Mk
- 2,039
- 4
Isostatic?
Mk said:Isostatic?
Andre said:Make that 720 meter or about 2200 feet.
David Alt, a geology professor emeritus at the University of Montana in Missoula, (who) is author of Glacial Lake Missoula and Its Humongous Floods (Mountain Press Publishing Co., 2001)(.T)his article was excerpted with kind permission of the author and the publisher. He has studied Glacial Lake Missoula and its floods since the 1960s.
A research team led by Prof .LI Xin from the Cold & Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute under CAS recently appealed to the authorities to set up an early warning system for the possible floods due to glacial lake outburst in China's alpine hinterland
Peril in Peru? NASA Takes a Look at Menacing Glacier
April 15, 2003
An Earth-monitoring instrument aboard NASA's Terra satellite is keeping a close eye on a potential glacial disaster-in-the-making in Peru's spectacular, snow-capped Cordillera Blanca (White Mountains), the highest range of the Peruvian Andes.
Data from NASA's Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (Aster) is assisting Peruvian government officials and geologists in monitoring a glacier that feeds Lake Palcacocha, located high above the city of Huaraz, 270 kilometers (168 miles) north of Lima. An ominous crack has developed in the glacier. Should the large glacier chunk break off and fall into the lake, the ensuing flood could hurtle down the Cojup Valley into the Rio Santa Valley below, reaching Huaraz and its population of 60,000 in less than 15 minutes.
A correspondent on a space exploration discussion group, as an example, writes as follows in this regard:
Many different cultures describe an “ark-like” event and a Noah-like man. There is also scientific evidence that indicates that many animals were killed and transported far from their natural habitats, as though by wild, rushing water.
I replied: I'd like to see this evidence, because it's precisely the lack of such evidence that leads science to conclude that there never was a worldwide all-embracing flood (local floods are allowed by the evidence, yes). In particular, studies of the multitudinous islands scattered round the oceans of the world show that their various organisms arrived accidentally (in very small numbers in the case of the most remote isles) by wing, by sea, or by floating objects upon it, and then evolved for millions of years (without being wiped out by floods) in total isolation, “radiating” into a spectrum of diverse living forms, filling available ecological niches that on continents would be occupied by more conventional organisms. A worldwide flood would have drowned the flora and fauna of these isolated islands, which manifestly has not occurred.
Moreover, the survival of radically different lineages of organisms (marsupials, giant birds, etc.) on remote continents such as Australia also demonstrates that no catastrophic flood followed by the dispersal of living forms from something like an “ark” ever took place.
Our correspondent then came back:
Woolly mammoths have been found almost perfectly preserved in arctic regions. They were so well preserved that their last meals had still not been digested.
Why is that significant?
1) They died so fast that they were not capable of digesting their last meal (your stomach usually continues to work if you are dying slowly of natural causes).
2) The contents of their stomachs were temperate climate vegetation — not arctic. Woolly Mammoths were not Tundra-dwellers, but that's where they were found.
These carcasses are about 12-13,000 years old.
The bodies exhibit signs of severe stress — as though they were tossed about in fast-rushing water and slammed against rocks.
There's your evidence, Mr. McNeil.
I'm afraid not, though those are very interesting cases. I've already stated that regional floods are perfectly well allowed by the geological and paleontological evidence, which is all we're talking about here. Regional floods, however massive, are a very far cry from the kind of world-embracing, topping-the-highest-mountains floods that the Noah's ark mythology conceives of.
The great volcano Mount Ararat, for example, on whose heights Noah's ark supposedly came to rest, rises to 16,864 feet (5,140 meters) above present sea level, whereas as I intimated before, oceanic island evidence proves conclusively that there has never (for many millions of years) been a flood that raised the level of the oceans by more than a few hundred feet (a hundred meters or so) above today's sea level.
