Predictions for the Nobel Prize in Physics 2025

[pines-demon]

Similar to the 2024 thread, here I start the 2025 thread. As always it is getting increasingly difficult to predict, so I will make a list based on other article predictions. You can also leave your prediction here.

Here are the predictions of 2024 that did not make it:

• Peter Shor, David Deutsch and all the rest of the quantum computing community (various sources)
• Pablo Jarrillo Herrero, Allan McDonald and Rafi Bistritzer for magic angle in twisted graphene (various sources)
• Christoph Gerber for atomic force microscope (Clarivate)
• Roberto Car and Michele Parinello for Car–Parinello molecular dynamics (Clarivate chemistry)
• Yakir Aharonov and Michael Berry for geometrical phases (Hossenfelder)
• Andrei Linde, Viatcheslav Mukhanov and Alan Guth for the CMB power spectrum and cosmic inflation (Hossenfelder)
• Lene Hau for slow light (Physics World)
• John Pendry and Federico Capasso for metamaterials and nanophotonic devices (Physics World)
• Martin Rees for contribution to observational cosmology (Wolf Prize 2024)

Another good estimate for 2025 is the Wolf Prize 2025:

• James P. Eisenstein, Mordehai Heiblum, Jainendra K. Jain for 2D correlated electron systems.

 

[pines-demon]

I started the topic, because the first predictions are in. Domenico Fuoco from Polytechnique Montréal wrote a paper "How To Predict The Winners Of The Nobel Prize For 2025" doi:10.2139/ssrn.5254426 . Here is his prediction:

• John Martinis and Jian Wei Pan (or even IBM) for advances in quantum computing

 

[WWGD]

I started the topic, because the first predictions are in. Domenico Fuoco from Polytechnique Montréal wrote a paper "How To Predict The Winners Of The Nobel Prize For 2025" doi:10.2139/ssrn.5254426 . Here is his prediction:

• John Martinis and Jian Wei Pan (or even IBM) for advances in quantum computing

Anything to see with using Topological qubits and using braids to emcode information? ( I only know little beyond the buzzwords).

 

[pines-demon]

Anything to see with using Topological qubits and using braids to emcode information? ( I only know little beyond the buzzwords).

Topological qubits do not exist yet, Microsoft released a fake topological qubit in 2025, but they are not sure if it is topological and it is probably not even a qubit. However that said, Alexei Kitaev known for topological algorithms could win a Nobel Prize for all his other contributions to quantum computing.