How Do You Calculate the Intersection Probability for Mutually Exclusive Events?

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on calculating intersection probabilities for mutually exclusive events, specifically events A, B, and C with probabilities P(A) = P(B) = P(C) = 0.2. Given that A and C, as well as B and C, are mutually exclusive, the union probability P(A ∪ B ∪ C) is established at 0.5, leading to the conclusion that P(A ∩ B) equals 0.1. Additionally, the discussion includes a probability problem regarding a bus arriving randomly between 1:00 PM and 1:30 PM, with the calculated probabilities for waiting times being 1/30 for exactly 15 minutes and 5/30 for between 15 and 20 minutes.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of probability theory, specifically mutually exclusive events
  • Familiarity with basic probability equations and notations
  • Knowledge of union and intersection of events in probability
  • Ability to solve real-world probability problems
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the concept of mutually exclusive events in depth
  • Learn about the addition rule of probability for non-mutually exclusive events
  • Explore real-world applications of probability, such as waiting time problems
  • Practice calculating probabilities using different scenarios and distributions
USEFUL FOR

Students studying probability theory, educators teaching statistics, and professionals in fields requiring probabilistic analysis, such as data science and operations research.

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Homework Statement


Consider events A, B, and C such that P (A) = P (B) = P (C) = 0.2, A and C are mutually exclusive, B and C are mutually exclusive, and P (A ∪ B ∪ C) = 0.5. Give the value of P (A ∩ B), providing justification for your answer.


Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution


If A & C and B & C are mutually exclusive, and if P(A U B U C) = 0.5, then P(A U B) = 0.3. And if P(A) = P(B) = 0.2, then P(A ∩ B) = 0.1.
 
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0.1 is correct!
 
What about this one:

A bus arrives at a station every day at a random time between 1:00 PM and 1:30 PM.

a) What is the probability that the person has to wait exactly 15 minutes for the bus?

b) What is the probability that the person has to wait between 15 and 20 minutes for the bus?

a) 1/30

b) 5/30 -- I'm not really sure if this one is right
 

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