Glacial lakes and associated large-scale flooding were common on the extremities of ice-age ice sheets, and the instances of frozen mammoths from Siberia that were cited are cases in point. The rivers of Siberia all run exclusively northward, which means even now that the upper courses of Siberian rivers at spring melt flow extremely vigorously while their lower reaches are still locked in ice, producing sizable floods every year. These alone are sufficient to kill herds of unwary animals, such as caribou or (if there still were any) mammoths. However, during the ice age, though the Siberian region was mostly free from ice sheet cover (a matter of the balance of precipitation vs. annual melt, not so much of cold), its rivers flowed towards the then-perpetually frozen Arctic Ocean, and on the way the waters backed up in numerous vast glacial lakes. When those lakes were breached, tremendous downstream flooding would ensue — even more capable of extinguishing life in the mass than the situation we see today.
There's no need to suppose, however, that the mammoth remains in Siberia which have been found were carried to their final resting spots over any very great distances. As we saw in the case of the Glacial Lake Missoula floods, the torrent can rage for hundreds of miles, but we need not presume so for the Siberian mammoths found, nor is any extensive distance traveled required to fit the evidence. One of the intact mammoth corpses was found by the banks of Siberia's Lena River, for example, and there's no particular reason to think that it and others originated very far from where they were found.
Is absence of evidence evidence of absence?it's precisely the lack of such evidence that leads science to conclude that there never was a worldwide all-embracing flood
Mk said:Is absence of evidence evidence of absence?
Chinese and foreign researchers call for regional cooperation in fighting against the potential flooding from rapidly melting glaciers in the Himalayan region.
Chinese researchers are considering sharing satellite monitoring resources and air-borne remote-control surveys with neighboring nations like Nepal and India.
Ren Jiawen, a top Chinese glacial researcher with the Chinese Academy of Sciences, said that a regional approach will upgrade the monitoring and combat systems of such a transnational issue.
Such an approach has also been proposed by researchers from Nepal and the United Nations' Environment Program (UNEP).
The frequency of glacial floods has risen over the past three decades.
Tens of thousands of residents are at risk from the floods along with people's properties and businesses, having the potential to cause havoc on the region's economy.
According to the latest UNEP report, which was released in April, at least 44 glacial lakes in Bhutan and Nepal could burst banks in five years.
Surrenda Shrestha, regional co-ordinator in Asia for UNEP's Division of Early Warning and Assessment, has also warned that other areas in the Himalayas and across the world are in a similar critical state.
About 12 glacier incidents have been recorded in China's Tibet since 1935. The latest one took place in 1981 and destroyed three concrete bridges and crippled a long section of the Nepal-China Highway.
P.K. Mool, a leading researcher from the Nepal-based International Center for Integrated Mountain Development, urged joint efforts in inventory, monitoring, mitigation work and early warning systems.
UNEP said it is ready to assist by mobilizing necessary resources for regional partnerships in the Himalayan area.
On average, air temperatures in the Himalayan region are 1 degree C higher than during the 1970s, a rise of 0.06 degrees C per year, according to the UNEP report.
Andre said:Glacier waxing and waning depends on two factors, temperature and precipitation. Have we detailed records of both?
Andre said:Glacier waxing and waning depends on two factors, temperature and precipitation. Have we detailed records of both?
The result shows that the central Himalayas has suffered a dry period in early 1800-1820, thereafter a wet condition between 1820-1930, and again a dry period since 1930 to present. Moreover, there exists a strong negative correlation between the precipitation in central Himalayas and the northern global temperature. According to IPCC reports, a global temperature will increase of 0.1-0.2?/10a. If this is the case, the glaciers on Himalayas, including our studying site, have been continual retreating, decreasing precipitation and accumulation and negative mass balance.
The factors that govern the values of stable isotopic ratios
in snowfall are enigmatic and at present, no satisfactory model has been developed
to link them directly with any single meteorological or oceanographic factor. This
is particularly problematic for the high elevation tropical glaciers, where com-
plications arise not only from continental effects, but also from altitude effects
associated with convection which is the primary precipitation mechanism over
tropical South America and the monsoon dominated regions of Asia.
Catastrophic Flooding from Ancient Lake May Have Triggered Cold Period
Paleogeography 13,400 years ago. Glacial Lake Iroquois is held back by an ice dam in northern New York. When that dam collapsed it drained into the lakes within the Champlain and Hudson Valleys, breaching the Narrows Dam (near present day New York City). It cascaded across the then exposed continental shelf to the North Atlantic Ocean. This release of meltwater reduced the flow of the Gulf Stream and caused an abrupt climate cooling in the Northern Hemisphere that lasted several hundred years.
