Thanks for responses, e.bar.goun, Chronos, marcus
Just to clarify, I mainly wanted to know if I'd won my bet re. LUX. I made one other bet with Dr. Guralnik, that the Higgs boson wouldn't be found by LHC! Of course I lost. As you probably know he was one of the people, as well as Peter Higgs, who helped work out the Higgs symmetry-breaking mechanism back in 1964, and deserved the Nobel as much as anyone. So it's great that he lived long enough to see the July 4, 2012 announcement.
marcus, Emily Shields thesis is great for getting up to speed on DM detection, very readable and covers all the bases. Having looked at it all of a sudden I'm much more interested in the whole question.
I'm afraid the DAMA work is not too convincing yet, but let's hope SABRE backs it up. DAMA is obviously very difficult and subject to uncertainties, and of course I know little about it (just this thesis). But one thing I can say, Dr. Guralnik worked on LUX, and it seems to conflict with DAMA. Just as a general rule, if his work disagrees with anyone at all - I'll put my money on him. (If he told me God made a mistake, I'd believe him.)
Can't help making a comment ... The thesis contains 10 pages (!) of acknowledgments, including this: "I thank you. Words cannot express how much you mean to me, but fortunately I think you already know. I love you, and I can’t wait to meet our next adventure together." - to Jason. I shudder to think what would have happened, back in the day, if I'd included 10 pages of such acknowledgments. The world has changed.
The following is not Ms. Shield's statistic, but some other worker's; she's just summarizing results:
"The Planck results are the most statistically significant evidentiary results for non-baryonic dark matter to-date, constituting a 42σ result for the existence of cold dark matter."
42 sigma is meaningless statistically, and surely is due to the 6-parameter model used for fitting a pretty simple power curve - you can fit almost anything with 6 fudge factors. Anything over 6-8 sigma or thereabouts shouldn't even be mentioned. It's like having a result with 4 significant digits, say 1.000, dividing it by 3, and reporting your answer as .333333...recurring for 42 digits.
As I said, excellent, comprehensive survey, thanks for pointing it out; I'm just addicted to picking nits.