances.

“I see some military outside the ship right now,” he said. “I see a lot of military. I see a lot of ambulances… It looks like a war zone. I’m terrified. I’m not going to lie to you. I’ve never been through something like this in my life before…I’m worried about the 3,000 people on this boat and their health.”

Maureen James from San Mateo is also a passenger on the ship with her husband. She said the cheers of a crowd on the Golden Gate Bridge as the ship passed underneath made her feel like she’s finally returned home.

“One of the amazing things to me today was when we sailed under the Golden Gate Bridge and the 100-plus people that were on the bridge cheering us on,” she said.

Then the dock workers and truck drivers at the massive Port of Oakland facility also gave the passengers a boisterous welcome.

“The people at the Oakland pier here, honking their horns and cheering us on,” she said. “You know it’s just a warm feeling — there are a few people out there that think why in my backyard. It is what it is. We went on a cruise, something unfortunate happened. They have to get us all off in a safe manner and get us tested to make sure we are okay.”

[ . . . ]

https://sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com/2...s-golden-gate-bridge-sick-passengers-oakland/

Please read the entire article.:smile:
 

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