Glacial Lake Candona drains into the North Atlantic through the St. Lawrence Valley as the ice sheet retreats from the region. The drainage of Glacial Lake Candona and the opening of the drainage out the St. Lawrence initiated another shut down of the Gulf Stream, causing the Younger Dryas cold interval.
Ocean and Climate Change Institute
Imagine a lake three times the size of the present-day Lake Ontario breaking through a dam and flooding down the Hudson River Valley past New York City and into the North Atlantic. The results would be catastrophic if it happened today, but it did happen some 13,400 years ago during the retreat of glaciers over North America and may have triggered a brief cooling known as the Intra-Allerod Cold Period.
nannoh said:I see that there has been a lot of interest in this thread yet no one is posting comments. If you could find the time it would be interesting if you could post a comment explaining why you're interested in Ice Age or Glacial Flooding and add any information you have to the thread. Thank you![]()
Here's another link that demonstrates the power of Glacial Flooding. In this case it is theorized that this kind of incident can effect the climate to a dramatic degree by halting the Gulf Stream. Andre may have an alternative story regarding this phenomenon.
http://www.whoi.edu/mr/pr.do?id=2078
Bystander said:Iriquois, Candona volumes compare in what magnitude to the annual flow of the "Atlantic Conveyor?" Not quite as great a disparity as throwing tennis balls at oncoming trains, but as far as affecting ocean circulation for centuries? Nerp.
Bystander said:Iriquois, Candona volumes compare in what magnitude to the annual flow of the "Atlantic Conveyor?" Not quite as great a disparity as throwing tennis balls at oncoming trains, but as far as affecting ocean circulation for centuries? Nerp.
nannoh said:If you have any statistics regarding your statement they might help to substantiate it.
(snip)
Bystander said:Atlantic conveyor runs around a million cubic kilometers per year, global run-off is around thirty thousand cubic kilometers per year. Slugs of a few thousand cubic kilometers here and there (huge floods) aren't all that significant. Missoula, annual flooding on Nile, or Mississippi, or Yangtze are measured in hundred(s) of cubic kilometers. These are remarkable events if you happen to be living in the run-off path; they aren't remarkable events in terms of the global hydrologic cycle.
Scientific study of the Ice Age Floods is contributing to the understanding of cyclical climate change and of very large and destructive contemporary floods on Earth. The Ice Age Floods have also been considered as an analog to understand geologic processes on Mars, where landforms strikingly similar to those in Eastern Washington exist.
nannoh said:(snip)I think we have to remember that the Ice Fields were commonly 2 miles thick. They covered an area of about 70,000 sq miles. That translates into a lot of melt water even if it melted over 2000 years or more.
Bystander said:http://www.gsajournals.org/perlserv/?request=get-document&doi=10.1130%2F0016-7606(2003)115%3C0624:NASOLM%3E2.0.CO%3B2
"Lot of melt water..." 70k x 2 x 4 = 560 k cubic kilometers; 2000 yrs. x 30 k/a = 60 M cubic kilometers. Global runoff is 1% higher during the ice age meltdown? Effects on ocean circulation associated with rising water level are going to be far greater than odd little discharge spikes.
Bystander said:Your turn to do the math: come up with a mechanism for stalling the conveyor, and the energy or power necessary to do so that can be derived from excess fresh water runoff.
