Major quake in eastern New Britain PNG NOW

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around a series of significant earthquakes occurring in eastern New Britain, Papua New Guinea, including a recent M 7.4 event and its aftershocks. Participants share observations, data, and personal experiences related to these seismic activities, as well as comparisons to other recent earthquakes in different regions.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Historical

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants report a sequence of earthquakes in eastern New Britain, starting with M 6.7 and M 6.8 events, followed by a M 7.4 earthquake.
  • There are mentions of aftershocks and a potential swarm of seismic activity in the region, with participants noting the decreasing magnitude of subsequent quakes.
  • One participant shares that a M 4.2 earthquake occurred in Michigan, which is considered rare for that area, and questions whether it could have been felt in distant locations like Milwaukee.
  • Discussion includes references to historical seismic activity in the region, with mentions of past significant earthquakes and their mechanisms, such as thrust and strike-slip faults.
  • Participants express interest in the seismic gap and historical data related to the earthquake activity in Papua New Guinea.
  • Some participants discuss the challenges of visualizing seismic data and the limitations of forum software in displaying images clearly.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the implications of the seismic activity, with various viewpoints on the nature of the aftershocks and the historical context of earthquakes in the region. The discussion remains open-ended with multiple competing perspectives.

Contextual Notes

Participants reference various sources of seismic data and historical earthquake events, but there are limitations in the discussion regarding the completeness of data and the potential for differing interpretations of seismic activity.

Who May Find This Useful

Individuals interested in seismology, earthquake patterns, and regional geological activity may find the discussion relevant.

davenn
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Eastern New Britain is being severely rattled over the last week
starting on the 30th April with a M 6.7 and shortly after a M 6.8 followed by numerous aftershocks over the last 5 days.

A M 7.4 has now hit the same area
http://www.sydneystormcity.com/seismograms.htm

as can be seen, the seismo trace is hitting the stops, top to bottom of the displaycheers
Dave
 
Earth sciences news on Phys.org
Saw the news story earlier. btw, the US state Michigan had a M4 yesterday which is pretty rare for the area I think.
 
Hi Greg, yes I saw that, a M 4.2 ... one of that size would definitely be pretty rare in that region

There were supposed reports of it being felt in Milwaukee, WI ... seemed a bit doubtful considering the distance
But weird things happen, maybe those that felt it were in high rise buildings ?

Dave
 
davenn said:
But weird things happen, maybe those that felt it were in high rise buildings ?
Could be, I am downtown and didn't notice anything
 
OK just been putting together a graphic for this latest sequence and the last major event a month ago

201504-05 ongoing events New Britain, PNG.jpg


data courtesy of USGS

cheers
Dave
 
hi Stevie, yes a M 5.8

you can still see that on my online seismogram ... link in the first post

follow the time line along from the UTC 0200 and a few minutes after 0230 (~ 0234) the P wave starts

My Mom and Dad live a little inland from Dunedin, They felt it quite wellDave
 
USGS ranks it at M7.5 - 130km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us20002bnf#general_summary
2015-05-05 01:44:05 (UTC)

Looks like they have somewhat of a swarm going on:

M5.2 - 124km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 02:40:23 (UTC)
M5.6 - 103km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 01:58:20 (UTC)
M5.9 - 109km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 01:54:05 (UTC)

Fortunately, they are decreasing in magnitude.

There have been 22 M7.5+ earthquakes recorded in the New Guinea region since 1900. The dominant earthquake mechanisms are thrust and strike slip, associated with the arc-continent collision and the relative motions between numerous local microplates. The largest earthquake in the region was a M8.2 shallow thrust fault event in the northern Papua province of Indonesia that killed 166 people in 1996.

The western portion of the northern Australia plate boundary extends approximately 4800 km from New Guinea to Sumatra and primarily separates Australia from the Eurasia plate, including the Sunda block. This portion is dominantly convergent and includes subduction at the Sunda (Java) trench, and a young arc-continent collision.
 
Astronuc said:
USGS ranks it at M7.5 - 130km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea

ohhhh its gone back up

it started as a 7.5 went down to a 7.4 and now back up again :smile:

Astronuc said:
Looks like they have somewhat of a swarm going on:

M5.2 - 124km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 02:40:23 (UTC)
M5.6 - 103km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 01:58:20 (UTC)
M5.9 - 109km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 01:54:05 (UTC)

they are just typical aftershocks of a large event
It isn't too often that 2 large events ... the 6.7 and 6.8, late last week would be followed by an even larger event

Dave
 
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Astronuc said:
Just the planet readjusting.

uh huh

as you can see in that map graphic I did a few posts ago. There was the 7.5 a month ago, to the east, and its aftershock sequence was pretty much contained in the red box. I'm going to have to dig out my historical data and see what is happening seismic gap wise in the region

Dave
 
  • #12
davenn said:
uh huh

as you can see in that map graphic I did a few posts ago. There was the 7.5 a month ago, to the east, and its aftershock sequence was pretty much contained in the red box. I'm going to have to dig out my historical data and see what is happening seismic gap wise in the region

Dave
The plate boundary between the Australia and Pacific plates in the Papua New Guinea region is very active seismically; 36 M 7+ events have occurred within 250 km of the May 5, 2015 earthquake over the past century. Few are known to have caused shaking-related fatalities because of the remoteness of the region, though a M 8.0 earthquake in November 2000 – one of three similarly sized events over a 2-day period – did cause several deaths. The largest nearby earthquake was an M 8.1 event, 150 km to the east-northeast of the May 5, 2015 earthquake, one of two M8+ earthquakes 140 km apart in July 1971. The May, 2015 earthquake is just 10 km to the east-northeast of the November 17, 2000 M 7.8 earthquake, also thrust-faulting event on the plate boundary interface.

The May 5 earthquake has also been preceded by a series of moderate-to-large earthquakes on this portion of the plate boundary over the past several weeks, beginning with a M 7.5 event on March 29, 2015, 110 km to the northeast of the May 5, 2015 earthquake. Between these two large events, 25 other earthquakes of M 5+ have occurred in the same area; including M 6.7 and M 6.8 events just to the northwest of the May 5 earthquake, on April 30 and May 1, respectively.
Ref: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us20002bnf#general_summary

One should be able to search the area between the dates (over the last century) and filter by magnitude.

On another site, I was following the seismic activity along the Sunda trench and intersections of the Australia, Indian, Eurasian and Pacific plants over the last 10 years. Unfortunately that site no longer exists.

I appreciate the 3D volumetric time dependent plots that some folks do that show the progression of swarms around a big event. I don't have the software to do that.
 
  • #13
I was doing a search whilst you were typing
the whole region has been very active for M 7.0+ events

1900-2015 historical events M7.5 plus, New Britian reg PNG1.JPG


Astronuc said:
I appreciate the 3D volumetric time dependent plots that some folks do that show the progression of swarms around a big event. I don't have the software to do that.

Alan Jones ( maybe you know (of) him) does stuff along those lines ... has written some good software for display quakes around the world

Dave
 
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  • #14
I hate the way the forum software compresses the pix so much :(
turns them to crap to try and read
 

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