yogi said:
Thanks Marcus - I guess I am playing a mind game with myself - its sort of analogous to resolving the difference between the world map and the world picture - if we assume a photon has arrived today from a distance of 13 billion light years - and the source was receding at the time of emission at near c - do we know whether that source is now receding at a speed greater than c or whether it is still receding at near c but it is now at a distance of 26 billion light years, or something inbetween. Since redshift is a relationship between distances and not velocities, it seems there is not enough info to make an absolute conclusion.
In cosmology essentially all the distance estimates and distance expansion rate estimates that you hear are based on a simple differential equation model called Friedman equations, sometimes spelled double-n Friedmann. You can look up "Friedman equations" on wikipedia.
It's not necessary to look at the equations or to know how to solve them---they are
built in to various online calculators. So playing around with Ned Wright's calculator or with Morgan's "cosmos calculator" is equivalent to playing around with the differential equations.
You should try Morgan's, because it gives recession rates, and it gives distance then and distance now. It's user friendly. You put in some redshift you are interested in, like 1.5 or 2 or 6, and it tells you all these things about the galaxy whose light is coming in with that redshift.
I have Morgan's URL in my sig, but you can get it by googling "cosmos calculator" or "Morgan cosmos calculator".
Nothing in science is 100% certain but Friedman (and thus also Morgan's calculator) has a lot of credibility because the Einstein Gen Rel equation has been well tested and because Friedman is just a simplified version of the Einstein equation. Simplified by assuming the universe has no distinguished special point or direction.
When you go to Morgan's calculator you have to prime it by putting numbers in 3 boxes.
Put .27 in the "matter" box
Put .73 in the cosmological constant, or "lambda" box.
Put 71 into the "Hubble" box.
These correspond to parameters which have been measured---for the matter fraction, and the dark energy fraction, and the current Hubble rate. Somebody else might say .25, and .75, and 74. It doesn't make much difference if you make a slight change in the 3 basic parameters.
Then you are ready to go, and you put in a redshift and see what recession speeds and distances correspond.
If you have any trouble, or find something confusing, ask here!
I cosmology I think there is nothing so important as hands-on experience with the standard cosmo model. Please give it a go and tell me what you think.