Finally, the input of meltwater can have a significant influence on the formation of sea ice in this region. In fresher water, the freezing point of water is higher and less energy is required to produce sea ice. Additionally, the amount of stratification in the upper water column also significantly influences the heating and cooling rates of the sea surface. Both the salinity and cooling rate of the surface layer will influence the onset of sea ice formation, which has important implications from oceanographic, climatological, and biological perspectives. Sea ice is an important component of the ocean-atmosphere heat flux and critical to the formation of Antarctic bottom water (17). The annual advance and retreat of sea ice is also a major physical determinant
Meltwater Interactions Onshore to Offshore. Vertical contours of salinity (Fig. 4 Left) and Chl (Fig. 4 Right) are presented for a transect extending from shore out to 160 km. These example profiles were obtained along the 600 line (Fig. 1A) from five summer cruises (January 1993-1997). Lower salinity is associated with waters close to shore, and salinity gradually increases with distance from shore. Highly stratified meltwater layers extending nearly 100 km offshore are observed in 1995 and 1996. This observation also coincides with the on- to offshore gradient in biomass. The low-salinity surface water is generally mixed between 50 and 80 m within 100 km offshore.
Some fairly simple models of the world's oceans do simulate a rapid break down of the THC, when the density of the water in the North Atlantic Ocean is lowered by adding fresh water (rain) and/or by warming. Increased rainfall and warming over the North Atlantic are both expected as a result of increased greenhouse gas concentrations, and so it can be argued that global warming may cause a rapid collapse of the thermohaline circulation. The self-sustaining system described above is, however, much more complex in reality, and the more complete climate models, that take some of these complexities into account, generally simulate only a gradual weakening of the THC in response to global warming. Nevertheless, observations and palaeoclimate evidence both indicate that the THC has fluctuated both recently and in the distant past.
The initiation of warming at 19,000 years B.P. at Atlantic and Antarctic sites (Fig. 3, D to F) records this expected ocean response to the 19-ky MWP. In particular, we note that warming occurred at Antarctic sites before any substantial rise in atmospheric CO2 (23) and despite a gradual decrease in austral summer insolation.
Meltwater pulse 1A (mwp-1A) was a prominent feature of the last deglaciation, which led to a sea-level rise of about 20 meters in less than 500 years. Concurrent with mwp-1A was the onset of the Bølling-Allerød interstadial event (14,600 years before the present), which marked the termination of the last glacial period. Previous studies have been unable to reconcile a warm Northern Hemisphere with mwp-1A originating from the Laurentide or Fennoscandian ice sheets. With the use of a climate model of intermediate complexity, we demonstrate that with mwp-1A originating from the Antarctic Ice Sheet, consistent with recent sea-level fingerprinting inferences…
Andre said:Did the meltwater pulse increase the thermohaline current?
At this point it could be clear that the reality was much different.
There is a pet idea...
nannoh said:I'm not sure what your pet idea is other than the methane release in the eastern Atlantic. But several times there was mentioned the effect of freshwater (meltwater) not mixing with the denser saline waters of the ocean and particularly the Gulf Stream.
Andre said:The essence here is that the meltwater pulse 1A has no source. It's neither from the Northely ice sheet nor from Antarctica. But yet, it was about three Greenland ice sheets in a few decades. Now, out-of-the-box-thinkers would investigate the possiblility that the Meltwater pulse wasn't a meltwater pulse at all, wouldn't you think?
nannoh said:(snip)The whole effect of the fresh water incursion was to stablize the surface water and for it to stay on the surface. This is where it acts as a "lens" which transfers sunlight into deeper portions of the ocean than usual.(snip)
Bystander said:Fresh water is 3% less dense than sea water --- it floats on the surface --- only so long as there is no mechanical agitation to mix it with seawater (no wind and wave motion --- the situation that holds beneath Arctic pack ice for Canadian shield runoff). Other than that, take a look at the Amazon for effects of 5-7 thousand km3/a fresh water runoff into salt water and "stabilization" of ocean surface. Fresh water does not act as a "lens" in any optical sense; it's generally silt laden (opaque), and is not magically transferring sunlight more deeply into the ocean; it is also laden with nutrients which do enhance biological activity, but, again, this is nothing particularly magical, confers no greater inertia upon water masses that are trivial in comparison to ocean mass to affect major changes upon ocean circulation.
A conceptual model for the meltwater input into the system is described below. With solar heating, the snow and ice melts from the glaciers and land surfaces. Being less saline, the runoff enters the water column and creates a lens of fresher water on the sea surface. In the shallow nearshore waters, the resulting lens can be mixed from just a few meters down to 50 m in the water column. The nearshore stations exhibit pulses of freshwater input that occur throughout the growing season (Fig. 2). The salinity of the meltwater lens on the sea surface can be as low as 30.5, but averages around 33.2. Meltwater is more common in the late summer to early fall (January-March).
