McCain's Plan for Presidential Debate #2 - Will He Succeed?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around expectations and strategies for the second presidential debate involving John McCain and Barack Obama. Participants explore various aspects of the debate format, potential tactics, and the implications of focusing on character attacks versus economic issues.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants express concern that McCain's focus on character assassination may backfire, potentially portraying him as mean or desperate.
  • Others suggest that McCain's strengths in town-hall formats could benefit him, but note that the audience's composition may influence the debate's dynamics.
  • A few participants speculate on the effectiveness of McCain's strategy, questioning whether it is a bluff or a genuine attempt to divert attention from the economy.
  • There are discussions about the audience's role, with some participants suspecting that audience members may be biased or planted by the campaigns.
  • Concerns are raised about both candidates not adequately answering questions, with some participants expressing frustration over their focus on attacking each other instead of addressing issues.
  • Participants note that the economic crisis is a significant topic, with differing opinions on how well each candidate is addressing it during the debate.
  • Some participants highlight specific moments from the debate, such as McCain's mention of Meg Whitman and critiques of both candidates' responses.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the effectiveness of McCain's strategy or the overall performance of either candidate. Multiple competing views remain regarding the implications of their debate tactics and audience dynamics.

Contextual Notes

There are unresolved assumptions about the audience's composition and the candidates' strategies. Participants express varying levels of skepticism about the authenticity of the debate format and the candidates' responses.

Ivan Seeking
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My spidey senses tell me that McCain may blow it tonight. He has announced that his campaign wants to stay away from the economy and instead focus on character assasination. So I can see this going one of two ways: First, he may be bluffing and trying to catch Obama unprepared. Or, he may be out for blood. If the latter is his intent, he risks coming off as wild, or mean, or as a ranting old man. Unless McCain is using this character assault as a diversion tactic, he may well crash and burn.

In fact, now that I think about it a little more, this whole thing does smell a bit like a diversion. Why would he publically state that he wants to avoid discussing the economy? Is he sneaky or stupid?
 
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He already came off as mean to a lot of people in the last debate by not looking at Obama. Whether that was his intent or not is a different matter, but if he keeps making people think he is mean, I don't think he'll win over many of them.
 
This town-hall format reputedly plays to McCain's strengths so I expect him to do quite well. Obama needs to revert to the relaxed easy speaking manner he had in the early days of the primaries so the audience warm toward him; he seems far more stilted these days which projects as aloofness.

As the questions will be coming from the floor. (though chosen by some news guy whose name I forget), for McCain not to answer the questions would insult the audience not Obama. I think McCain will pretty much behave as in the last debate with no more nor less than the usual level of digs at his adversary.

It seems Palin has been given the job of character assassin to allow McCain to try and appear presidential and above such pettiness whilst hopefully, for his camp, embroiling Obama in a tit for tat spat with McCain's VP nominee and so reduce his public standing. Perhaps Obama should have Biden take on the same role for him??

To this end it would not make sense for McCain to join in the personal attacks himself and so imo tonight's debate will be standard fare, with both candidates concentrating more on not losing points rather than winning them.
 
I think the moderator should ask the audience if they want to hear about the economy or listen to McCain trash Obama.
 
Ivan Seeking said:
My spidey senses tell me that McCain may blow it tonight. He has announced that his campaign wants to stay away from the economy and instead focus on character assasination. So I can see this going one of two ways: First, he may be bluffing and trying to catch Obama unprepared. Or, he may be out for blood. If the latter is his intent, he risks coming off as wild, or mean, or as a ranting old man. Unless McCain is using this character assault as a diversion tactic, he may well crash and burn.

In fact, now that I think about it a little more, this whole thing does smell a bit like a diversion. Why would he publically state that he wants to avoid discussing the economy? Is he sneaky or stupid?

He's certainly set up for a short fall. They have been playing up his comfort with Town Hall format, and how great he is at it and how poorly Obama is when he doesn't have a teleprompter. I'd say without a clear gaffe from Obama, that Obama will be seen as the victor simply because he will exceed expectations.

I think the go negative approach has exposed McCain's campaign for its desperation. I expect that Obama will be buoyed by confidence and that will translate through the intangibles to the viewing audience. And after today's continued slide confidence in the economy is clearly flagging and any confidence will be viewed as strength.
 
Art said:
This town-hall format reputedly plays to McCain's strengths...

One caveat on this point: McCain's famous town-hall meetings involved rooms full of people who were biased. For the most part, either they already love him, or they were [at least] committed Republicans.
 
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Reality-check! When McCain had the nomination locked up, he did town-hall-type appearances because the crowds could be hand-picked, questions could be planted, and McCain could look like he was thinking on his feet. Let's see what tonight holds. Obama really can think on his feet, and if the questions are relevant and fair, McCain will look like an idiot trying to spin every one of them into an attack.

Edit: Sorry, Ivan. I was eating an early supper and typing only sporadically. You've got the drill.
 
There are to be 18 questions in total; 6 chosen by the moderator from some 6 million e-mails sent in, and the remaining 12 chosen from questions submitted by the live audience.

It will be interesting to see how many of these questions are answered properly by both candidates though I don't expect either of them to do a Palin and reply with a memorised stock answer regardless of the question.

Given that the economy is going to be a big part of this I think McCain could have problems tonight.
 
I'm more interested in whether or not the audience are plants.
 
  • #10
WarPhalange said:
I'm more interested in whether or not the audience are plants.

You know there will be. You can bet there is a group from each campaign that has been working on getting shills into the audience.

