Odds of Collision between Incident Object and Target Objects

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on calculating the odds of an incident object with radius r1 colliding with target objects of radius r2, given a number density of N/m³ = n and a travel distance L. The collision cross-section is defined as σ = π(r1 + r2)², leading to the probability of collision for a single target object as P1 = σ/A. The probability of no collision for a single target is expressed as (1 - P1), and the total probability of no collision over distance L is (1 - P1)^(Ln), which can be simplified using the mean free path λ = 1/nσ to model the scenario as an exponential distribution.

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Homework Statement



The problem is what are the odds of an incident object of radius r1 colliding with any of a collection of target objects of radius r2, where the r2 objects have a number density N / m^3 = n and the incident object travels a distance L. Incident object is moving much faster than the other objects so they can be considered still.


Homework Equations



Collision cross-section for collision between incident object and a single target is:

σ = \pi (r1 + r2)^2

Probability of collision for a single target object is
P1 = σ/A
were A is the total area of the domain in question.

Probability no collision for a single target object is 1-P1

Maybe relevant, the mean free path is
λ = 1 / nσ

The Attempt at a Solution



My thinking is, if probability of no collision for a single target is (1-p1), then if the incident object travels a distance L, the number of targets to consider is Ln. So the total probability for no collision is

(1-p1)^(Ln)

And probability of colliding with a single one of these is 1 minus this answer.

Is this correct?

I was also trying to use the mean free path but I wasn't sure how.

Thanks
 
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Your exponent has units, that needs another factor. And then you need the limit for an infinite area.

The probability to have no collision before length L is an exponential distribution, where the mean free path gives the factor in the exponent. That is easier to set up.
 

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