Under meltwater conditions, the initial radiance reflectance typically increases as more of the light is scattered upward by particles released into the water column. This increased turbidity is likely caused by the presence of highly scattering minerogenic particles that make the waters optically distinct from typical conditions. By station E, 3.7 km offshore, radiance reflectance is half of that at station B (Fig. 3A). Hence, meltwater particles sink out rapidly and are not carried away from shore.
nannoh said:I'm not sure why you interpret lenses as magical.
nannoh said:Yes.
Something very large entering the ocean causing displacement and consequently sea level rise. (But would also cause a nuclear winter after a global fire storm)
Or
an introduction of magma to the lithosphere causing displacement and the ocean's level rise.
Or methane (primary atmosphere) release?
19,000 you is in the middle/end of the LGM isn't it? Not much would be melting at that point. No Ice Age Floods causing levels to rise.
Andre said:The big sea level rises around the equator (elsewhere it seems to be different) are basically identified in two areas, in the Carribean (Barbados) by dating deep corals, which supposedly have died because of getting too deep due to the rising water and the Indonesian area with inundated mangrove remains (Sunda shelf), following the same logic. In both locations a 20-25 vertical zone dates all the same, 14.5 Ka Cal BP which lead to the conclusion that this 25 meters would have to be flooded in a very short time.
There is the case, data, information and conclusions based on that. The idea is to skip the conclusion and review the data again, realizing that Occam Razor did not work. What else can kill corals and mangroves?
Tiny 'Housekeeper' Crabs Help Prevent Coral Death In South…
(via sciencedaily.com) – Tiny crabs that live in South Pacific coral help to prevent the coral from dying by providing regular cleaning "services" that may be critical to the life of coral reefs around the world, according to scientists from the University of California, Santa Barbara.
Bystander said:I don't. "This is where it acts as a "lens" which transfers sunlight into deeper portions of the ocean than usual," said Nannoh.
(snip)
Tails don't wag dogs. Fresh water runoff doesn't dominate ocean circulation.
nannoh said:(snip)There is also the factor of the sheer volume of meltwater making its way to the sea across hundreds of miles of land and the effects this would have had on human habitation.
These outbursts of meltwater were large scale "land tsunamis" and can easily be imagined as bringing devastating consequences to the established human communities of the time (14,000-10,000 years before present).
Bystander said:Examine the annual floods in the Nile and Amazon basins, and slightly less regular events for other major rivers. You'll find that such events create the habitable conditions for humans.
Not "large scale," and not "devastating" --- the 2004 Xmas tsunami in the Indian Ocean presented the interesting contrast of modern tourist gawking at the stranded fish, and assorted "primitives" heading for high ground on their remote little islands.
Is there a point to your effort to make a mountain of the meltwater molehill?
nannoh said:Some sort of exponential bloom of bacteria and algae may have caused the die-off of coral.
However, my initial reaction to the position of the ruins is that they are out of situ and somehow lost their ground and sank to that depth.
nannoh said:200,000 to 300,000 people died in the Indian Ocean tsunami. In contrast to today's world population that may not seem significant or "devastating". But, in contrast to the world population of 14,000 years ago, people would probably be convinced that their entire world had been wiped out.
My point is simply to explore the ramifications of the Ice Age Floods, be they hypothetical, theoretical or actual.
If you think I am pushing biblical stories or alien intervention theories you are mistaken.
I am simply fascinated by this rarely studied force of nature and how it has affected the Earth and ultimately mankind.
Bystander said:Take a peek at the speculations about the correlations of the Toba event 70ka (?) back, and the mitochondrial DNA "population bottleneck."