But I don't think it will matter. McCain doesn't have any soft lob questions that he can't get hammered on in response.
 
  • #11
Is this debate on at 8pm central, like the others?
 
  • #12
Yes. 6 PM PST
 
  • #13
Ivan Seeking said:
Yes. 6 PM PST

Shame.. I need to get up early tomorrow so won't be able to watch. You know, I wish these debates were either on a Friday, or at an earlier time (though I guess the latter won't work since the west coast won't be home from work by then). Still, the rest of the world do care enough to want to watch!
 
  • #14
According to Tom Brokaw, Gallup poll selected 80 uncommitted voters, who provided questions, to be in audience. They also took thousands of questions from the internet.

The US and global economics are on everyone's mind.


I'm disappointed in Obama's first answer and the quick attack on McCain.

The solution to the current economic crisis is to deleverage, i.e. pay down debt. Give the Fed and Bernanke and the Treasury and Paulson time to work it out. Don't panic.


McCain's first response is better.

Ha - McCain mentioned Meg Whitman (Ebay). Why didn't he pick someone like her for VP?


McCain mentions the suspension of his campaign to fly back to Washington. Now he's misrepresenting the legislation two years ago.
 
  • #15
Neither really answering the questions. Kinda annoying.

Ha - McCain mentioned Meg Whitman (Ebay). Why didn't he pick someone like her for VP?

Because she is running ebay into the ground
 
  • #16
McCain is going to fix the economy by buying mortgages he said were bad debt and renegotiate those loans to be based on current value so people won't be foreclosed on? Wait, that means buying mortgages where people just aren't paying on time. What's the criteria? If I've been making my mortgage payments on time but my home isn't worth as much as when I bought it, does that mean I'm screwed? Or should I stop making payments so that McCain will get me a better deal? What about all of the Americans that are paying high rents? What is he going to do for them? Does he realize how stupid and unfair and unrealistic this is?
 
  • #17
Astronuc said:
I'm disappointed in Obama's first answer and the quick attack on McCain.

Well McCain has taken to being mighty mean spirited trying to paint Obama with Freddy/Fannie. Not good for him.
 
  • #18
Greg Bernhardt said:
Neither really answering the questions. Kinda annoying.
They are using their responses to poke at each other. Might as well put boxing gloves on them.


Because she is running ebay into the ground
So she has experience in the economy. :smile:

According to the Wikipedia page for Meg Whitman "Whitman was also mentioned by McCain as a possible Secretary of the Treasury during the second of three United States presidential election debates in 2008." :smile: Did McCain say that yet?
 
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  • #19
I'm watching the debate on CNN and they have the live "worm", people rating the candidates as they speak. While McCain was answering the the trust question, the worm went negative. I've never seen it go negative and stay there for so long. I guess the viewers didn't feel any trust.
 
  • #20
Astronuc said:
McCain's first response is better.
You've got to be kidding. Buy slow pay home loans? :bugeye: That's assinine. I'm glad he pointed out that it's not Obama's plan.
 
  • #21
Did they both really call that poor woman cynical? She's going to get it and get it good when she goes back to work tomorrow. Maybe she's unemployed and has nothing to worry about.
 
  • #22
Evo said:
I'm watching the debate on CNN and they have the live "worm", people rating the candidates as they speak. While McCain was answering the the trust question, the worm went negative. I've never seen it go negative and stay there for so long. I guess the viewers didn't feel any trust.

I'm so glad you mentioned the worm - I changed the channel to CNN and it's very interesting to watch other people's response. As I watch the responses, I find myself thinking, "Why are you trending THAT way? Are you even listening to what's being said?"
 
  • #23
lisab said:
I'm so glad you mentioned the worm - I changed the channel to CNN and it's very interesting to watch other people's response. As I watch the responses, I find myself thinking, "Why are you trending THAT way? Are you even listening to what's being said?"

The men women difference is certainly interesting.
 
  • #24
Evo said:
You've got to be kidding. Buy slow pay home loans? :bugeye: That's assinine. I'm glad he pointed out that it's not Obama's plan.
Fortunately, McCain isn't the one to make those decisions. The entity established by Paulson (I presume the Treasury will take the lead on this) will be making the decisions. McCain and Obama seem weak on details of what caused the current crisis and what is being done to remediate the crisis.
 
  • #25
lisab said:
I'm so glad you mentioned the worm - I changed the channel to CNN and it's very interesting to watch other people's response. As I watch the responses, I find myself thinking, "Why are you trending THAT way? Are you even listening to what's being said?"
I want to control the worm. I feel the urge to be clicking something.

I think it really lends an interesting aspect to the debate.

Yes, the difference between men and women is very interesting.
 
  • #26
Can they both stop saying "reform" and "these are tough economic times"? I think they've already established this like 45 minutes ago.
 
  • #27
Wow, these guys are really bad on establishing time limits. That's the fifth time Brokaw has reminded them to cut down on their responses.
 
  • #28
I haven't heard the word 'maverick' yet. :smile:

Now the question is health care. I wan't to hear someone say that the emphasis needs to be on prevention, rather than treatment, and that responsibility lies strictly on the American people who should exercise more responsibility in diet and exercise.
 
  • #29
There doesn't seem to be any sort of indicator to tell them when they are running out of time. I think that may be the issue.
 
  • #30
Ben Niehoff said:
There doesn't seem to be any sort of indicator to tell them when they are running out of time. I think that may be the issue.

They have indicator lights at the feet of the audience.
 

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