Lognormal distribution question

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around the lognormal distribution as a model for the concentration of organic matter along a highway. The original poster presents a problem involving the expected value and standard deviation of this distribution, as well as the probability of the concentration exceeding a certain threshold.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the relationship between the lognormal distribution and the normal distribution of its logarithm. Questions arise regarding the interpretation of 'expected value' and its relation to the parameters provided in the problem.

Discussion Status

Some participants have provided clarifications regarding the definitions of expected value and standard deviation in the context of the lognormal distribution. There is an ongoing exploration of the parameters and their meanings, with no explicit consensus reached yet.

Contextual Notes

There is confusion regarding the parameters described in the problem, particularly the use of 'sigma' instead of 'mu' for the mean of the logarithmic variable. The original poster expresses frustration with the clarity of the instructional material provided.

TooTall65
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1. The lognormal distribution is identified as a model for concentration of a certain organic matter above a certain stretch of a highway. The parameters of this distribution are sigma = 1.9 and sigma = 0.9. a) Determine the expected value and the standard deviation of such distribution. b) The probability that the concentration of this compound will be at least 10.

2. I have absolutely no clue how to do this. My instructors lectures are next to useless and give pretty much no help.

3. See #2.
 
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If the concentration C has a lognormal distribution, that means that log C has a normal distribution. THe parameters ##\mu## and ##\sigma## are the mean and standard deviation of log C.

So the prob that C>10 is the prob that log C > log 10.

The wikipedia page on lognormal distributions is concise, correct and clear.
 
That does make sense, and thank you Andrew. I guess I'm confused when it asks for the 'expected value'. Expected value of what? I'm assuming it wants the mean, but it just says 'expected value and standard deviation'. It's confusing.
 
TooTall65 said:
That does make sense, and thank you Andrew. I guess I'm confused when it asks for the 'expected value'. Expected value of what? I'm assuming it wants the mean, but it just says 'expected value and standard deviation'. It's confusing.

There should be no confusion---the terms 'expected value' and 'standard deviation (or variance)' apply to the random variable you are discussing, which is the lognormal random variable ##X## in this case. If you read carefully, you will see that the problem described the parameters as "sigma = 1.9 and sigma = 0.9" (but I guess that meant "mu = 1.9"). The problem did NOT use the terms mean (or expected value) and standard deviation to describe these parameters---although they are, in fact, the true mean and standard deviation of the related random variable ##\ln X =Y \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2)##.

To summarize: you are given ##\mu_Y = 1.9## and ##\sigma_Y = 0.9##, and from that you are asked to calculate ##EX = \mu_X## and ##\sigma_X##.
 
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