twofish-quant said:
It's a heuristic and a good one. Mainstream theories don't come from nowhere, and there is a vast amount of evidence that people have gone through to get to current theories. If you have something that people find extremely unexpected based on what has previously been known, you need to go through more trouble to demonstrate what is known is wrong.
I disagree - IMO it is subjective and vague. It paves the way for unwarranted hand-waving and
pseudo-scepticism. The existence of double standards is worrisome; it hinders the self-correction
process that is unique to the scientific method.
twofish-quant said:
Something about science is that getting from raw data to a statement about the universe is something that is quite difficult and error-prone. There are lots of weird things to track down, and if you are claiming something weird, then it's *YOUR* job to convince me.
Science does not progress by convincing opponents, that is the method of politics and religion.
To use the criterion that something is "weird" is extremely subjective; since it mostly represents
theoretical prejudice. I can think of claims that you would consider as normal, but I would
consider as weird, and vice versa.
twofish-quant said:
And that can be done. The claim that the universe is accelerating is as extraordinary as the claim that the fine structure constant is changing, and personally I think that the original paper that made this claim is required reading for how to make a solid scientific argument for a very weird result.
IMO, a changing fine structure constant is much more extraordinary since it falsifies GR. See below.
twofish-quant said:
No it's not. I can point to the hundreds of theoretical papers on the Los Alamos Preprint server that trying to figure out what's going on. An accelerating universe causes a lot of theoretical problems that people are trying to grapple with. At the *very least* you have to add in "dark energy" and it's possible that this won't work.
I repeat my claim that it is easy to model accelerating universes within the mainstream framework.
Just introduce a suitably chosen cosmological constant, and you are done! Or change the EOS
to something more exotic ("dark energy"), or even introduce some time dependence ("evolution") of
the exotic fields, etc. The mainstream framework is flexible and the possibilities for parameter
fitting are many; i.e., there are rich opportunities for publishing papers.
Of course these models imply philosophical problems of the sort you mention below, but that is
irrelevant. The fact remains that modelling accelerating universes is very easy within the standard
framework.
twofish-quant said:
One basic theoretical problem with an accelerating universe is that it makes the period of time we are in "special".
If the universe was at critical density, then the parameters of the universe would stay pretty constant over time, so if you picked a random time in the universe, you'll end up with the same numbers. Once you put in an accelerating universe, then it seems weird because then you have to fine tune everything to get the universe that we do see.
The most serious objection to accelerating universes as modeled within the mainstream framework,
is, IMO, the arbitrariness of the models. There are just too many possibilities, and no hint of how to
select one over any other on theoretical grounds. This is really a variant of the well-known
cosmological constant problem.
twofish-quant said:
1) No it doesn't since gravity doesn't enter into the fine structure constant, and
The EEP describes how the local non-gravitational physics should behave in an external gravitational
field. Moreover, the EEP consists of 3 separate parts; (i) the Weak Equivalence Principle (WEP) (the
uniqueness of free fall), (ii) Local Lorentz Invariance (LLI), and finally (iii) Local Position Invariance
(LPI). LPI says that any given local non-gravitational test experiment should yield the same
result irrespective of where or when it is performed; i.e., the local non-gravitational physics should not
vary in space-time. A class of gravitational theories called "metric theories of gravity" obeys the EEP.
Since GR is a metric theory, any measured violation of the EEP would falsify GR. That would be
serious. A varying fine structure constant represents a violation of the EEP, so this would falsify GR.
But all this is standard textbook stuff. I find it incredible that someone who claims to have a PhD
in astrophysics is ignorant of it, and even more so considering the tone of your (non)answer.
twofish-quant said:
2) I don't have any problem with EEP being wrong. So EEP is wrong, big deal. So is Euclidean geometry, parity, and the time-invariant coprenican principle. If someone came up with a theory that said that EEP was totally wrong, I wouldn't hold that against it strongly.
If the EEP is wrong, it really is a big deal. Until someone comes up with a new, viable non-metric
theory, this means that we do not have a viable gravitational theory any more. This is serious since
it means that crucial theoretical assumptions made when analyzing astrophysical data are potentially
wrong or inconsistent; and it would not be clear which assumptions should be changed and how.
Furthermore, just working in weak fields would not help either; there is absolutely no guarantee that a
naive weak-field approximation of GR plus a varying fine structure constant would be consistent or
represent the weak-field approximation of some viable non-metric theory.
twofish-quant said:
Let me just say that when I first heard of someone claiming that the expansion of the universe was
accelerating, I was sure that it was just another crackpot group writing some silly paper, and I could think of a dozen places where they could have made a mistake.
However, the paper itself addressed all of the points that I could think of.
Sure, except for one; the assumption that SN 1a are standard candles over cosmological distances.
That assumption follows from the assumption that LPI holds for gravitational systems (a piece of the
Strong Equivalence Principle (SEP)). This is a purely theoretical assumption - and if it fails the whole
paper falls apart since it opens up the possibility of a unmodelled luminosity evolution over
cosmological distances.
twofish-quant said:
Part of the reason that think the system works, is that I've seen enough crazy and ridiculous ideas
become part of the party line, that I don't think that the standards of evidence that people require is
bad for astrophysics.
Of course I do not advocate a lowering of standards of evidence in astrophysics - quite the
opposite. It is the unjustified existence of double standards that bothers me.