PeterDonis said:
I don't know what you're talking about. The table
@DrChinese gave covers
all possible combinations of results. No combinations are ignored. The case where all 3 filters are passed and the case where all 3 filters fail is included in the table.
I can see where the average of 0.333 comes from, but it doesn't come from the average of the entire possibility space. While cases [1] and [8] are represented in the table, when it comes to calculating the average, they are ignored (which is what I mean when I say discounted). The reason given for this is because we don't know how often they occur.
Instead, the average for each row is taken, except for cases [1] and [8].
But, when I was asking about the case where we consider each column:
you immediately saw that this didn't treat the choice of filters as statistically independent of the particle pairs and therefore implied Superdeterminism. I didn't see it myself initially, but after thinking about, it I think I understand how you arrived at that conclusion.
That prompted me to wonder why taking the average of an individual row wasn't the same principle, just applied to particle pairs.
I was thinking that, for statistically independent events, we should consider the possibility space as a whole, as in this representation - where there are 24 possible outcomes:
This got me wondering, if we don't know how often cases [1] and [8] occur, it might be possible that they occur much less frequently than the other cases. It might be the case that in a given statistical sample they don't occur at all, while in other statistical samples they do occur.
If that were the case, the space of possible outcomes would still be 24 but the minimum number of matches we would expect to see would be 6/24 = 0.25. That is arrived at when we consider the other cases, which occur more frequently.
I was thinking that when we factor in cases [1] and [8] we would expect ≥0.25 matches.
PeterDonis said:
It doesn't matter what other structure there is "underneath" that produces the results. The point is that no possible table of predetermined results can match the QM prediction.
Furthermore, this is true whether we ignore the "pass all 3" and "fail all 3" possibilities or not. Either way no possible table of results can match the QM prediction.
My thinking is that, if cases [1] * [8] ("pass all 3" and "fail all 3") occur much less frequently that the other cases i.e. there is not an equal chance of them occurring, then they would remain in the space of possibilities but (borrowing DrC's words) "you never get a rate less than" 0.25).
PeterDonis said:
I think you have not grasped the actual argument
@DrChinese has been describing.
I can see where the average of 0.333 comes from. My questions might be more to do with the application and interpretation of the statistics in general.