Do we have a good estimate for the damage the Yellowstone....

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    Damage Estimate
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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the potential damage and effects of a supervolcanic eruption at Yellowstone, including ash distribution patterns, immediate impacts on the surrounding areas, and broader implications for the economy and environment. Participants explore various models and hypotheses related to the eruption's consequences, touching on both theoretical and speculative aspects.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants suggest that ash from a Yellowstone eruption could reach the East Coast, but the thickness of the ash is debated, with some claiming it would be inches rather than feet.
  • There are concerns about the health impacts of inhaling ash, including long-term respiratory issues.
  • One participant mentions speculation about NASA's potential plans to cool the volcano by pumping water into it, raising questions about the risks of weakening the crust.
  • Another participant argues that such a method could exacerbate the eruption risk due to explosive interactions between water and magma.
  • Concerns are raised about the broader economic impacts of an eruption, including food supply disruptions and transportation issues due to ash fallout.
  • One participant recalls a source claiming the damage could be equivalent to 10,000 Hiroshima bombs, but expresses skepticism about the accuracy of this figure.
  • There are discussions about the potential for widespread respiratory problems and the impact on agriculture and infrastructure across large regions of the U.S. and beyond.
  • Speculation exists regarding the relationship between a super eruption and seismic activity, such as the San Andreas Fault.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express multiple competing views regarding the extent and nature of the damage from a Yellowstone eruption, with no consensus reached on specific claims or models. The discussion remains unresolved with various hypotheses and concerns presented.

Contextual Notes

Some claims rely on speculative sources or anecdotal evidence, and there are unresolved assumptions regarding the mechanisms of volcanic eruptions and their impacts. The discussion includes references to various articles and studies, but not all claims are substantiated with direct citations.

Who May Find This Useful

This discussion may be of interest to those studying geology, environmental science, disaster preparedness, and public health, as well as individuals curious about the implications of volcanic activity.

  • #31
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  • #32
As this thread has become an argue about secondary topics, which are obviously off topic, there are only two possibilities left: clean up this mess - speculations and accusations - or keep it closed. As there is seemingly no way back to a world of facts, the thread will remain closed. To all who are interested, I recommend

https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/yellowstone/hazard_summary.html

as a starting point of research. I assume there are even studies about the implications of past eruptions publicly available, which are most likely more reliable, than any speculations about future ones.
 
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