Michael R. Rampino*† & Stephen Self‡
* Earth Systems Group, Applied Science Department, New York University, New York, New York 10003, USA
† NASA, Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, New York 10025, USA
‡ Department of Geology and Geophysics, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii 96822, USA
THE eruption of Toba in Sumatra 73,500 years ago was the largest known explosive volcanic event in the late Quaternary1. It could have lofted about 1015 g each of fine ash and sulphur gases to heights of 27–37 km, creating dense stratospheric dust and aerosol clouds. Here we present model calculations that investigate the possible climatic effects of the volcanic cloud. The increase in atmospheric opacity might have produced a 'volcanic winter'2—a brief, pronounced regional and perhaps hemispheric cooling caused by the volcanic dust—followed by a few years with maximum estimated annual hemispheric surface-temperature decreases of 3–5 °C. The eruption occurred during the stage 5a-4 transition of the oxygen isotope record, a time of rapid ice growth and falling sea level3. We suggest that the Toba eruption may have greatly accelerated the shift to glacial conditions that was already underway, by inducing perennial snow cover and increased sea-ice extent at sensitive northern latitudes. As the onset of climate change may have helped to trigger the eruption itself4, we propose that the Toba event may exemplify a more general climate–volcano feedback mechanism.
nannoh said:(snip)In fact it is the probable seismic activity created by isostatic lift (resulting from the melting of Glaciers and lifted weight) that speeds up the ice melt and creates the large (comparitively speaking) reserviors of meltwater. In turn, as ice dams melt these volumes of meltwater are released and could be very disruptive for any mammals, etc in the area!
Wait, supposedly? They either died or they didn't—not supposedly.Andre said:in the Carribean (Barbados) by dating deep corals, which supposedly have died because of getting too deep due to the rising water and the Indonesian area with inundated mangrove remains (Sunda shelf), following the same logic.
That sounds absolutely preposterous to me, that the temperature on the surface would affect mantle circulation. Then again, I suppose significant isostatic changes could have an effect. No?nannoh said:the authors point out that climate change during the period may have helped to contribute to the eruption of the Toba.
Bystander said:--- and, the "isostatic lift" of seafloors resulting from sea level drop at the beginning of an ice age doesn't have any effect on seismic activity?
The most direct evidence of LGM ice vol-
ume comes from records of lower sea level.
But there are two difficulties: finding a well-
preserved and dateable record of LGM sea
level, and then distinguishing the isostatic
from the glacio-eustatic component of the
signal. Yokoyama et al.1 addressed these
difficulties by dating geological records on
the tectonically stable northern Australian
continental shelf, and deriving the glacio-
eustatic component by accounting for the
isostatic effect on the shelf caused by the sea-
level rise that accompanied deglaciation.
Their results resolve a long-standing con-
troversy. Furthermore, they suggest that the
LGM ice volume was relatively stable for at
least 3,000 years, implying that the ice sheets
approached isostatic and, perhaps, dynami-
cal equilibrium. Their analysis also indicates
that the LGM was terminated by a rapid rise
in sea level 19,000 years ago (Fig. 1). Such
an abrupt event may record a climatic or
other instability that triggered the demise
of the ice sheet.
nannoh said:This study looks at the 19,000 yo period that supposedly produced the hypothesised rise in sea level that is blamed for killing off the coral reefs. Andre may be interested in having a go at this one![]()
nannoh said:This is an interesting proposition. Are there any references that expand on the concept?
I've looked for papers regarding your statement primarily on the Google search engine and found no specific reference to Isostatic lift resulting from a lowered sea-level.
I did find some interesting papers
http://72.14.253.104/search?q=cache...auses+Isostatic+lift&hl=en&gl=ca&ct=clnk&cd=8
This study looks at the 19,000 yo period that supposedly produced the hypothesised rise in sea level that is blamed for killing off the coral reefs. Andre may be interested in having a go at this one![]()
Bystander said:"Isostasy" isn't turned "off" for sea floors and "on" for continental plates; it's "on" all the time for the whole planet. The sea floor "rebound" (or lift) furnishes the volume to drive the continental "rebound" during melting --- it's called "conservation of mass."
nannoh said:Antartica has been losing some of its Ice Sheet to the ocean but the bergs are not melting like they usually do before they get to New Zealand. Does this suggest a cooler ocean than in the past? Or a cooler climate in the region?